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tight isobar

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Everything posted by tight isobar

  1. A tad bizzare..(your post).. both classic wave patterns emerging in delayed responce-to strat/trop happenings.. The mods were bound to have a massive jump to what is likely to become..ie mirror opposite.. And now highly likely to note all forcings.. And feb then sets up a both our most notable winter month... And 1 that many have craved!!.. And this 6z run could look very tame in just a short time!
  2. Dont look good rite now, and @face value.. But i'll have a massive punt the short/sharp milder interlude...will be just that. And outs will very soon highlight that ...
  3. image:2071 image:2070 A reasonable assumption I would think now. On to the notions thurs-onwards 4 me now.... And indeed the bigger picture into Feb. .. 2 which I'm on a different way of thought 2 many,...
  4. Icon aligns again on amore southerly Drop. The gfs will befair Game now @ Hrs out/away...On our 1st LPS- Watch 4 the oxford/southerly hit!!!
  5. Icon-expansion and pep. I'd expect a similar trend via other outs today/tmoz. As mods get grip. Still some big upgrades Imo-for tmoz/weds-snow
  6. As it stands your correct. Still afew Changes 2 be deciphered And we know the devilisinthedetail A southward correction looks the likely scenario.... as per usual. Not getting into the Thur/fri Situ as again big changes likely.
  7. 6z gfs brings larger swathes into the snow with anywhere wales/nor mids/ rite down 2 south coast in firing line. Again some notable totals b4 she scamper of 2 the continent. Tues/wed
  8. Screenshoot (4 a bit of fun) My assesment.. And poke it up wednesday morn. Edit.. 4 once i think its being UNDERHYPED!!. and such as the met will upgrade warnings tmoz morn onward!!!!
  9. Just quickly..for the sake of imby-ism.. I look in a very favoured place.. Get ya pencils out and draw aline...oxford- into most kent.. And scribble the in betweens!!!! South and east of that!!!!
  10. Tbh honest that accum-calculation could be far off-the mark!!. Its a fill and pep..looking dynamic.. Has sweetspot dumpings written all over it... We continue to decipher!!! @ 10/15 cms in favoured!!!
  11. The responce in here...is as-the situ..OVER-RESPONSIVE.. Spring is not in the air...4 the forseeable.. Its a classic wave pattern responce on reflective downwelling..and plots of initial blocking formats!!.. There be highly likely be some alarming.. Model outs in regards to russian pen-blocking...and a deep freeze euro notion... The snaps are somewhay stale now...but full reflect the above!!!. Winter is yet 2 set!!!.. More on the snow situs after the 12z.. I have not the full time atm.. But looking fab midlands south!!!.. As per my initial statements!!! gefs_ensemblemean_pch_2019012100.webp
  12. If this current running is'nt getting ya juices flowing..then nothibg wil.. We have an incoming feature that could make some HEADLINES!!.. AS b4 we have a constantly modeled U-BEND feature with an embedded lps-.. Some 1 will kop it. And as again, the usual m4 crew could be laughing..as the infold gains... There is STILL- Wiggle room but a tues/weds- news making event..has scope!!!
  13. I dont.. And it maybe-an even keel..@southern peripherals. With the slaged'm4 and down..4 the 1st feature. Northern france is the catch point now..
  14. Ringing any bells yet..??. As much as i hate using ANY precip charts other than +24-out.. As an example.. The low sits exactly as quoted yesterday..with leading top snow..(not transitional)... Southern england!! This b4 and in between a few other cracks @the whip..@various other parts up-n- down the land... If many dont see some fairly decent lying snow across nxt week..i'll eat my socks!!!!!
  15. Large gains on the snow line/lines this morn... May the trend continue... As expected!!!
  16. 00z suites.. To diss-figure the current basis!!. And cean the LPS TO AN- advance-..with southward trajectory!.. And squall-milder inserts out of the mix...and as per-my notion.. Drop and grade..with allowed upper shouts..with a BIG leading edge snow machine..... We shall but see!!??
  17. Try being me then.. She said the kids wanted a pet.. So i used the excuse i was pet hunting 'constantly'.. It didnt go down very well when she looked through the history to see page upon page of x hamster!!! In between-meteorlogical sources of course !! Although in respect of the wonderful mother 2 my 4 adorable children.. I have payed homage- by embarrassingly. Sticking her pic on my prof... But why not...bless her!!..
  18. The gain is there in front of you.. A snowy breakdown seems a dramatic conclusion..given our luck.. But 4 once...its a coneievable scenario.. As crazy as it may seem.. The wait for the toilet...will have ya weeing for fun!!! I wish i could use-different terminology.. But except..its a forum on a scale...to which i cannot !!
  19. We have aligned in the fronts of the major displace in the nor hem...-going forwards..ie east/nor-east incur.. BUT b4 we get there...there is some major dramatical dynamics...via track and chase of swinging lp-systems . Finaly is it a snowy breakdown...then an-anything sub-arctic stream....YES ImO..and im standing firm on it.
  20. Gonna be a cracker.. 2nd phase of the nor east feature.. Then the southerly track...gaines!!! As the feature...diss-stabilises
  21. The highlighted snaps note... The underside of the jump.. With lp-having a leapfrog like effect.. To down southerly.. Its a notion imo a good guide-to southerly track and trace!!! Edit i have mixed the data snaps 4 reason..of process/progress!!. @cut off points!!
  22. Indeed and we have gain on such.. Could be an old classic..that i have personaly experienced...from time 2 time in my 43-yrs.. Obviously not on that scale... But living just north of the corridor..and edging bucks... We do rather well... 'On the whole'.. Edit an pls dont look at my prof back ground pic and with my 2 eldest daughters and say WOW 43... ITS GOOD LIVING
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