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Beaufort12

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Everything posted by Beaufort12

  1. What sort of wind gusts can we expect over NI&Scotland? Over land to be precise not coastal areas
  2. 84mp/h Sustained winds off the Irish coast Wednesday evening according to the 0Z GFS
  3. 84mp/h Sustained winds off the Irish coast Wednesday evening according to the 0Z GFS
  4. Blame the graveyard shift not me. Severe winds for my location Wednesday night if that was to verify
  5. Hi guys. Is there any chance that Sundays low could still track further South and affect more areas or is it pretty certain it will be a fleeting miss. Thanks
  6. ECM cooler this time +168 with -4 uppers flirting NW Ireland and Scotland. HP further East in Europe
  7. I'm a complete novice at reading models but I honestly don't see the point. Gfs is released 4 times per day and differences in each run are crazy. By the time you've analysed them they are showing something completely different in the next run. That's my experience anyway
  8. Early stages yet but looking better for my location already concerning the white stuff
  9. How does Tuesday's snow potential look? non-existent?
  10. I'm glad this happened as it has reminded me how pointless model watching is. Last winter was disgusting to follow. Good bye(I'm not throwing toys I'm saving my sanity)
  11. I'm relatively new to model watching. However, why is so much faith put in to each run if it can flip so drastically in a six hour timeframe and often has in the past? I've always struggled to understand this
  12. Is that the dreaded Azores High I see destroying my life right about now?
  13. I haven't checked models since last winter but to my untrained eye the ECM looks pretty crap
  14. I've seen snow last may at 7am it lasted for 20mins,also in early may roughly 5years ago
  15. Peeved off,nothing in east donegal and can't see me getting any tonight. Does any1 think I have a chance?
  16. Lights flickering here too,blizzard outside
  17. Did that include the western extremities around west tyrone too? please jesus ha
  18. Was the Rodger being right part sarcasm?? If so I agree
  19. M.T on boards.ie or Rodger Smith as he is known here doesn't see what all the hype is about until tomorrow. He can't see any real low level snow until the second half of friday Folks, bear in mind, the snow risk in Ulster is probably more for the second half of this event, when it begins to move back south tomorrow (evening) and the chances will decrease once the rain arrives because for a time there will be a slight warm advection going on as far north as Antrim. Snow may still happen on higher slopes before Friday afternoon-evening, but the heavier snow seems likely to begin then and last into Saturday morning. I think it may mix and melt near sea level but land and stick on hills, inland counties of Ulster could see a heavy snowfall event. For Donegal I imagine the outcome will be quite variable place to place, which is not much of a forecast but if you wanted to estimate, snow will be greater wherever ground is sloping up to west and winds can attack from east. If that is opposite to your situation then you might not see much snow.
  20. Ronan their first warning was stupid and made no sense. It was like kiddies art work. I'm sticking to the offical met office warning system
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