tight isobar

Morning!!.. The big deviant for our part (telecon).. =PNA. the signal atm is clear and notable 2 see why we have rapidly converted and lost the desirable blocking formats!!! Look @how the pacific placement has leaned away and for now scuppered/and thrown the positive teleconect signal into chaos.. We no longer (for now) have a desirable punch of angle @/around the pacific mid/western seaboard...its an angle of misery-placing pressure on the canadian/american lobe..yet unfavourably..again-for now, and aligns the jet (as modeled) with a steep run into the nirthern americas-and a sharp forcing of an-atlantic boom jet...rite across the atlantic...and YES at us!! Obviously at this point(4 now) shutting the door firmly on any decent chances for pockets off waa..2 develop into a block situ. HOWEVER!!! again this response is 1 with a little time can rapidly change.. As momentum gains.. And as have HINTED here and there throughout-some latest data...then the foe quickly becomes friend again..especialy with some eye catching russian warmth which looks a stubborn plot... Although-atm via mods an unlikely scenario...keep a firm eye on the geographical points...and look for an engagement of the pair (psrtial or otherwise...across the polar field... My humble pie-remains on the shelf @marks and sparks STILL.. have a good day people. Xxx

Heavy rain here now.. Near complete thaw!.. Not going to bother posting dews/wet bulbs etc... This is over 4 here now.. Enjoy those whom have/still on the bandwagon..

I see your in cambridgeshire!?. A bizzare/unexpected evening!

Yes m8..indeed we did by far not the best we've ever had but fairly decent. The snow junkie in me though-is a demon hard 2 please. Good to see some that missed out are finaly in the shop door... And lastly my notion on a mid feb easterly incursion still remains of a big probability...imo.which would be ripe for us lot. But i'll leave all that stuff 4 the mod thread.

No faith in radar outs this evening..ive been under aband of persistant mod/heavy snow for an hour now.. Outside i have light sleet!!!

Umm. Close 2 moderate snow here now. And the radar is looking interesting...2 say the least. A classic pop up non forecasted situ?? We'll see ?!

Jaffa cacked ..the mods were on ya pal

Convergance taking place now.. More snow now than sleet.. Some MAY squeeze a cm or 2...

Fantastic 10/10 4 sarcasm...

Very quickly.. Can we have a hunt for spring in the depths of winter thread... As this is clearly the hunt for cold, and a steady few-would likely fill the mild thread up...based on my viewing??!! Edit.. It was snowing imby march 12th last year on the bk of another ssw... Its the 1st of feb...so the possibilities point..it could still be mid winter..theoretically!!!..

Likely.. But that was'nt my point.. We are @144 TOPS..as we stand 4 anything of near exaction. The gfs is the wife of zonal...and what i like atm..she reverts b4 she converts!!!. And sometimes in a big way. Over to some more data sets.

And if some1 posted a chart @that range showing -16 hpa... they would be laughed off the field... Gfs playing its favourite tricks..and imo will be the 1 whom struggles the most with any ssw impacts.

Options a plenty... People calling 4 springwatch and winters over..is again utter madness on the 1st of feb!! I think it is safe to assume 2 things here. The models are going to jump from 1 extrene 2 the over in the nxt 3 days. The effects of the upper atmosphere playing havoc now... And no clear trend is availible AT-ALL ..cross all outage!!! As is clear to view. Watch even through some of later todays suites the wild divergance!!. For me (and always has been).. Backloaded-and full of BIG potential.. Keep watching!!

3-45am still snowing (heavy(.. !!!

Light snow now.. However expecting another pump-and reinvigorate- of ppn...

Its a feeder ...and will gain our totals!..

5cms now.. And we are still @it...

Very heavy falls Again now...totals soon

Euro 4..coming out in gold dust AGAIN nick.. @top performer.

We gain here once more..calmer situ.. And heavier snow again..its lego multiple..stacking up..an-up.

Ahh yes ye-ole back building... Shes RIPE!!!. Some real notables by dawn..

Steady falls still.. Works off tmoz..a bottle of rioja now..and a few nelson mandelas.. Then me and my boy in the snow.. He'll be amazed..

Kent the utter sweetspot ..through the night.. No doubts!!!

Going through various data.. This looks about correct..via met.. The best yet 2 bk up... Any1 giving up the game north london southwards...are over-reacting tbf!!