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Everything posted by Mark wheeler
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Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Mark wheeler replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Met never get onboard early with regards to snow , why would they as there is enough warning in their extended update to cover all bases . The latest update is a sensible and safe option. -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Mark wheeler replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Here we go again, the useless pub run. But I am interested anyway -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Mark wheeler replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Mark wheeler replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
All roads lead to Cold , eventually anyway. -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Mark wheeler replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Don't worry , the cold is on it's way , no 18z run will change that for me -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Mark wheeler replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
All good Matt, yeah it all looks positive , I was going to post the Navgem too but its crap, I mean I know its Crap but tonight its crap , crap . Exciting times ahead even if it is just a chase . I have missed it . -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Mark wheeler replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Evening all , just catching up after a long day at work , looks like we are still firmly in the game . Checking out Mogreps 12z every location this evening is sub zero on 850s by the end of the run. Some area especially further south have a slight rise before falling again, maybe indicating a low pulling away southeast perhaps. still to have all locations quite easily sub zero is a plus as I saw this morning and on the 6z there was more scatter . -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Mark wheeler replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Mark wheeler replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes you are right, I stand corrected, biggest fail for me was that 72hours out on all models. Sorry to derail. -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Mark wheeler replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Ohh a lot of us know , December 2012 nearly all models had the easterlies, the Met and all was onboard. Then suddenly one morning it was gone on all runs . , but we don't wanna give you that . -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Mark wheeler replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
And every single individual run on mogreps end up sub zero in all locations I posted . Brilliant !!!! -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Mark wheeler replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Mogreps trending Cold too . Birmingham to me was particularly notable. Not much spread either, that can surely only be good news for coldies . -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Mark wheeler replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Mark wheeler replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Mark wheeler replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Quieten down everyone . Its time for the model we have all been waiting for . Please stand aside for the Mighty , Mighty Navgem . -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Mark wheeler replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I know not exactly at the same time frame but look at the difference in 850s from 0z to 12z at around 144hrs -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Mark wheeler replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Been burnt to many times -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Mark wheeler replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Lots of easterlies in there . The met will wait much longer before jumping on , as you have well explained there are reasons not to fully jump on it . -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Mark wheeler replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Mark wheeler replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Big Navgem tonight -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Mark wheeler replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
TBH thats the one I always look for as others have said if UKMO says no in my experience it rarely happens . Nice to see. -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Mark wheeler replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Mark wheeler replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Mark wheeler replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Is there not a ECM 6z that goes out that far ? Not that will resolve anything.