tight isobar

A distinct possibility!. But to early to gage atm .

The reverberations between. North/north easterly/ north westerly component, scream pop up features.. and where some of not only the best uk snow comes.. but a quick succession/ surprise!.. and the pool over the uk could easily fill with deeper uppers @850s than being currently modelled!, the incoming- incursion is the one for notice for me@ nxt week... now where’s my gravy jar ?

As per the ens. a slightly milder interlude post - the weekend.. then for me , this one could end up the surprise incursion, as we tap around a more influential Scandinavia flow:@ of sorts Needs a keen eye this 1..

The bigger picture; once again the purposed 2nd northerly setting up here and for myself.. eventually a more defined one than the coming weekend!, let’s see where she goes on this run ?..@ nxt week

Certainly is -

Exactly, and nxt weeks 2nd round northerly- is lining up to be more notable than the weekend.. it’s slowly taking a desirable evolution ..on we move ...And as the ens are saying... Anything after that is on the table @ flatter- mobile-@ a continuance of favourable Synoptics, as we gain . 12z updated -and even more prominent!

Twa,s-ALWAYS that @ nowcast it’s Wednesday s@ 12z this WILL look different again by tomorrow, probably not a look different in the grand scheme... but tiny tweaks mean so much , on our tiny maritime island!.. everyone is as much in the game .. as not.. atm..

And imo, 1 way or other it would sooner or later lead to a 1 way route..@ winter proper

Just wow check the Arctic forming high we’re going for a tripole split /separation here

The migration is on.. @ the mother lobe, can’t stand the heat.. and starts running ?? from her Canadian kitchen.. and as that we note invigorating waa-in the Atlantic.. the gravy jar is topping up again 1 thinks.. after 1st week of December

A link to Scandinavia?? Another prod here?

The pressure on the vortex is notable!- and the Pacific ridge is becoming a thorn in its side!.(Nina- consequence?) I’m sure we’ll see the forcing on this - especially on the Canadian lobe. With a more defined syphon to the north eastern quadrant!. For me it’s again a case of slow- yet notable model deciphering on the la- Nina input.

Gfs6z firming on 2nd northerly shot, and for me those uppers are moderated- I’d expect a climb down as we near.. but again we shall see. Edit; as dictated by the nxt few frames @ 850s

We’ll look at the eps on this shortly. But the last frame @240 looks highly aligned for more blocking to follow.. shortly after - it’s all looking a relatively milder blip.. as the models look to eleviate the mobile scene

Do yaself a favour.. start pulling at straws Friday morning, because until then it’s gonna be aggravating for yourself!@ precipitation charts

Problems with the ecm00z this morning!!. Supposedly running ? an hour late ...

Away from the weekend shenanigans.- for now.. that’s some serious re-belly flopping ens.. haven’t had time to post much last few days.. but I’m sure many of us- myself included, will be steadfast from tomorrow . Enjoy your evening.. albeit a chilly 1

It’ll be stale data, as others have said.. the forecast will be based on yesterday’s output.

The disparity/ conflict is there in form @ GEFS /@ Eps 500s . What’s more note worth, is the obvious wave construction into the pole.. along with a very complex- mindful upper hemisphere pattern overall.. we keep an eye firm

Summed up well here.

And just ever so quickly.. for those fascinated with my ale intake... I’m doing reasonably well on that level this evening

Let’s step in ere with such me “shaksperian rhetoric “. The margins nxt 10 days are tight but the 18z are noting the ejection shot from the Canada point.. he’ll bent on closing the mlb.. to a more defined /flatter consequence!.. however the now forming Nina prog, is looking @hopefully to go pacific @ wide basin.. so this alone is bound to play miss- fiddling with the model notions.it will be as ever ( but moreso here on in) watching the 500 geoptential heights at northern hemispheric shots as I expect to see some alarming wave activity.. as a more east base quadrant , possibly begins instructions on the raw out put... I’ll come bk with the latest supporting.. after the 18z are exhausted

Glad to be of service. ?

Thanks - dear chap

Another out- Another cracking suite for the climb down @18z