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tight isobar

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Everything posted by tight isobar

  1. Exactly..a slack U-BAR..with a mini defined feature too boot.. Its says...snow all over it.. Trying to prize some off -of the midlands north show.. Is like explaining the definition of a no-deal to the old hagg!!.. @pulling teeth!! Re-edit;.. Even that snap/still is imo.. Off the mark of final exaction... And we shall see if i wear egg on my face... Or sparklers around ones neck.. Midlands /south notable event... MY PUNT!!!
  2. The CLEAR cut off point ..in regards nxt weeks shananigans.. Im happy 2 now watch for development within those time scales... And just enjoy out-age.. Thereafter.. For evolutionary-developments... A definitive step in the rite direction.. Ens will be of decent viewing....i think ??!!
  3. What i wanna see.. as that could open up in nearer time frame.. And a little shunt also...puts the meto prog...in the picture..@the crucial point.
  4. .. In line..with the wedge in behind..and partial phasing.. See where she goes..already decent though early on..with some possible surprise stuff..
  5. That is a distinct possibility.. And why such a deep formed placed low..COULD DELIVER- a disrupt event.. This is going 2 be an awesome watch!!!
  6. Some of the stuff is bordering ridiculous again this eve.. We have a miss matched format of an incoming feature that is still in the womb!!. And model divergence-even if @this param There is meak compare.. A few are going to look quite daft in coming days...that i assure! The scale and track are in there younger forms..and with given feable-mlb air injection.. For me its just the start of a quite snowy scenario.. And any1 drawing conclusions on snow lines at or around ANY geographical point..have there hand on the chopper.. No-not down there trousers...but the wood shreader!!.. Gonna have a scrutinised look through all data after this eves-ecm 12z.. Where i will note my steadfast points...on nxt weeks events!!....
  7. C, mon..we know there is an abundance to play out and be deciphered here. This is a true rollercoaster scenario. The tracking and placements are liable to jump and wobble now run 2 run.. My money stays where my mouth has been all day...on the eventual-staging of fruition....
  8. Will she follow the iso-gradient and head biscay-bound...and land in northern france???.gfs 12z looks good 4 it...!!!
  9. A decent watch... And the middle ground looks favoured as per -met..thus the track form eyeball into northern france...but with top edge..perhaps disruptive snow..mid/southern eng..and mid/southern wales....a far cry..from the quotes via some!!.. With saying that still subject 2 change of course... With anything the 2nd more likely of larger swathes..northwards joining in.. Some great viewing over the nxt few days... Enjoy the ride.
  10. A fare point of view. Although the part of your post ^^above.. Is atm an-understatement. @poss- large scale changes...
  11. Drop into the met o..long ranger.. Stunning prognosis.. And ive put this post in here because its model related..in the fact the met also see..southerly tracking lps...into the biscay region..early in the forecast.. So clearly as we stand..there may have been FAR TO MANY early assumtions this morn !!!!
  12. The crazy thing is..as we are progressing..the m4 corridor-and below COULD SEE some eye watering snow accums.. Lol...ya couldnt make it up. But the charge is deff-there for that possible prog!!.. On we go...
  13. Yes. Some may want to view that tweet.. And the words/england/wales.. And also note the LPS placement on the stills!!!. Its been quite ridiculous @times this morn...with people stating game over...and exact geographical pin pointing of imby-events.
  14. Ive seen FAR to many of these -supposed- nailed track and grade-systems.to be convinced that we are even 60% on the money!!..(@ this point in time) Again feel free to flag this very post up come mid-weekend....and 'quote me'. The book is open..and clearly some will read the chapters differently.
  15. Very bold..given the 6z already move to better alignment..and draft-of already colder overheads... A step in the correct direct. And we still have yet lots to spill through today..via suites and all supports!!.
  16. We'll see..but why overlook the increased snow chances-even to lower levels -south b4 we get there????
  17. Yes..icon although not massively different has a better shape for sure..and is primmed 4 maybe-.. a more southerly track.. Remember we know a complete reversal via mods is not going 2 occur at some short stage....but in the given outs..miniscule tweeks- WILL HAVE BIG IMPLICATIONS!!
  18. Lets see where the first morning run takes us..and the much talked feature... @icon
  19. Hold these thoghts again-until todays data runs clear. Then we can re-analyis, and go from there...'either way' !!
  20. After trawling through various this morning...i personaly will not be writing off nxt week until around 7pm this evening... Still some niggling-points that need ironing out. Lets start from the 6z gfs.
  21. A valid point..@Later season winter. This isnt the place...but earth axis tilt..is a continued science.. And the %degree has imo shifted... @point 0;5 shift/tilt
  22. And day 4-6 is EXACTLY where the sync begins to go into guess who land...on a broadscale!!.. So lets agree that that is where we land very much FI. And that ens/and all datas need sharp missleading pattern there on in.. So we look for again-some more defined agree..post the time!!! @4 days cross!!!
  23. Nice 1mike.. I love a punt myself..(a little 2 much probably).. But our lucky 15 has 2 winners atm-and the last 2 are currently 2nd favs... Although-could go as favs as we near upon some model agree!!! Then-we get 4 winners and a cheeky bonus...all well up 4 grabs !!!
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