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Everything posted by Mark wheeler
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Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
Mark wheeler replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I am sure we did hit 30c in early October a few years back no ? , perhaps not . Just for the record I am not wishing for extreme heat and to be honest nothing that I have seen in the output recently is extreme especially given recent years . 30c may be reached but nothing is showing anything significantly higher. -
Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
Mark wheeler replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Thanks for taking the time to try and look. I have been hunting around myself, exciting times for the 1st time in ages , well for me anyway. -
Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
Mark wheeler replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Thanks , looks like maybe an issue with UKMO at the moment as I noticed it was missing this morning too. -
Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
Mark wheeler replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Normally it would show 45c in years gone by . -
Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
Mark wheeler replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
All hail the Mighty Navgem. Four runs in a row that it has churned out something quite similar. Not bad for a cannon fodder model, assuming it is somewhere near right of course. JMA also with a direct hit with the plume . Think it will happen now . How long can we hang on to warmer conditions for is up for grabs. -
Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
Mark wheeler replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Choo choo. ECM ends ok too . No much green incursions later in the run and signs of a further ridge making it way to us . Perhaps a cool outlier -
Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
Mark wheeler replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Anybody have access to the UKMO 156 and 168 hours charts? They have not uploaded in meteociel and it was the same this morning. The 144 hrs chart looks interesting at that juncture. -
Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
Mark wheeler replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Gfs has a few days of very usable weather especially the further south and east you are . The hottest air flirting with the south coast at times . -
Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
Mark wheeler replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
Mark wheeler replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
Mark wheeler replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
Mark wheeler replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
Mark wheeler replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I am sure it would be hot enough on those charts especially after what we have endured . JMA also has a brief attempt at the plume before being pushed east . It is great to see at least we look like getting a couple of decent days of decent weather. Lots of variations across the models of where we go after the initial push from the south . Very fascinating viewing at the moment . Navgem -
Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
Mark wheeler replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
Mark wheeler replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
Mark wheeler replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Woahhhh , the JMA is on board too tonight, are we about to say goodbye for a while to the green charts that has been posted so readily in the past few weeks. -
Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
Mark wheeler replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Put it this way . I post it as a bit of fun , Its not a great model . However good to see multiple models this evening with a plume of sorts . -
Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
Mark wheeler replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
Mark wheeler replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Indeed . Just realised I am off to Majorca too so perhaps I shouldn't hope for a significant pattern change too much . -
Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
Mark wheeler replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
Mark wheeler replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
Mark wheeler replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
A brief plume also showing on GFS 12z overall not a bad run at all , especially after what we have already endured. -
Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
Mark wheeler replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
Mark wheeler replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion