Jump to content
Will it snow? 7 day forecast Weather Radar Will it be cold?
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?

Ravelin

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    5,831

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    4

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Ravelin

  1. Ravelin
    Well it's what you might call a chilly start to the day here. Completely unscientific but the temps on my drive to work at 9am this morning taken from the car thermometer were, Kemnay -9°C -> Kintore -6°C -> Blackburn -5°C -> Dyce -3°C An interesting contrast to the drive home yesterday evening at 6pm when the temp was -6°C in Dyce and got slightly warmer the further inland I went (rare that happens). Lovely morning though with lots of pale pink snow and the trees are still thick with it due to the lack of wind. That Friday graphic on the BBC this morning came as a bit of a surprise, I thought all that snow that was all supposed to be down in Wales and SW England? Great if Scotland sees some of it but looking like the NE corner might miss out. Just dump some on the ski slopes and I'll be happy though.
  2. Ravelin
    Sheesh, I don't know if I'm more confused with the model output and whether I'll see it snow again in the next few days, or with what half the abbreviations being thrown about here mean. So with that IOTMP (I'm off ta ma pit).
  3. Ravelin
    An overnight fall has given us another covering but not to any depth. Looking quite misty and cold outside.
  4. Ravelin
    Big flakes of snow falling in Dyce now. Probably from the showers that were moving in from the NW rather than the rain/snow band moving West again. What's going to happen to those showers now they are colliding with the stalled rain/snow band though? All going to stall and back up inland, much like the A96 was backed up this morning? ravelin
  5. Ravelin
    Ah, that'll be just about the right time to hit Aberdeen/Aberdeenshire during the 'escape from work' rush hour then. Oh joy! Ravelin P.S. I love snow, I don't mind driving in it either, I just hate everyone else driving in it at the same time as me.
  6. Ravelin
    Assuming my wife got to work OK as she was out just as it started and doesn't have to go near the A96. My normal routine is to glance down at the A96 as you cross over it at Kintore. If it is backed up or covered in snow then I avoid it at all costs. This morning it looked clear so I took it, only to grind to a halt 500yrds down the road. Perversely, when it snows I normally take the road to Hatton of Fintry from Kintore and get to Dyce that way (even before I got the 4x4). Although it is twisty and undulating it's usually clear enough and a much better option. Last time I had a chance to look at traffic camera before I left the house it looked clear. Colleagues say it didn't start snowing in Dyce until around 8:30am though. Ravelin
  7. Ravelin
    A few quick snaps I took with my phone this morning before heading to work ('d have been better not bothering). https://forum.netweather.tv/gallery/album/1191-kemnay-14_jan_2013/ 2hrs before and this scene would have been all green! It took around 1hr15 for this to accumulate. Didn't get a chance to measure the depth, too rushed getting drive and car cleared and youngest to school. Ravelin
  8. Ravelin
    Bogbeth Park Kemnay 4

    From the album: Kemnay 14_Jan_2013

  9. Ravelin

    Kemnay 14_Jan_2013

    Images added to a gallery album owned by Ravelin in Member's Gallery

    Bogbeth park after 1hr of heavy snow.
  10. Ravelin
    Bogbeth Park Kemnay 3

    From the album: Kemnay 14_Jan_2013

  11. Ravelin
    Bogbeth Park Kemnay 2

    From the album: Kemnay 14_Jan_2013

  12. Ravelin
    Bogbeth Park Kemnay 1

    From the album: Kemnay 14_Jan_2013

  13. Ravelin
    Don't I know it! Dropped youngest off at school at 9am, was on my way to work by 9:10am as usual, with a normal arrival time of 9:30am. I eventually arrived at work at 11:10am after sitting on the A96 car park for 2 hrs going nowhere very slowly. The hill at Tyrebagger was unploughed and possibly even ungritted so various abandoned cars on it by the time I got that far. Main problem seems to have been an accident on an icy stretch between the 2 Blackburn roundabouts. The minor roads were largely OK, wet an sleety, but the A96 is a nightmare when there's snow, mainly due to the volume of traffic. I should have known better and went the back roads like I usually do when it snows! Ravelin
  14. Ravelin
    still snowing here, heavy at times. Impressive accumulation in less than an hour.
  15. Ravelin
    Just started snowing lightly here.
  16. Ravelin
    Just had to prize open a frozen bin lid so deffinetly dropped in temperature here. Let hope that east coast snow on the chart for tomorrow can come inland in Aberdeenshire a bit and give us at least a covering to make the place look more wintery. Ravelin
  17. Ravelin
    Well pretty much a non-event here too so far. Temp been sitting around 1degC all day but as with yesterday, it just doesn't feel that cold. Only some light snow in the village but not lying at all. As a result I'd to go find some snow so took the dog up Millstone Hill a few miles west of the village. As we were driving there in the car we could see it snowing over the hill. Decent sized wet flakes to start with, falling absolutely vertically at a rate so slow you'd think they were scared of the ground. Snow level on the hill was probably around 250-300m, but even where it was lying it was never deep (1cm max, but difficult to tell as it's mostly trees and heather). Very wintry looking though. One thing that stood out was that the path, even at the top, was wet with puddles. We really need a good cold snap to freeze the ground. Nearer the end of walk the snow turned to really fine stuff, the snow equivalent of drizzle, for a bit before fizzling out as we got lower down. Ravelin
  18. Ravelin
    Just finding a quick few minutes to check the latest situation and report in. Glad to hear that things may still be better than the met office weather site may suggest. As usual we'll just have to wait and see but at some point this winter I want to see a good blizzard! I spent most of the afternoon outside watching the boys play footie, followed by a quick run before it got too dark. Is it just me, or are there sometimes when you go outside and you just think "hmmm....feels like it's going to snow"? Well today that feeling wasn't there. It was cold and wet, with even the odd bits of sleet. It didn't feel THAT cold though, probably the lack of any wind helping with that. On a happier note - Kemnay 2 Colony 1 (After Extra Time) Snooz, pity about the game tomorrow but at least you're through to the next round. Looks like Bogbeth was on of the few playable parks in Aberdeenshire today, surprisingly, as most other games were postponed (due to the rain I'd guess). Ravelin
  19. Ravelin
    Difficult to see due to it being partially shrouded in cloud when I was out earlier but I'd say 350-400m as Millstone Hill (to the left of Bennachie) is 408m high and had wet looking snow on the top. It was a definate mix of rain and sleet with temp around 2 degC. Still no call off of the footy game at Bogbeth so it's going to be fun standing on the sidelines today. Everything warm and waterproof I have will be getting worn. Ravelin
  20. Ravelin
    Thanks for the 'undercut' explanations, I get it now. Along the lines of what I thought it might be but wasn't sure. Given the southern bias in the MT I can also now understand why that (and channel lows) seem to be considered the holy grail. Ravelin
  21. Ravelin
    Liking what I'm hearing/seeing so far. Seems much better snow potential from the last few runs compared to earlier in the day. I've started to pick up an understanding of what a lot of the technical terms used here mean but 'undercut' is a commonly used one I've not fathomed out yet. If someone could explain, or provide a link to an explanation, I'd be very grateful. Ravelin
  22. Ravelin
    I'm hoping here in Aberdeenshire we'll see some snow in the next few days but I too am doubtful it will amount to much. I think the Met Office warning is based on a easterly wind bringing showers in off the North Sea. I'm not sure that will show very well on the precipitation charts at the moment though will it? Ravelin
  23. Ravelin
    Undoubtedly, but maybe unfairly perhaps? Even if one or more model is badly wrong on this occasion then that doesn't mean it is not to be trusted ever again (as I've seen claimed at least once on the MT). It does mean it didn't deal with the particular scenario at all well but that's not to mean it doesn't deal with other scenarios as well as or better than other models. I'm new to this but It appears that some at least are expecting too much of the NWPs, for them to be infallible in fact. I've worked with computers for 25yrs now and they aren't infallible, nor are the people who program them (including me), irrespective of the amount of cash that may have been thrown at developing and improving them. If one or more NWP is found to be less than perfect by this episode then at least I hope that time will be spent examining and improving the NWP(s) with the then benefit of hindsight. Ravelin
  24. Ravelin
    In that case be prepared for a few days without sleep. A recurring theme I've picked up on in the last few days in the MT is "the next run will clarify things", "we'll have a better idea by this time tomorrow", "we'll be into the reliable timeframe soon"......every day the same things are said.....yet nothing seems to be getting much clearer. Ravelin
  25. Ravelin
    Morning all. Well a bit milder here this morning compared to yesterday at around 4/5 degC, with the drive into work being through a combination of mist and heavy drizzle. Seems to be clearing up though with plenty of blue sky now in evidence looking out the window. Not sure what the weekend or next week is going to bring, nor does anyone else, nor do the models. Was watching the model thread yesterday and popped in again around 7am to gauge the mood of the latest ECM run. Oh my, isn't it just comedy central in there at times! The way some people react to a model run you'd think the models actually controlled the weather. They don't, they are just attempting to predict how a very complicated atmosphere is going to react to various inputs. All of the models are flawed in one way or another, and all are trying to deal with an even more complicated situation than usual i.e. the SSW. In some ways it's actually surprising they are predicting scenarios that are so close, even if they do seem to be diverging rather than converging in their opinions. The problem for the UK, and especially for snowfall, is not that the models are vastly different, but that even a small difference can have a huge affect on whether we get snow or not. Is it time to delve back into the model thread or not? I suppose I'm going to have to, it's just sooooo addictive, if not necessarily very informative.
×
×
  • Create New...