alexisj9
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Posts posted by alexisj9
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6 hours ago, razorgrain said:
There's a lot of disagreement when it comes to the subject of the AMOC. In fact, there's not even a universal agreement as to whether the modelling software used to reconstruct its behaviour is entirely accurate.
Of course there is, anything from whether it will happen to what the effects will be if it does. However one thing everyone should agree on, because it's not just modelled, but actually happening now, is the gulf stream has slowed down.
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2 hours ago, richie3846 said:
I disagree with the way this professor chooses his words. The word 'confirmed' in the same sentence as 'climate model' is not what I expect from a professor. A single climate model doesn't confirm anything, it gives us more information to make assessments, and his poor choice of words here suggests this is some sort of fact now. I suggest he may be doing this for his ego, because frankly, professors don't need to feed this sort of soundbite through a twitter account, for likes.
Having read the rest while click on that tweet, it's more like a model confirming finding from other models, wording is correct.
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11 minutes ago, knocker said:
I am constantly reminded that on occasion it is very silly of me to ignore the advice of some time ago that my posting on this site is not welcome.
I don't think that what was meant, unless of course things have been deleted. I thank you for posting this thread.
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1 hour ago, Bristle Si said:
Oh, and yet another Meto fail this morn.
Supposed to be persistent rain from about 4 this morn, all thru' the morning. Nowt. Just grey and dull.
The other morning we werent meant to have rain and it rained all morning, some torrential.
Someone at Exeter, give the computer a bang on the side
Just means the low is further south, just like Tuesdays disturbance was further north. Still hitting here though.
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2 hours ago, Tim Bland said:
Couldn’t see the ever accurate snow charts from GEM being posted so thought I would oblige…PS I think they are underestimating depths here
Well it's got it right in east Kent at any rate lol.
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15 minutes ago, Kentspur said:
Will the Met Warning be off a bit tomorrow surprised it doesnt cover more of our region tomorrow! On Tuesday it started hammering down here for nearly an hour at midday when the initial warning was due to expire! Now im not even in the warning area tomorrow
I flipping am. Fed up with all this rain now lol.
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2 hours ago, Jimmyh said:
Defo think the Debi remnants are far greater here than the other storm
Definitely not stronger than the other storm here, but much stronger than I was expecting this evening if I'm honest, has to get over 78 to be stronger here, that's not on the cards I hope at any rate.
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1 hour ago, ChannelThunder said:
Can't see there being a whole lot of lightning, if any, with that little squall. Maybe I'm missing something
Lol, missing lots apparently, itv meridian mentioned small tonadoes and water spouts with the squall, I almost spat out my tea with surprise, never heard it mentioned in advance by them , ever lol.
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37 minutes ago, matty40s said:
Not good news....
We'll still have to see, could just be burst steam pipes, or fermarols, which although hot, are not always followed by magma.
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4 minutes ago, matty40s said:
Probably not the only thing many haven't seen., it's an 8km long touch down, we've not seen most of it in pictures. People only notice the structures.
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16 hours ago, RabbitEars said:
This thread is scary and yet fascinating. Sometime back there was an eruption that caused issues with flights for UK and wider. Could this one, if it happens? And could any large eruption have an effect on UK weather? I hope everyone remains safe... I would hate to hear of mass casualties from this natural emergency.
Can't see a way it will effect air traffic for ages, like that volcano from a few years back, can't spell it lol. If it erupts in the sea may be locally for a bit. Totally different type of volcano, not under a glacier and also the weather is totally different, main reason for what that ash behaved like.
15 hours ago, Fen Wolf said:I think this is about to become a potential catastrophe because a lot of locals are really worried now and this only has to erupt in the wrong place for it to become a truly catastrophic event. Hopefully it won’t be a bad one but another “tourist eruption” as the locals call it that affects nobody.
Yes I do hope it stays well away from the village, or the coast beyond it.
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42 minutes ago, Floatylight said:
Last week under Amber warning we had just a fart of a wind.
This week its blowing a hoolie...
Stuff flying around garden .
Much less wind about with this one for me, sheltered from the west/northwest here. And front of this storm didn't really effect the south with anything other than rain.
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7 minutes ago, Reefseeker said:
Yes, I thought the same. I think people were hurrying too much, getting impatient in the inevitable traffic that always arrives with wet weather, especially if they were stuck behind drivers that tried not to go through a flooded intersection at all then realised they had no alternative, the one behind speeds up to get through the orange traffic light, another one jumps in behind dashing through a red and off they go, way too fast, covering pedestrians. One school girl got soaked but then didn't move away from the edge of the pavement right next to the deepest flooding where multiple cars always pass at speed. A really unpleasant morning out there. Much clearer now.
I've seen cars do it obviously on purpose before, you can see them sweve their left wheel into the puddle. Hopefully not this morning as sounds like puddles were right across, so unavoidable, but there's no excuse for putting your foot down to get through on amber or jumping a red ever, never mind in dangerous weather. I would certainly not give either of those an excuse here. Was probably shock re the school girl, it happens that way, it kind of weird, you get splashed, and you sort of stand still thinking what just happened, while for some reason your staring at the car that soaked you going in slow motion, really weird but that's how it seems to happen. Car obviously doesn't slow down.
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2 hours ago, Reefseeker said:
Indeed, that bottom one just came through here and it was rather intense, almost looking like hail. Out driving at 8am, the roads around Surbiton were flooded, leaving pedestrians to get soaked by passing motorists who, in some cases, literally couldn't avoid driving through deep water.
Cc ould have avoided driving through it fast enough to splash someone though.
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1 minute ago, Scuba steve said:
Thankfully it’s in the north of England ?
Hmm, well, I'm not complaining, Ciaran was bad enough down here, but it'll be bad for some.
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2 hours ago, summer blizzard said:
GFS6z attempts to do its best Nov 05 impression developing a UK High and 'faux cold' as some call it via potential inversions due to cool, dry air (high soil moisture probably means fog too).
That's what I don't get, if it cold, it's cold, nothing false about it.
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Bluh tomorrow's low is already approaching, here a bit early it seem, wasn't supposed to reach here it the afternoon.
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Clear and frosty tonight here in Dover, been clear all day, love northwesterlies at this time of year.
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Frost in Dover, must be cold
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38 minutes ago, cyclonic happiness said:
Amazing videos showing just how strong the quakes are at such a shallow depth, god help those poor people in Grindavic even without an eruption, it's relentless for them
Gridavic was evacuated last night. It's still stressful for them, when will they be able to go home, will they have a home etc.
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1 hour ago, *Stormforce~beka* said:
I'm enjoying this Autumn again. Nice and warm until October to prolong the time outside getting winter preparations in order. Then storms and rain. Now some sun and some rain. Gone is the summer of cloud, cloud boring nothingness but cloud! And it's now almost winter. Me likey. Time to start looking for snow soon! And be disappointed as per ...
It's still wet here, but should be dry and sunny in the nw winds tomorrow.
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14 minutes ago, WYorksWeather said:
Thanks @Midlands Ice Age - this is some interesting work. One other factor I thing may be worth considering is the slowdown in the AMOC. Interestingly, I did find a few sources that seemed to suggest that an AMOC slowdown would delay an ice-free Arctic.
This article below is a fairly accessible explanation as to why this might be the case. Essentially, there is somewhat of a negative feedback between the AMOC and sea ice. A weaker AMOC helps to preserve sea ice in several important regions.
Cryospheric Sciences | For Dummies: How Arctic sea ice and the AMOC interact
BLOGS.EGU.EU
In this post, I will talk about two famous characters of the climate system; I will define them and see how they have changed in the current context of climate change. I will also show you how these two characters interact...Makes perfect sense to me, warm water moving north at a slower rate, equals pole easier to cool, so quicker ice formation.
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9 hours ago, lottiekent said:
Another unexpectedly rainy day, from the MO saying yesterday it’s be dry we ended up with 21.59mm!
Locally quite a bit of surface water now whenever it rains. Came across a section of road I’d never seen flooded before but a small stream runs under the road there so I wonder if the drains are just oversaturated now.
Almost everywhere is over saturated now.
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32 minutes ago, stainesbloke said:
Definitely could do with a few weeks of high pressure
Thank you, my phone wouldn't copy the image. Worth mentioning for those interested in the whole report, there's a link to it on the Facebook post. Liam Dutton is the poster, just incase anyone is nervous.
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Autumn 2023
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
Was there supposed to be rain today, doesn't look like it lol, clear sunny sky here.