Mark wheeler

And the GFS ends up with a lock in

Not now @120hrs

Ukmo and ecm 72 hrs compared . Ecm has the northely closer to the uk at this juncture.

Still a cluster of colder runs in here , nothing outrageous though.

To my untrained eye on the Mogreps there seems to be two clusters/ solutions developing . Happy to be corrected. I know which one a lot of us would prefer.

JMA

Wowzers

Oops . Apologies, would still take the dark blue line though

Mogreps 6z again not without interest. I will take the dark blue run please . edit - sorry to hear of your loss blizzard81

Mogreps not without interest this evening.

Winter is coming , even if it is mild and wet . Been lurking but now going get back in the seat again and start hunting after a break.

Yayy downgraded for us it seems .

Wow , looked at the tv forecast last night and they said a few showers in the southern most parts of the area , in reality we have this . It never happens when it is snow

Interesting

Keep approaching here in Chessington too, have heard a few rumbles already.

Its all too early, so sad , someone will be happy though.

Awful weather the last few days. For me this is Boring blahh. Roll on winter . ps , thoughts are with those affected. Take me back to this anytime. or ️

The worst kind of weather for me , miserable, dank and wet , yuck

Waiting for winter proper now . Been frustrating watching some great charts knowing what might have been if it was 2 months later . The rain lovers can fill their boots now literally . Hopefully we can get some proper winter conditions soon . Oh and a frosty bonfire night.

Well the ECM a week or so ago now had it bang on for today . 26c was almost reached and we have 2 days left too of this before we wave goodbye to summer 2023 . Today has been excellent, BBQ with the family, never before in October . That said My attention now is starting to look for the Holy grail that is cold , Ice and ultimately snow. Going to be more and more difficult now but we live in hope . let the hunt for cold begin..... Unless we can get 20c next weekend .

Chilly indeed. Can't believe I have a sunburned bald head in October LOL.

Yes 26c has been mentioned on Tv forecasts this evening as a possibility, tomorrow and also out to Tuesday sees a possibility of similar values . 25c was reached today in a few places in the southeast with just short of that the day before. This is no short spell of warmth and as others have said today it could come back, albeit and obviously watered down as time goes by. For me November the 5th is ingrained in my memory. As a kid it was always freezing cold , remember snow at least once too. I will after October begin the hunt for cold . Before that tomorrow brings a October BBQ , never done that before. Edit , Just to add charts from Harmonie , Nmm and aprege. My mind goes back to that ECM run a long time back now, it was very close despite being ridiculed from some quarters.

Thought some may be interested to know .

In July we expected July temperatures but sometimes got Octobers temps.

Would personally love to go from summer weather straight to winter weather but that wouldn't be fair on the ones that love autumn .