Mair Snaw

Well a ?? Nick has just passed out after seeing that ECM run.

As i said earlier the ecm was due a wobble and if thats it then bloody fantastic stuff. ECM leading the way again.

WOW. as said just for fun, but you gotta have something to dream of and that chart is as sweet as they come, infact even on valentines day i would sell the wife for a chart like that to verify.

Ha Ha Ha, yes it did that in Jan if i remember and this place went into toy n pram meltdown for a few hours until it sorted itself out. as long as the UKMO dont start to wobble as thats been the best model this winter imo.

If that was to come off i think all us coldies would be like kids in a candy store, what a chart!!.

Does the backtrack start here? com on you know you want to gfs ....

GFS had a few to many doubles at the bar tonight. pub run is a staggering drunk desperately looking for a large shot of ECM to clear its head......

well some truly stunning charts in FI from ECM, Said earlier that i would look forward to a steve murr boom post and it didnt take long, maybe just once this winter we can get a chart like t216/240 to verify at say t72. great posts in here again today and many thanks to the members that make this a fantastic place to learn. Off to the pub to by a stiff drink for the GFS and roll on the pub run and a few more backtracks towards the mighty ECM cheeeerrss.

Great post SK as always full of explanation for us newer members, my basic knowledge makes me think looking at the models today that the gfs as ever is about to come inline with the ecm with slow backtracks over the coming days or week. think the next 5-6 days of model watching is going to be a real roller coaster with many toys and many prams etc. as for todays IMBY been snowing since 10am and currently have 6cm and still heavy snow falling. 4th major snow event of the winter here with many other small snow falls along the way, so the thought of the ecm verifying and bringing the coldest snowiest weather of the winter will have me tuned into this fantastic thread day and night. looking forward to Steve murr boooomage posts and all the other great posts from respected members.

http://www.wetterzen.../Rtavn14417.png Here we go with the pub run again, BBQ time next week with these 2m temps.... I for one shall be keeping the BBQ in the shed!! and keeping my ECM snow shovel close by.

copied this from the other side just to lighten the mood b4 the pub run comes out. it is kinda model related

Totally agree with the above post, how many ok febs have had cold snowy marchs follow them? last spring being a case for me, really warm end to feb after some snow at first, followed by a coolish start to march then hot end to march and less than a week later on the 4th April 30cm of snow in one afternoon. winters over posts and final nail in the coffin etc make me laugh, we were getting them in the middle of december and look what happend since.

Pretty certain to my untrained eye that this chart is looking like height rise to our N/NW. This will surely lead to Atlantic being blocked out and cold coming our way from east, i may be wrong but thats how i see this chart.

Been away for a few days as got really miffed with some troll posting on here, all calmed down now, just wanted to add re the binning of charts, ive seen this on here many times in this my first winter, i think its mainly been the GFS and more often than not its been when we have seen the GFS showing a massive storm out in the Atlantic, havnt had time to go back threw the threads but im pretty sure not one of these massive storms has verified yet, not saying this one wont but if the past GFS is anything to go by then bin this one, also its normally the experienced members on here that say bin it and they are normally right.

Hmmmmm Really? i still had snow in first week of April last year, winter maybe over in your world but i still have 8 weeks of possible winter left. looking forward to my heavy snow on sunday/monday. you enjoy your summer!! lol

Had to take a break for a couple of days as have the OUTLAWS staying, living in a remote village up in the peak district would it be advisable for me to get shot of them before the weekend as i would wanna be snowed in with them here!!!!! was really thinking that i would come on here tonight and it would have all gone wrong but its not so advice please?? should they stay or should they go?? Just to add very happy with the output today and some stunning charts and looking forward to some serious lamp post watching in my area soon, after the snow showers of today left 1-2 cm briefly.

Happy birthday to me!!!!! if that comes off i will be one happy man.. went to bed last night thinking it would all go the shape of the pear over night but its just getting better with every run....

Think its in a good way, i think thats 1020hp over Scandie possible that the front stalls over the east. hope ive read that right?

He was asked his thoughts going forward, not what the met office think, thats all im pointing out.... I agree that if the ECM does indeed come into t72 then this place will go nuts, but i would be happier if other models were closer to the ECM solution, even so a watered down version would still be a hell of a lot better than most winters of the 90's and upto 2008.

Sorry but this is the met office day 6-15 update...... so not sure if you have answered the post that was put to you.

Undercut??

Yes i posted something about that yesterday, think it was 51 of 51 members all showing block to the NW. then yesterday said no block and today 11 members go blocking. take from that what you can.

Lets face it a few years ago the GFS runs of recent would have had this place in meltdown, so to totally write off the rest of winter when we have so much time left is madness, only a week ago the models were screaming Zonal and look how far we have come from them charts. i do think the ECM will at some stage over the next few runs pull back from todays a little with a middle ground from the big 3 being the end result.

twitter the clue is in the name, there are so many fake accounts on that site. all week we have had twitter this twitter that and so far none of it has come to pass.

Yeah a mad day and it followed a very very warm 2nd half of march.