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Mark wheeler

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Everything posted by Mark wheeler

  1. Mark wheeler
    Aprege in range for Saturday and has 25c for the south east . Slightly disappointing elsewhere but only one run. Not that 20c is to be sniffed at in October.
  2. Mark wheeler
    Well you didn't say it word for word but you came pretty close when the ECM was showing the heat for the coming weekend . the rest is history and the GFS caved in.
  3. Mark wheeler
    Has that ever happened For real in the past , or is this potentially the 1st time ? Asking anyone that knows please .
  4. Mark wheeler
    Gem also want to prolong the warmth in to Wednesday too . UKMO showing the warmth ebbing away later Monday .
  5. Mark wheeler
    1st out if the 12z blocks is of course the Icon . Prolongs the heat in yo Monday and still has it ebbing slowly away on the Tuesday. Interesting that the 6z had the higher 850s hanging on longer , a minority still dropping of quicker like this mornings Ecm lets see what the others say.
  6. Mark wheeler
  7. Mark wheeler
    The ens look like they agree broadly with that scenario this evening , however there is a minority but significant cluster that keep it warmer for longer. Lets see what GFS says soon and more so the runs tomorrow, fantastic model watching as the transition of seasons unfolds.
  8. Mark wheeler
    I think that's up for grabs still . Mogreps have plenty staying warm for London . Further north and west less so although still some keeping it warm even here .
  9. Mark wheeler
    Yes a home run for the ECM regarding the southerly it seems . All models tonight have this as I have recently posted. So @ANYWEATHERare you ready to accept here that you was wrong on this occasion? Ecm has had a success here and yes it is extreme for the time of year. Interestingly ECM now clears the heat quicker , whats to say it is not right this time too ?
  10. Mark wheeler
    Well that would certainly be a shock to the system. I wouldn't say no , although would prefer it in December .
  11. Mark wheeler
    Yep Gem joins the bonanza. Appreciate it is not everyones cup of tea at this time of year but really hoping this comes off so our family can enjoy a bbq on sunday to celebrate a birthday.
  12. Mark wheeler
    Its coming home , its coming home , its coming Summers coming home . in October!!!!. UKMO 144
  13. Mark wheeler
    The GFS has almost completely gone to the ECM solution now . Yesterdays 12 GFS had the trough dominant . Interesting to see the other models now and to see what the ECM comes up with now .
  14. Mark wheeler
    Yes and similar to last nights Ecm , Last nights ECM below for comparison.
  15. Mark wheeler
    Well, well , well the GFS 18z has had a look at the ECM and said , ok mate I think you may be on to something here .
  16. Mark wheeler
    Interesting . A few going below 0 later on.
  17. Mark wheeler
    Saving this post
  18. Mark wheeler
    Lovely Jubbly .
  19. Mark wheeler
    Different options certainly still , interesting that the GFS control goes for a southerly. This looks to be a good run if you want one last blast of heat .
  20. Mark wheeler
    Ukmo also going with a southerly although it has to be said not as potent as this morning.
  21. Mark wheeler
    To highlight your point about a quick switch around to a northerly, have you seen the Ecm control ?
  22. Mark wheeler
    UKMO is more Ecm than GFS although EC has a bigger euro high , attached is both at 168 hrs . My money is with the Ecm over Gfs . Just to add mogreps looks to be heading up in regards to 850s , but many fall away at the end .
  23. Mark wheeler
    I was hopeful that the high uppers would eventually topple eastwards . A bit like the Ecm has done so this evening.
  24. Mark wheeler
    A nice UKMO this evening
  25. Mark wheeler
    I don't think anyone was taking last nights charts on the Ecm as gospel , however there is a trend going that way and the signs and Possibility** is still there . There was plenty of eps this morning still showing this kind of scenario such as the control run .
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