tight isobar

That’s A-typical of any occlusion in the retreat.. and I’m honest in saying it’s ebbing and evolving great as it’s drag and draw in good momentum... the emphasis.. going more to the north/west- and inner parts of our region as the clock ticks down!!! Then being greedy and punching in the dark we look for land mass pepping.. as things progress!!!

@steve it’s snow shower madness Lincolnshire and up...however the feed /back band prediction for us is top notch and it’s organised banding.. and streamer like situ to boot .. it’s looking pretty decent .. as we move through the small hours!!

Yeah there is a@chance.. we still have a firm north easterly cutting across the region -varrying from time to time... it’s the precipitation boost-intensity that need an up spike.. then it’s open order... but the balance is slowly shifting in favour of more coming into the game!!!

Yeah.. the wind gradient playin aMASSIVE part here! Shower activity has gone through the roof from east anglia and above.. as the flow alternating.. it’s knif edge stuff as the precipitation packs in on the grab and absorb... honestly can see this working out effectively... the flow is now got ample guidance for pushing precipitation we’ll inland.. but the vents just need adjustment...!!

The shower activity out of our region is madness!!!!

Definitely a more organised band and moving westward.. this issue is atm land mass is acting as a shield.. any intensity will elbow everything west... if you get this overhead its steady continuous snow... ..

To get started darcy is the clear fly in ointment for pressure apply on convective application!.. however as things progress and she tames.. the notion is definitely building for more of a direct easterly.. not a flat zone horizontal.. but likely a more productive 1. Without so much north easterly component. And south of that dark black iso line... which is pretty much most of us... are in the potential game...it’s half time.. rather than an orange pour a drink ..and await 2nd half possibility!!!.. the precipitation gate is more than still open...

I’m As much as I like my DnB -/hard house .. walking ? in the snow listening to this man@paulo nutini- @better man. is soothing and soul cleansing... just thought I’d put that out there ?@snow seems to wake up the soul.. and a big part of why we are all here initially!!Gotta love paulo.. Amazing talent.. paulos voice doesn’t sing... he’s soul does

B4 we get involved in potential for the overnight period.. check these windchill factors (in direct exposure).... Also all points are favourable.. region wide.. and will likely continue the climb down!! our air sourcing @continental.. are bordering brutal..@windchill

Lol. Even though it’s modelled atm that way a nudge of heights to the north it’s a different story... altogether... it’s a working progress atm anyway.. we’ll see what the 18z chick up shortly

The convection belt waking up... the delayed ramifications could have been worth the wait.. overnight looks very interesting... we’ll have a gander in the nxt half hour.. for progression/possibilities

Uxbridge transition into a winter wonderland

Blizzard conditions now

I nicked 7cms ground accumulation 2018 in these streamer types..in 20 hrs.. even with light moderate falls... and It looks as though scenario 2 maybe beginning to play out!!!

Fairly heavy settling snow now @uxbridge..

Snowing moderately here now bitting wind

As per model thread; @ecm 12z the cold doesn’t abait/leave our region through the whole run!! Then we have sign of Greenland retrogression!!! February is ice month.. and the finer details are-nearly all that need scrutiny...

Ends with signal=retrogression... after yet more easterly incursion..winter in old fashioned full flow.... great stuff

It just gets better tbh... February always looked the dapper man.. and is living up.. so it would seem.. flow after flow.. is the notion!

V-good ecm... and the signal certainly there for a return from the east.. that being it even drops it’s grip initially... 12z ecm is worthy

=great and @168 it’s 7/10.. but could evolve as gfs.. as we gain in days and perhaps push them heights further.. =tap into deeper cold =quicker

Ecm a hares breath from cracking.. should be complete reload nxt frames...let get the wrap of heights!!

Proper .. we’ll see how it goes!!!