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Everything posted by tight isobar
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Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?
tight isobar replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?
tight isobar replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Gfs @150...about where THE ukmo. would be should it run there..a sweep of polar continental airflow...into our shores anyone taking issues with suc h synops should consider taking up chess or some ####....inter flow engagement from the East in early Feb...and we have people sulking....drop me out!!!! -
Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?
tight isobar replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The ukmo is a belter all in ALL...people saying it's ####=!??? Really.????? -
Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?
tight isobar replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I said it b4 ..I'll say it AGAIN..classic model miss-firing here as whenever reverse mobility is in the offing...and again I wouldn't be at all surprised to no see the ecm take control..and be the one to offer up nivarna....anyway all in all still in seasons past..great synoptics! -
Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?
tight isobar replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The German.model out of the stools..@12z. And looking dandy @overall. ...the big guns up next @gfs @ukmo @ecm...keep watching .!!✌ -
Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?
tight isobar replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Couple of randoms via 6z ..@500s can we get the ops to flurish today@iberian sector..@a more fluid flow!!!!#easterly. -
Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?
tight isobar replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Not gonna happen pal...there will be an-easterly flow by late next week...the scrutiny should only be how established.=prologned she becomes!!!...see ya @the 12z suites.✌ -
Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?
tight isobar replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I agree..the ukmo raw on a BIG stage this afternoon... -
Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?
tight isobar replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The members gfs - ensembles...are cracking tbh. ..and are certainly beginning a reaembilistic look of those of 2018!!!!...onto the 12z....✌ -
Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?
tight isobar replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Gfs...gets there...and in style too..real flow there now..and the snow machine is turned up to the max....!!!! -
Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?
tight isobar replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?
tight isobar replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Incoming on the 6z...and we are gaining on the wrap around=introducing of deeper pooling.=colder.@eventually...the ecm lagging big time...imo!!! Cannot post images atm.... -
Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?
tight isobar replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
We'll have a look at what the 18z throws up bud..then I'll give ya a heads up ☝...@cross precipitation models.. -
Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?
tight isobar replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Banging snaps this evening..@eps 12z......hold steady...winter is on its way...✌....with what could be a pent up passion ... -
Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?
tight isobar replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The ec op needs rehab=or a dry slap!!.@you decide!!...EPS...easterly incoming...and broad...welcome to winter...@REAL..ciao fa-now. @500 geos. -
Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?
tight isobar replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Sets up a fabbled northerly...rapidly becoming the Bernard manning model... -
Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?
tight isobar replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Next frame #### or bust -
Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?
tight isobar replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Much better polar profile here...and dynamical elongation......ecm gathering pace... -
Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?
tight isobar replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Amplification alert ecm!!! -
Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?
tight isobar replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
12z. and the easterly=likely delayed via output as the evolution gets to grips..AGAIN..a surface easterly by Thursday...then the show is on!!!..keep watching.... Edit: -the ecm should be of evolutionary delight tonight!!!??..as we are into the corridor stage...and miss firing should reverse...@no pun intended..... -
Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?
tight isobar replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The ecms thirst for exploding amp=heights..in the tightest pockets continues!..New data instal fails to eleviate it's thirst for any chance of amplification..it's acting bizzare atm...the upper atmos ramifications are playing havoc....but I'll suggest this...once the ball has stopped bouncing-and the clasp is clear...whatever the notion...this raw(ecm) will then be released from the nut house and lead!!...on we go... -
Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?
tight isobar replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The jet profile is ..this is where to be looking as height mechanisms run flat in that med=iberian geographical...the 850 hpa,s will find there way ..with such synoptic....mind you by this point you wouldn't be discouraged anyway..(as they are))... -
Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?
tight isobar replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
A lot of vision in the polar field annom(which is of mass importance @obviously!..as placement =and form...but the African sourced=iberian injections..are by far the fly in the ointment!! For ONCE..can our latitude shortwaves behave...and put a bridge on a basis...and aid rather than scupper!?. Although the N-hemisphere is as good as it gets...should that polar slink holds and places correct.then the forcing will be too much for any Mediterranean punch to the mid=highers...crazy =quality are model watching at its very best right now. -
Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?
tight isobar replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The snow machine potential..in the 00z is ridiculous!! Conversion..then runner features with more than amicable overhead sourcing..I'll cut n -run at this point ' as the variation is fraught past this prog..yet filled with gold..imo obviously!!! -
Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?
tight isobar replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I'll give it to ya ..your a knowledgeable member..and reserved in your assumptions.(canny probably)...but we'll get ya off the fence soon ..I'M SURE!!...