[Scotland Weather discussion]

Snowing Edinburgh city centre way to wet to settle though

[Scotland Weather discussion]

Heavy sleet/wet snow here never going to settle

[Scotland Weather discussion]

Merry Christmas folks

Heavy sleet here trying very hard to snow

[Model Output Discussion - Christmas week and beyond]

I’m really surprised that people are shocked about the milder solutions showing up now, La Niña winters tend to be front loaded so very much expecting the rest of this winter to be milder with transitional cold snaps 

[Scotland Weather discussion]

About a inch has fallen here but it’s more sleety rain now, enjoy all you guys who get the heavy snow today

[Scotland Weather discussion]

8 minutes ago, Frozen Britain said:

You tease......lol.....let's hope so.....a beast from the east.....now that would be a treat....this cold spell has been disappointing to say the least....great if you live in the Scottish Highlands in Aviemore or Carrbridge.....pathetic if you live elsewhere......

Yeah have to agree this cold spell has not been the best from a snow perspective, we’ve managed a couple of inches here but it’s been mostly marginal events overall

Absolutely bitter out there tonight though

[Scotland Weather discussion]

I know it’s a while away but this is a nice chart for Boxing Day, a Scandi high and a beast coming in from the east now those uppers look cold

Yes please Santa  

[Scotland Weather discussion]

1 hour ago, 101_North said:

Showing 0c here but 2c just down the road at Gogarbank. Really nothing but rain from about 5pm onwards yesterday! Thankful for yesterday mornings surprise snowfall as the main event was anything but

Usual slush fest for us with the flow coming off the warmer sea had the uppers been a degree or 2 lower we would’ve been ok.

Onto the next cold spell

[Scotland Weather discussion]

 

Snow is heavy now, more like what we had this morning

[Scotland Weather discussion]

10 minutes ago, 101_North said:

Turned to rain here for now 

It’s seems to be raining in between the heavier bursts of snow 

[Scotland Weather discussion]

Snowing here and settling although it is on the wet side compared to this morning but I’m not complaining it’s snow after all

If we hold onto the precipitation it looks more favourable later as the dew point drops back again ️

[Scotland Weather discussion]

What a horrible day for Christmas shopping heavy sleety pish and only 1c

[Scotland Weather discussion]

The warm sector has arrived sleety rain now in Edinburgh city centre 

[Scotland Weather discussion]

Hopefully the sleety front changes it’s mind and doesn’t cross here later and wash away the 2 inches of Snow we currently have

[Scotland Weather discussion]

Heavy Snow at Straiton and settling quickly

Looking like rain and sleet later when the warm sector arrives so will enjoy the snow while it lasts 

[Scotland Weather discussion]

32 minutes ago, Ruzzi said:

The short answer is aye likely will be, more especially closer to the east coast, but if you're on low ground and relatively near the coast then even if its falling white, it'll likely land wet. 

Inland with modest elevation should be more favourable as you'd expect. 

 

thickness is fine, 850hpa temps are okay but not amazing, you'd really be wanting them about -8 when they're only going to be about -5/-6. Dew points are fine bit not amazing and wet bulb temps again reasonable but really can see the difference its making being closer to the coast and low ground in these vicinities would probably be lucky to catch anything that sticks. Air tempt (2m) really show the coastal issues with 5-7 hovering around the coastline. The 0C isotherm again highlights the same issue. 

For more elevated slightly inland areas though, it could be a different story. As much as the snow depth charts are guff, it does highlight the potential between Saturday evening and Sunday morning going from this at 3pm saturday: 

 

to this at 0900 on Sunday morning:

 

you can see the stream starting off much further north and migrating down the Eastern side of the country, pushing showers inland as it does so: 

 

I really can't see the met not making some sort of mention of it in their text forecast today and possibly issuing an ice warning with the context explaining that some places may see a few centimetres followed by freezing conditions tucking back in behind which will obviously cause issues for the areas where it falls as sleet etc aswell with a freeze setting in soon after it passes.

 

EDIT

Starting to show snow showers now in the MetO raw output: 

Thanks for the detailed information.

So looking like a sleet fest until the early hours of Sunday when conditions look more favourable assuming there is still precipitation around

 

[Scotland Weather discussion]

9 hours ago, Ruzzi said:

Just further to @Kirkcaldy Weather 's class post about Saturday, there's various different models now picking up on the activity through the central belt on Saturday. The timing doesn't seem to be agreed upon certainly, but they are in general agreement of shower activity pushing through the central belt at least for a time. Again, nothing drastic, but enough to hopefully wet the appetite. 

I would expect the MetO to at least give it a mention in their text forecast by tomorrow afternoon, nothing to warrant any warnings unless it gets caputred by an ice warning with a mention of a couple of centimeters possible in some places. 

 

Is this likely to be more marginal on low ground with sleet rather than snow?

[Model Output Discussion. 3/12/2022. How cold will it get?]

3 hours ago, Tim Bland said:

GFS sends the low into the Med and keeps the cold locked in. Mainly dry so far ....Good for the Alps though!

Fantastic charts keeps the cold locked in,,dry yes but there will always be surprises somewhere for some snowfall

[Scotland Weather discussion]

Snow is easing now in Edinburgh but looking very festive now ️

[Scotland Weather discussion]

Snowing in Edinburgh City Centre ️

Update,,,,heavy snow now and settling

[Scotland Weather discussion]

Looking good for a snowfall this morning in the Central belt, looking like the front intensifies after crossing the forth

[Model Output Discussion. 3/12/2022. How cold will it get?]

1 minute ago, Snowman. said:

Very cold

  

 

 

Cracking charts locking the cold in

[Scotland Weather discussion]

Could be a few flurries rush hour tomorrow morning in the central belt if the trough coming in from the North overnight doesn’t fragment to much

[Model Output Discussion. 3/12/2022. How cold will it get?]

Just now, SLEETY said:

Another flop from ECM?, looks way too progressive at 144 hours, more runs needed. 

how is it a flop? It’s still a cold chart might even bring the North of the country more into play

[Model Output Discussion. 3/12/2022. How cold will it get?]

33 minutes ago, Johnp said:

I think people up on the moors of the SW need to start getting their snow chains ready. 

Seriously! this is by no means set in stone massive changes can occur in 9 days. It could all end up in France or further North into Scotland