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Everything posted by Ali1977
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Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
Ali1977 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Mmmm, I was hoping for better to be fair. Hopefully the ENS are more promising and the ECM brings the goods. -
Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
Ali1977 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
Ali1977 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
Ali1977 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
Ali1977 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
Ali1977 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
Ali1977 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
Ali1977 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Apols for the morning ramps, I’m just happy to be in the reliable now - once it’s here it doesn’t look like going. I think the Twitter forecasters will be ramping it too today !! Expect a METO wording change . -
Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
Ali1977 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
Ali1977 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
That’s a crazy chart, a great NH still and I imagine this run is much more severe than the 850s suggest - midlands north just under a constant snow storm. -
Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
Ali1977 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
Ali1977 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
Ali1977 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Maybe the battle zone, and we love a battle zone -
Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
Ali1977 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
That’ll do , what a chart with another shot of WAA heading up through Greenland. This is gaining traction here, not just a cold spell now , maybe an extreme type event (longevity rather than extreme temps) -
Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
Ali1977 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Not toppled yet but look at that deep deep cold building in Scandy - hopefully on its way here!! What a first week of winter viewing -
Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
Ali1977 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
But look at that Greeny block, it’s huge. Looks great to me - hopefully I’m right The expanse of cold air is most notable, lots of wiggle room and all roads lead to cold now. -
Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
Ali1977 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The GEFS mean at day 12 still going strong for the cold pattern, big upgrade on the 18z you’ll see - this will be classed as a pretty severe spell I reckon. The control at day 12 is amazing , a full reload of northern blocking , likely leading to more severe cold. -
Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
Ali1977 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
Ali1977 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Looks like the colds losing the battle, however it’s very well entrenched with very cold nights - and obviously a very good NH profile still -
Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
Ali1977 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Greeny high still going getting at day 8, getting stronger so could reload another Northerly to back up the first -
Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
Ali1977 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
ICON at T114 clearly following the ECM and seeking a quicker route to cold - mid next week looking like the fun and games will begin - now please give us an agreeing GFS -
Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
Ali1977 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
This could be locked in all month, Greenland and Scandy blocking signal still pretty strong around Xmas and New year -
Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
Ali1977 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The mean at 144 and 168 are sensational, and it keeps going. Winter is coming gang, winter is coming Coldest mean 850s yet, at T168 -
Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
Ali1977 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
Ali1977 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion