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Mair Snaw

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Everything posted by Mair Snaw

  1. No probably not but in the two years ive been lurking in this thread ive never seen the models so much at odds with each other, yes its been one hell of a winter ride with the models, maybe just a clue a little earlier would be nice imo.
  2. Many thanks again, a well balanced post with plenty of explanation to go with your thoughts.. just to add its been an ok winter here for me. with several big snow events and a few smaller falls, but defo nowt to severe.. more snow laying days than frosts is not what i would expect... and at least not needed the jcb to clear the snow from the drive this winter. im hoping the ECM is correct as one more cold spell before the warmth would be ok with me
  3. Many thanks for the time taken to explain.. The thing i have noticed is that the GFS has been wrong more often than not this winter, the ECM has shown us some amazing charts to only have them watered down closer to the time and in general the UKMO has sided with the ECM on most cold spells this winter. so were do we look to see what model is right??
  4. Im sure i just heard John Hammond mention potential "very cold" for later in the weekend......
  5. Thanks just wanted to know why it had to be wrong?? posting a few charts without explanation is sometimes confusing for us lesser experienced members.
  6. For the newer members could you tell us why you think it is wrong??
  7. Whats happened to Mr Murr not one single BOOOMAGE after a run like that from the ECM, if it was mid winter this place would be in meltdown with the servers chucking a wobbler or two.... Edit; beat me to it Steve...
  8. very cold charts this morning and if something like this comes off i for one will be very glad i just had 500kg of coal delivered yesterday....a very interesting few days of model watching coming up.. still lots to be decided and nothing is certain just yet.... gardeners be ware....
  9. The pub run is off the wagon again!!! some fantastic cold charts tonight for coldies. will they verify?? we will find out this time next week.. will the ECM backtrack or will the GFS end up being wrong again??
  10. if its cold your after then this is a chart for you... if cold is not your thing do not look at it..
  11. we are all forgetting one thing here folks, its the gfs so it must be wrong as it has been all winter, during Jan and Feb most members on here myself included spent two months tossing the gfs in the bin and trusting the ecm totally...... what a fickle bunch we are...
  12. Thanks for the update Ian, sounds like a forecasting nightmare....
  13. Yep it will probably go east and then down toward Greece....... they always get our snow...
  14. Some good charts there Chris. i would take the gem one as the best of the lot, im sure the next few days of runs will tempt us with some stunning stuff in FI but im sure this is far from settled yet.
  15. No i didntknow that, i thought it was the express that controls the weather....the headline today says " COLDEST WINTER FREEZE OF YEAR" so from that we can decide that december 2013 will be mild!!!!!!!
  16. Yeah this place would go into overload, i guess one day it will happen but within our life time?? i get the feeling that this march is gonna be a bit different from last march with its warm sunny days..... I dont think winter has finished with us just yet.. maybe time for one last blast.
  17. Been snowing like saw dust since late morning here, but in the last hour its just started to get that little bit heavier so im no longer straining my eyes to see it.... Got the feeling some people will get something of note at some stage this weekend..
  18. This looks like the one that i posted it was around that time and looked a lot better than the one thats showing this morning.. maybe by the pub run tonight that post will look awesome again
  19. Right oh with you, so when i posted chart it was from 18z and showed cold northerly then when 00z updated it changed the chart?? thanks just found it odd that the was from the future if you look at time of post. So to put the record straight the chart at the time of posting showed extreme cold northerly!! sorry Paul 1978 wasnt meaning to be rude to you.... just look as if somebody had modified post before you quoted it.
  20. Not possible if you look at the time of the post it was 23:20 so unless i have magic powers to go into the future and post a chart that has not even come out yet i strongly suggest that somebody has modified the post before quoting it. mods please sort this out....... LOOK AT THE TIME OF THE POST THEN THE CHART WITHIN THE POST TOTALLY IMPOSSIBLE....
  21. December/jan 09/10 november/december 2010 all ticked down very nicely from way out in la la land if memory serves me right..
  22. I think the record would be in danger if tonight's 18z charts in fi come into reliable....
  23. http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn3481.png And it keeps going and going with no let up insight....... after a few weeks off the booze the pub run has been in the bar with Gazza!!
  24. Slightly earlier than that, if you look at the t180 chart you can see the greenie high building that opens the door for our northerly to come...if we continue to see this over the next few days then it will almost be into reliable, until then i will not get to excited, well in secret i will.... As Cloud 10 points out it really does depend on what happens with the high.
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