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Everything posted by tight isobar
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Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The gfs wasn’t 1 run in the easterly it’s been chucking g out Scandinavia heights suite- after suite @ solidly... that why I started to get my head up.. let’s just see where all suites/>sets go today?! -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
If you read my analysis- correct @in reply to @CreweCold, you’ll note I’ve said still possible but unlikely now, pretty much what you’ve quoted !. And certainly don’t need telling that an easterly is as rare as proverbial “hens teeth “ I bigged it up because all raws- and even some ensembles were indeed firing up in it... anyway it looks a false dawn , as preety much usually @easterly, I’d still not be surprised however on a sniff back at it.. in immediate suites. -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
And the ens on the 00z preety much sum-it up I’m afraid! .. no easterly - and trending less cold into December !! Ciao ? -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Such a rapid and dramatic loss of signal.. says it all Really!!@ Scandinavia heights ? -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
- the way it looks by today’s 12z.. is the way it’s gonna be- @ easterly gate!! -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I’m dumping this run ?- yes by my cold bias.. but also because it’s an- all round massive change!!.. if the ecm goes the same.. then I’m afraid we’re v- likely bk to the drawing board!!! This game ay ? -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
cc , and the run ? @ooz looks way out of kilter with its shenanigans @- around point Greenland ??- but I fear a new signal for shutting the door of an heights arm raised towards Scandinavia!!. We’ll probably see the ec.. flag us a BOOM in a while!- but we know as ya say the fragility of a craved easterly.. alls not lost but let’s hope as said.. is a mere wobble -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Annnddd that’s that the 00z cancels the easterly abruptly!! The Canadian seperation makes it all but impossible!!!!?-!!!! A horror show trend this morning!, it’s either making to much of energy separating, or the easterly is as dead as a do do Already!!!!? -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
? Gfs causing big problems here!- the next 3/4 frames will reveal! -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
A close eye this morning-@ to the NW @ Greenland- as energy mounts.. and it’s a case of aiding heights to Scandinavia, or perhaps squeezing them out.. we’ll see how we ride! Edit :-interesting- as the Canadian lobe starts separation! -
Autumn 2021 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
tight isobar replied to Seasonal Trim's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
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Autumn 2021 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
tight isobar replied to Seasonal Trim's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
?- it’s all back to below average-@temps by Wednesday- and the snow chances are a foot again also. A very brief milder 1/2 day blip! -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
No chance pal -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Well into the flow now.. and as -Again don’t play to much into the upper airs, as by then we will be drawing from surface cold and everything will be beginning to drop.. now let’s post these works of art below and the snow chances would be as open as anything @ easterly incur -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Snow chances are there Wednesday/Thursday/Friday- and no surprises to get surprises! @ northerly #2 - my punt is still for perhaps more from this than the by then last we now await the 18z evolution for the easterly. -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Quick- and to the point regarding the ecm 12z run ? @great = if it’s going in the correct direction your looking for... it has to start somewhere!!! -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Exactly it’s a firm step in that direction! And the form horse is advection to/toward Scandinavia, as per knee jerking setting in...let’s see where the euro heads -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I’m watching the Canadian trickle frame.. by frame.. -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion