-
Posts
5,411 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
15
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Everything posted by tight isobar
-
Model output discussion 10/02/21
tight isobar replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Reading an-awful lot around various agencies-/and indeed in here of a leap into spring.. with a continued uping of tropical maritime like float!!!.. .. @false dawns are fuitile with eventual heartbreak!!..the drivers are in spring sequence.. yet the evolutionary.. is raising an eyebrow!. Mass scale gwo.. and indeed locale geographicals.. are at battle... some elevators also.. as-screenshot@euro melterts @height sources.. that are already hinting out in la-la to re-intro.. a winter bite... ebbing into March..will be brave watching.. on both fence sides... but the honesty -and possibilities.. say winter wants a final crack @the whip!!!.. an-incursion of 1 last notable punch .. can only be ruled out via the very naive... plots to note .. as highlights.. @possible roads to evolutionary points... ciao-fa-now -
Model output discussion 10/02/21
tight isobar replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The issue was “always “ getting migrating heights further north!! But the alleyways are still open..@just!! And a cold end feb.. early March are still applicable... February .. could be a record breaking month @2021 for a whole array of reasons... on we watch. -
Model output discussion 10/02/21
tight isobar replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Just to sum up.. confidence growing on another polar continental incursion.. but as much as I’m sure we’ll get there I think a slow evolution -process sums things up.. however again I think the two day window @saturday.. will start model alignment in some stonkers coming bk in the game!! Via the raws ...Ciao fa-now -
Model output discussion 10/02/21
tight isobar replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Meat on the bone ???! Certainly is .. and an almost crude gigantic omega block format!!.. and already at the surface feeling cold again!!! -
Model output discussion 10/02/21
tight isobar replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Ecm@144 firstly ya wouldn’t wanna be getting the mild bunting hung up.. and you only have to note where the most notable cold in the northern hemisphere sits.. not a lot of adjustments needed to throw the cat amongst the pigeons!! And we are stil two clear days imo away from getting model percievment.. on the details.... keep watching! @easterly round #2 -
Model output discussion 10/02/21
tight isobar replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
After the mildER blip thre are signs of a pathway bk to cold.. via gefs/eps 500s this is a classic point of crossroads-revert!.. much to be deciphered over nxt two days .. where imo by then a notable shift via outs of falling bk into preety much where we are now... with the outside chance of an-even more fridged incursion... as per time will tell... the pole is carved open -
Model thread discussion - cold spell looming
tight isobar replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Chucking these in as a guide.. preety impressive I’d say.. and backs the theme for recurrence/and on a more notable scale... if guidance is of scale your thing- which imo...IS..@MST,S -
Model thread discussion - cold spell looming
tight isobar replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Eps from the 12z @supporting- @500geis -mslp.. clear evidence for gaining block formats.. and either or Scandinavia heights.. or Greenland achievement.. or a morphed stamp on a connection of both.. all assumptions @this point.. but with reckon for some perhaps even more notable than is upon us!!! Needs an eye ?.. for sure.. as again we need to look &144 hrs to decipher our current incursion and its maybe.. maybe not shift!!! Great stuff atm -
Model thread discussion - cold spell looming
tight isobar replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Gfs 00z my personal fav.. for evo/signal solve.. looks decent!.. and applies that height format then retrogression.. and at minimum surface cold.. but has plenty of scope for a delivery of much colder air... -
The darcy reminents becoming a big pain in the b###ox.!! Stagnation and hold.. yet the shower activity out of the region..”with no infective of that..are making big inroads.. and running ? 1after the other.. which is more impactful than a stagnated decaying system!!! .. giving me the ache now!!!-also clear to see the split.. where the two scenarios are!!!!!