tight isobar

?????. Please

I Draw a line in your minds eye ? direct from the southern coastal point guide up to say reading then angle a mental looped line to the wash@east anglia... that whole zone WILL see snow of some descript... @most certainly.. away from the now highly likely battered (soon to be) amber area... the jury is out .. and substantial accumulation (within area mentioned-the loop line ) is also a reasonable possibility....and I certainly will not be posting ANY precipitation charts until tomorrow... @a pointless task!!!!

Turn it in

Last 1 on precipitation =rates =geographicals.. give it up and save yaself the drama until this time tomorrow.. it’s gonna go up n down like a yo yo. the high res...precipitation mods will draw in on this tomorrow!

It’s the Arpege.. ain’t worth a rub until 5hrs out..

. Nah....

That old-chestnut aye!!

Pal after nightfall tomorrow @saturday pm.. all precipitation @region wide will be snow!!.. the overheads couldn’t be more ripe if we tried.. @dews @bulbs @850s.... this is a polar continental pass... =white... not wet .. trust me on this!!@rapid cooling evaporators... any snow falling will be of powdery dendrite variaty and will stick like s@@t to a blanket

Tbh that’s becoming a distinct possibility... almost lake effect Kent/Essex/east anglia... ps-pay no attention to precipitation models and probable depth charts until tomorrow @24hrs out....everyone in the region will see snow over the nxt 3/4 days... we’ll deal with jackpot geographicals tomorrow ...@winter real incoming!!!

Our region fully in the firing line.. as expected via easterly incursion... some crazy weather imminent

Fully expect an extension of amber warnings across large swathe of the region.. as the easterly inflow ebbs in and the rolling convection machine ramps up massively.. as illustrated via the 00z ecm @ 850hpas @850vents @500 geo pot!... impactual organised snow bands... and persistent snow showers region wide.. sweet spots well in excess of 10/15 cms ground accumulation........ edit.. I hope that was straight forward =understood by some!!!

Later /early snaps eps/gefs.. as replicated via the gefs.. it’s likely.. revert.. and come again.. after any mobile =milder interlude...@500 pots.. split snaps @eps/gefs 12z suites.. link and cut of heights a gaining trend after our easterly... all options open.. and likely cold ones to boot

UKMO.. classic run ? =again.. blow up lp.. has two options.. go under or go away.. it’s there to see.. !! The mobile gods dunno whether there coming ..or going.. but they are not gaining.. it’s peach on the beach... or nothing!!. The inflow tight now via outs!!!

Dream run ?.. can we even say upgrade.. in given circumstances!!!!boom!!

When it comes to the most difficult precipitation to predict.. in meteorology.. and in a maritime island .. 24 hrs out is mostly still iffy/tricky.. I honestly do not get why people hype.. or sulk about em..@ outta range!!!!

Ya won’t fella.. I eject from in ere... keyboard snakes and irrelevants!!

@bundles of-snow for the south east... and dvr..lets av a look at your post easterly analysis pal aye... keyboard warrior type.. with no input.. on every level.!!!!

The minor graphics @ecm ens 12z. The scope-doubt there.. just about going forward... and it’s early days..

Jumped in ere coz if I post this in mod thread there will be meltdowns... via other region members!.. anyway in a nutshell our quadrant @@south east-east anglia are modelled in some data as mild sector geographical... I’ll illustrate why this is an evolutionary trait that is highly likely miss-modelled at this juncture..(later) and in such infer =incursion.. we’ll likely be the firing line points of this incoming flow..... some notable weather...@ incoming!!!!!!

The Iberian fed pump was always the kick in the teeth.. however they are miss-modelled atm by was of sequence.. as we have seen via various suites... one to watch...

Good to see ya bk.. and as per good analysis

Another stonker @12z ecm.. 144 as should be in general.. but more so now @cut off point.. let’s av a gander at supporting dat @ens =eps !!!... @easterly incursion

Location for extension..pocket waa.. will be the player going forward...

Mate this is an easterly incursion.. not a northery.. not a polar maritime shot... like a broken record.. let’s get it in.. then I think a different scope.. spread will evolve....

nuts @144 and is by now anyone’s guess @post this.. however if we get this under.. I cannot imagine the consequences!!!.. I’m cutting out here @144hrs... but.. look at the scope going forward on the polar profile scale... spring 2021 may never happen!!...