[Spring 2023 - Moans, Ramps & Chat]

1 hour ago, Updated_Weather said:

The fact Scotland always get snow in a northerly! Whilst us down south, struggle.

The North of Scotland does well here in the South of Scotland we haven’t had a single flake 

[Scotland Weather discussion]

20 minutes ago, 101_North said:

That Met Office warning is la la land stuff at 4-5 days out! Fingers crossed though

Seen it all before when the time comes it won’t be anywhere near as bad as predicted

[Scotland Weather discussion]

48 minutes ago, Kirkcaldy Weather said:

3 main areas on the radar at the mo with the front trying to slide in from the Northeast, zone of increasing showers in central areas into Fife and the zone in the northwest I expect that will give us a chance to see some flakes by tonight as it comes SE

Later in the week .. yes I did actually mouth the words holy f....

 

 

How reliable is Icon compared to the rest of the models ? That looks like a day of chaos along the M8 if that came off

[Scotland Weather discussion]

2 hours ago, Dundeeguy said:

Also very interesting watching the charts for end of the week, Friday showing up a massive snow event if it comes off….

It’ll be a high ground and away from the coast event, could be a sleet fest for some on Friday as the colder uppers mix out 

[Scotland Weather discussion]

Looking good for Aberdeenshire you are going to get lots of snow  

[Model Output Discussion - A cold start to Spring?]

43 minutes ago, seabreeze86 said:

ECM is very snowy for northern England Thursday Friday and brings a better northerly flow so more convective showers Tuesday also 

UKMO gives us a complete pasting 

I’m liking the look of those charts fingers crossed this is the route the low takes

[Model Output Discussion - A cold start to Spring?]

18 minutes ago, January Snowstorm said:

Milder air wins on ecm again though the trend further South did occur. Still no reason to panic as further nudges South quite likely. However uncertainty continues...

Looking good for the North of the country on the ECM not a bad chart  

[Model Output Discussion - A cold start to Spring?]

19 minutes ago, Bricriu said:

Yes, unfortunately given the GFS OP performance since its upgrade. Also when the ECM is showing a crud run for cold what's the betting it won't be an outlier. I just don't get this run though, if we are to see effects from the second warming, surely that high will want to go North West eventually? 

Most of the runs in recent days the high tended to move North West, all could change back again tomorrow morning 

[Model Output Discussion - A cold start to Spring?]

24 minutes ago, seabreeze86 said:

Let’s hope so Ali because it’s is a disaster wasn’t expecting that at all. It’s on its own the ECM so will probably we wrong 

ECM was king of the castle last night but tonight it is wrong? I would trust the ECM before GFS right now 

[Scotland Weather discussion]

45 minutes ago, jellybaby1969 said:

A cold snowy spell ( perhaps severe ?) Is nearly upon us..is it time for a fun completion ?  Snow depths guesses for a few of our Kilties favoured locations ? 

Northern Scotland will get plastered with the white stuff a foot or more in Braemar is a good bet   the central belt and South Scotland won’t see much at all in a Northerly unless there are troughs in the flow which even then tend not to amount to much 

[Model Output Discussion - A cold start to Spring?]

39 minutes ago, syed2878 said:

a good looking ECM this morning. However the GFS and UKMO doesn’t look too good. Not only that looking at the extended Met office update yesterday they do talk of mild conditions moving in so in a sense GFS and UKMO looking like what the Met office extended is talking about.

A few days of snow to finish off winter then onto spring sounds good

[Model Output Discussion - A cold start to Spring?]

4 minutes ago, Spah1 said:

No they weren’t. 2018  non event in the north west 

Yes they were maybe you should look at the old charts!!! 2 feet of snow in the Central belt of Scotland and even 1 foot in Edinburgh city centre under -15c uppers, the charts today are not as cold or snowy!

[Model Output Discussion - A cold start to Spring?]

2 minutes ago, Johnp said:

Chart of the decade that? Absolute perfection (still wish it was a month earlier).

Chart of the decade??? The charts in Feb 2018 were much better and colder

[Scotland Weather discussion]

2 hours ago, Mair Snaw said:

Its all champagne and cigars in the mad house this morning...❄❄❄

I’m waiting on the toys flying out of the prams if the models change in anyway

[Model Output Discussion - A cold start to Spring?]

Just now, Lukesluckybunch said:

Ok until this point where is the cold air?also will -7/8 uppers do the trick nw?

The -9 to -11 uppers in Scotland will certainly do the trick  

[Scotland Weather discussion]

Would be nice to see a couple of good snow days at the start of March since it’s been a snow starved winter in the south of Scotland then bring on spring please  

[Scotland Weather discussion]

According to tonights Edinburgh evening news a beast from the east is going to hit Edinburgh at the end of February and into March………Yawn

They say this every year in the media

[Model Output Discussion - Into February]

1 hour ago, Met4Cast said:

No worries, mistakes happen 

Chilly surface inversion under high pressure next week, temperatures below average but it's no -15C isotherm BFTE the model was suggesting only yesterday.

It was never going to be the model was out on it’s own with the crazy charts,,this looks more favourable for next week. Chilly with night frosts returning 

[Model Output Discussion - Into February]

49 minutes ago, Ali1977 said:

I think we are going cold, the NAVGEM is all over it

Looking like Turkey is more likely going into the freezer than we are in the UK looking at those charts 

[Model Output Discussion - New Year and Beyond]

29 minutes ago, Ali1977 said:

Imagine if this became reality The pro’s would be scratching their heads!! 

More chance of my lottery numbers coming in than those charts verifying but nice to look at though

[Scotland Weather discussion]

Winter is over according to the mad thread  

Do they not realise February and March can still deliver the goods  

[Scotland Weather discussion]

No sign of any thawing today still -1c here, lovely sunny winters day

[Scotland Weather discussion]

Nice dusting of snow this morning about a half inch or so it’ll look nice for a few days as it’s unlikely to thaw ️ 

[Scotland Weather discussion]

38 minutes ago, Glaswegianblizzard said:

Hmm…. My work seem to be preparing for extreme weather Sunday into Tuesday…

What forecast do they have as it seems to be becoming drier with the colder air apart from the usual suspects  

[Scotland Weather discussion]

1 hour ago, 101_North said:

Horrible, damp, drizzly, rainy afternoon. Hard to imagine any scenario where it snows here later! 

Rain and sleet for us at best with a NE wind sadly

 

Hope everyone has a prosperous New Year when it arrives