Jump to content
Will it snow? 7 day forecast Weather Radar Will it be cold?
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?

Tamara

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    3,366

  • Joined

  • Days Won

    45

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Tamara

  1. Tamara
    Well, it has started to get more organised here - I guess that brings a real meaning to 'local'. The radar shows it literally on the doorstep
  2. Tamara
    This snow is so dry and fine it is sifting into the ridges and cracks in the road and against the kerb, and not settling on harder surfaces like car/house roofs etc
  3. Tamara
    Friend just called me who is only 10 miles or so west of me and she says there is a light covering there - still dry here with light flurries stopping and starting. Surprising the difference that a short distance can make. Edit - the flurries are getting a bit heavier now. Spirals of powdery snow blowing down the road
  4. Tamara
    Light snow flurries here have started - windy and bitterly cold
  5. Tamara
    ] Don't panic!
  6. Tamara
    Yep, at least a NE'erly does around here
  7. Tamara
    A strengthening breeze noticeably picking up from the channel over the last hour or so and as I put some recyling things into the bin just now, the water on the surface of the lid was frozen solid and the water butt that had been in the full sun today was refreezing. Its going to get ever colder from here on in before the snow arrives and I think that the coldness is upgrading right before this event. Its just like the classic snowfalls of the 60's, 70's and 80's where the cold always intensified leading up to the first flakes...
  8. Tamara
    An orange/red warning for lager? All kinds of things fall out of the sky I suppose
  9. Tamara
    I think it will stay the same
  10. Tamara
    Temperatures as per the NAE( f.e) are predicted to be freezing or below with sub zero dewpoints - add in that wind (and hopefully some snow) and it looks wintry for sure
  11. Tamara
    Well, at least east of Brighton there was snow. About 10cms here with no rain. Anyway, the principle is the same but with the colder air a bit further west than then, so that should make a difference to then.
  12. Tamara
    If the ECM verified I'm not sure that we would need the coldest uppers for snow. We are on the polar side of the jetstream with a continued feed of easterly winds from the continent providing a lot of low level cold. Some of the snowfalls back in 1947 and 62/63 were carbon copies of what we are currently seeing predicted
  13. Tamara
    I was rather sceptical up till this evening, but the current charts are excellent for anyone near the south coast as well. The low undercuts and pulls low temperatures and dewpoints off the continent. If you look at the latest NAE you will see that it actually gets colder through Friday morning and dewpoints are well below zero. That means snow In a sense it is starting to look not too different to the Feb snowfall of last year
  14. Tamara
    Based on the latest data just in that looks unlikely - its been a great evening so far *She touches wood it continues*
  15. Tamara
    Dewpoints by Friday morning are suggested to be well below freezing everywhere on that southerly feed of air from a frozen France. This goes round more to the south east and even east as the low to the west slips to the south of us through Saturday, so it looks as though on that basis there would be no marginality anywhere in the region during the whole period. Its only by Sunday with the following low that question marks appear more. However, with still two days to go, it is best to remain cautious about the whole thing .
  16. Tamara
    That is a good measure of how things have changed over the last 24 hrs and to balance how things may also look tomorrow Hopefully the pendulum swings the other way. Its actually the t96 fax chart that illustrates better what I mean
  17. Tamara
    I've no idea what it is (was) called but yes there was such a streamer that gave a good 12hrs of almost non stop snow showers. It produced about 15cms of snow . It is something like that which is much better and much less marginal than most atlantic lows.
  18. Tamara
    I didn't see the forecast (and wouldn't anyway as I am not in the London region) but it looks very complex for the weekend with a series of lows heading in and trying to undercut the cold air as they head south-eastwards. The problem for the southern most counties is that if the lows don't track far enough south of us then the cold air gets lifted out quickly as the wind changes away from the cold continent and dewpoints and temperatures rise...much as they did yesterday when we were too close to the moist atlantic air then
  19. Tamara
    Yes, so would I - would make a fun weekend . That suggestion atm looks about right from what the latest charts show and not as promising as perhaps as looked before. Pity the much more widespread snow shower potential also disappeared during the middle of this week. However, being more positive, it is still early yet
  20. Tamara
    Thanks for that - it provides good reason to increase hopes that the fuel supply coming out of Canada will be switched off, as the longer that the remaining Canadian segment of vortex lasts, then the greater chance that the jet stream would be lifted north as lows follow one after another across the atlantic. A little patience required to see this process reduce It strikes me that the ECM 32 day outlook hasn't picked up on any of these latest stratospheric signals yet and hence sees the continued cyclogenesis as I described and explains the rather more average end to January it suggests
  21. Tamara
    To my little eye, taken at face value and always subject to future change of course, that looks like it might go on to even better things than the raw UKMO output did at t144
  22. Tamara
    The computer models were suggesting a definitive NE'erly airstream across the North Sea up till yesterday evening - which was conduicive to those snow showers. It was only then, but more especially this morning when that was 'downgraded' into a drier and more stable easterly airstream, The BBC , as advised by METO, only produce forecasts that reflect the data, and if the data changes, then they adjust their forecasts accordingly in these tricky synoptics - they don't make forecasts with the aim of pleasing pundits on a message board
  23. Tamara
    As considered, this gives us in the local area a chance tonight where we miss out today http://www.metoffice...ngs_iframe.html
  24. Tamara
    Bearing in mind you have some altitude, I think that is as a good an indicator as any that realistically this was always going to give many places in the region at least a spell of rain today. The period of possible interest I think is what happens from this evening and overnight as colder drier air starts to arrive back once more.
  25. Tamara
    A light dusting this morning which is still there and is as much as could have been expected in this situation . However probably not long before temperatures rise. Best hope for something later tonight as it gets colder again, otherwise its a wait till late in the week to see what happens then as the snow shower possibilities for the middle of the week look less promising than they did.
×
×
  • Create New...