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Everything posted by tight isobar
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Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yeah should have made it clearer !@ pm,ed you -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I don’t mind someone using my post for likes .. full ya boots pal -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Supporting- gaining EPS.. the global sea map naming, gonna end up re written.. @what even is the ATLANTIC ??!.. -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
- later in the week-?. The next 3 runs will likely start the revert. 18z/ooz/6z. Then hopefully play the pack leader..and deservedly- if the format is correct.. -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
As again northerly # 2 gainful in momentum, ! As it’s looked a faux cold infer ( in part) but with gain is now as expected is getting the tap. And wouldn’t bet against prolongment now either as we get to grips- to a degree with spading our pressure cell evolution!! 12z notching it up Later this week getting interesting! -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The gfs toyed with Canadian lobe separation, to shunt progress on any heights exeling. And can be forgiven.. as will look certainly for bk to default. As a mobile king!.. It’s the Atlantic prog model by way of design.. anyway, I think we’ll see the decipher- and revert in its nxt suite &@18z- if not for sure it’s 00z run. -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Siberian lobe is the daddy.. and wants to drain mummy’s resources .. from here it’s cold spilling into the mid latts and no prizes for what sector is prime. -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The catch up commence!!@ec12z.. @ lagging outs..the gfs with be the overall triumphant!. And will now revert to its - or nearby Synoptics! -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
This evening Canadian-GEM... the gfs - in 1st notion..?.. I’ll say this again... the rest are lagging!!.. behind @gfs.. and the revert will be back from the signal model@ GFS @ north east heights rises. -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Tell that to the structure of la-Nina influence!!!- the out- and out confusing is the energy formats in the usual zone @upper latitudes to the north west!. And along with the mjo format =twinning with an- Nina @still deciphering!!.. those alone are enough for complete- miss matches via outs.. but were getting there slowly.. I think??!? -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Looks like a snapshot - of where the GFS was the 1st mod to churn out these very Synoptics!!! -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
There’s a preety big di in data input since then!- we’ll soon see but for me it’s the signal man.. and I think we’ll see more solidity from its “now frowned up prognosis “- previous @ Scandinavia heights!! I’m sticking with it- for that road back .. and the rest to follow!!! -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Knocking the American model is fraught, it picks up signals and throws them out of the pram like a spoilt kid does toys: It has a 4 run ? circular suite per day(if ya like) with the highest time frame output!, and was the 1st to note a n/e heights signal!.. and was also the 1st of today @00z suite to pick up the demise of what it teased @ ramping energy around Greenland!.. so as a suite to suite run.. and with far more time pressing.. let’s not knock it just yet!!.. because my bet now, after viewing the other sets .. is maybe the initial signal was correct- or there about. @ Scandinavia heights of some sort!.. and we may end up with note of others that lagged.. when we get to a point of modelling agreement!!!,, keep ya eye on the gfs.. for those n/e heights.. and other ops pupping along!!..(behind) over to the 18z for me!!@ model divergence! -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Gfs @wetter/meteo.. stalled!! -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The gfs throws up a tri- ejected LP!!! I’m sorry it’s all over the gaff atm!!!- and understandably!!- it’s true model mayhem after 144 hrs -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The Pacific ridge has been a pain in the £€$@ for the last two seasons! It holds - and retracts at the worse possible times as if teasing!!! -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
While the ecm has now shallow heights at west Greenland- extending into north Scandinavia... there’s a lot to to resolved on this @heights placements > 144 plus... -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Then expands to Greenland within 1 frame we’ll see where she goes- but clear model volatility with directional heights atm!! Due to energy phasing -
Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
tight isobar replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
And right on cue the ec starts picking the signal? Where it goes full run is another story but already looking more aligned for heights moving n/e !!