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alexisj9

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Everything posted by alexisj9

  1. I think the Met Office are getting excited about the bigger picture, they are watching the whole patern just like us/or me anyway, this could bring cold here or not, it's still imposable to tell. Until they are confident of a cold outcome I wouldn't expect much change in their outlook.
  2. Happy new year everyone, lol the 2m temps on that cfs run find it hard to drop below 0. Maybe wind chill would help out a bit though. Shame it's in fl and probably won't happen but fingers crossed.
  3. I don't agree, there have been some small patern changes this month and three of them have resulted in small cold spells for parts of the country. The first produced an unexpected snowfall in the West Country, The second brought snow to the North and East Angela, and even to London and the southeast one morning. The last was a short wave that blocked the Easterly we were expecting, we still had a cold snap that brought snow to the North East and even to some places down south though those falls were very slight. Sorry I think I misunderstood what you wrote the first time I read it. I do agree that althought the strat warming will eventauly change things, there is at this stage no real way of knowing if that will be good for cold for us or not.
  4. I'm going to go with a 2.5, I don't think the weather will be mild for long, there are some colder signs showig already, and we will be under a northwest flow for a bit as the high makes it's way over. I expect either cloud or fog to keep the temps down while under the high depending on where the high centers it's self.
  5. It does make it quite difficult, I tend to ignor all the it looks bad for cold posts as they should be in the moaning thread anyway, and just pay attention to posts that talk about what is in the charts, and the analisis that is provided. The fact is that the lastest run is bad for cold in the begining and then changes in fl. It's quite posible that someone jumped the gun before the run finished or doesn't pay attention to fl charts.
  6. The wind has stpped gusting at last, being gusting between 35/45 since the middle of last night till about an hour ago.
  7. I'd say that is a probability. It does depend on if you end up in the center of the high, the wind has to be very slight for a propper fog to build.
  8. Merry Christmas everyone, have a good day. This latest bit off rain has just finished here, lets hope it stays gone, although I wouldn't mind one of these thunderstorms if they would pop up here.
  9. Well at least it will still be there for next year if it does turn out as wrong info, and the councils can spend the money they spend on salt on something else.
  10. Brauton is under a severe flood warning by the river caen, I hope you are not near there. http://news.sky.com/story/1029012/floods-and-christmas-travel-chaos-live-updates
  11. Yes I agree with this, if it happens before the SSW, it is probably the driving force for it not caused by it.
  12. I remember a few years back having some thunder snow during a northerly, the amount of snow dumped in just half hour was masive for southeast london. Is that the kind of stuff your on about? If so shame this is in fl, hope it is still there later.
  13. alexisj9

    Alexisj9

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  14. alexisj9

    Alexisj9

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