Jump to content
Will it snow? 7 day forecast Weather Radar Will it be cold?
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?

Ali1977

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    8,627

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    52

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Ali1977

  1. Ali1977
    This followed by a SSW would work
  2. Ali1977
    Very nice FI
  3. Ali1977
    Day 7, and the GFS isn’t as good as earlier Doesn’t mean to say we won’t get a good day 10 onwards though - let’s see
  4. Ali1977
    Icon is on board for the easterly by day 7, much cleaner in the making compared to its last run. A good start to the 12z’s I expected a better METO long range update today to be fair, I’m hoping they are just sitting on the fence not to spark any panic for those not wanting cold - obviously nothing is certain at this stage, and they may well see this potential cold spell not really materialising to much!!
  5. Ali1977
    Deep fetch easterly by day 10, severely cold air is slowly heading west. Maybe the high will retrogress now too. And it does, epic FI inbound - deep cold hitting Europe from the east as the flow changes from the north/NE - double whammy
  6. Ali1977
    Much better op and para by day 8 Easterly looking likely by then I’d say, maybe no real cold but it’ll start cooling down pretty quick if it arrives.
  7. Ali1977
    Yep, day 8 itself looks ok to me
  8. Ali1977
    What’s grabbed me is the FI mean on the GEFS , there’s clearly a shift towards a Greeny high because at 14 days out this mean is pretty impressive. With some impressive Perbs
  9. Ali1977
    The mean at day 10 is good though, as is the control and many ENS.
  10. Ali1977
    Been offline all day, come back to loads of posts - things are certainly looking better than this morning. Blocking everywhere
  11. Ali1977
    The Op seems to have thrown any blocking in the bin - strange but I imagine it’s a wobble!! Day 11 below
  12. Ali1977
    That’s quite some shift towards cold
  13. Ali1977
    I’ll take that to start Dec, there’s no quick route back to zonal there . A December to remember , maybe I imagine energy companies and weather forecasters will be watching with interest - there will be many worried about a prolonged cold spell !!
  14. Ali1977
    Epic run really, nothing particularly cold but the longevity of an easterly which looks like becoming a northerly/Greenland hp in deep FI is notable - surface temp would be cold you’d think!! Let’s hope we keep upping the auntie on a cold spell, a nice cold Dec would be great - albeit not fit the heating bills!!
  15. Ali1977
    Well the GEM most definitely has some cold air sitting to our East - things are getting much more positive come on ECM
  16. Ali1977
    Not so sure, the PV is heading over to eastern Russia, it’s not putting pressure on the Scandy high
  17. Ali1977
    Maybe that set up always was a little early, and we should just be looking to what happens around day 10-12 , FI is definitely early but that might have something to do with the MJO changes. The last 2 runs are pretty similar by day 9 to be fair , apart from the PV being stronger on the 06z
  18. Ali1977
    FI starts at day 8 according to that, let’s hope for more to drop below -6c as the next few runs trickle in. That’s probably the best set so far this month, that’s not saying much though.
  19. Ali1977
    Not when it’s a rubbish FI we shouldn’t
  20. Ali1977
    Too far out to think into that much detail, I reckon, as many have said it’s hard to get the prerfect set up - I’d be happy with a cold frosty period as it seems like a lifetime since that’s happened - then hope for something white.
  21. Ali1977
    It’s heading north pretty quickly, easy to see that by tabbing between day 9/10 - up through the eastern side of Greenland I imagine.
  22. Ali1977
    This is a pretty good chart for coldies, continent cooling and a hp heading into the U.K. and likely north towards being a block - the NH PV is destroyed….
  23. Ali1977
    I imagine the way the block seems to be forming means several days of milder air before a switch to less warm/colder air from the north or continent - I expect over the next few days the runs going -5c or below will be increasing in FI.
  24. Ali1977
    Much more blocking within the ENS by day 11 than the op suggests, let’s see if the ECM plays ball.
  25. Ali1977
    This 1096hp was forecast last April but not sure what actually materialised. Let’s hope this was does and leaves us with the new Beast from the Dec 22
×
×
  • Create New...