Weather-history

The title of the thread is "worryingly dry". Why is it worryingly dry? September 2022-April 2023 was wetter than the same period in 1975-76 for England and Wales: 793.5mm, that is just very slightly more than was recorded during the whole of 1976. That is more that was recorded during 2011. So there has been somewhat of an offset against the dry conditions of the summer of 2022 that didn't happen during September 1975-April 1976: 430.2mm. Hence why we were really struggling during the summer of 1976. And the stats I posted above, we are not a decade into a protracted period of drier than normal conditions.

Developments to my east today

A cell has developed near Hazel Grove.

It is too far south if anything to get up here. Needs development over the Peaks and that's is not happening

The stuff over the Peaks is dying out. Unless a meteorological miracle happens, I thinks that's it for today.

Can see the anvils from here

Looking more and more like another bust here and its the last chance saloon tomorrow. Some areas have received next nothing rainfall wise from this and if nothing significant happens tomorrow again, the landscape is going to look even more parched come next weekend.

Timelapse of thunderstorm that exploded to east of my location towards east Manchester, a bank of altocumulus castellanus came over and then it all went up

I was too far east yesterday , now I'm too far west.

Got one of my timelapse going looking east. will be interesting to watch how quickly it developed.

It would be interesting to see how the UK especially England and Wales would have coped with its water resources if we were getting the kind of rainfalls totals that were recorded during the late Victorian/Edwardian period. 16 years, (2007-2022) England and Wales (EWP) rainfall average per annum: 986mm Compare that to 1887-1902 per annum: 846.5mm The last 16 years were about 140mm wetter per year on average than the end of the Victorian and the start of Edwardian period. That was up to 1903, which was a very wet year but that was a blip (and it stands out like a sore thumb) as it return to form with another dryish period up to almost start of WW1. 1940s, 7 of those years were sub 900mm for annual rainfall for England and Wales including 5 on the bounce from 1941-1945, there have been 5 since and including 2000.

Wow, a huge possibly a postive lightning flash to my NW and the first thunder of 2023, although distant.

Wow, really fierce looking sky to my WNW can see faint lightning flashes in that area.

Really dark looking towards the north of Warringto. That cell really took off on the radar.

Strong smell of petrichor. Really only enough to wet the ground

Lol

Raining here. Drought broken. Have you notice how well Merseyside area has done with thunderstorms in the last ten or so years?

Starting to rain but no thunder....surprise, surprise

Arome 12z shows not a lot when compared to its 0z run Some areas may not even receive any rainfall

32.4C Most convective looking sky for 3 weeks.

More clouds are developing

TORRO issued a forecast The Tornado and Storm Research Organisation (TORRO) WWW.TORRO.ORG.UK TORRO is a privately-supported research body specialising in severe convective weather in Britain and Ireland