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Isabellesnanny

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Everything posted by Isabellesnanny

  1. Isabellesnanny
    Thank you CC - trying not to show my ignorance too much but I am still at the stage where I am dependant on forecasts as the models are still a puzzle to me .
  2. Isabellesnanny
    Forecast I have just seen shows temparatures up to 11 - 12 degrees by next Wednesday - are the models not pointing to this? (sorry for my ignorance at model reading - I am trying )
  3. Isabellesnanny
    Is there any sign of any milder weather showing on the models - much as some people like the drama of what is unfolding with elderly, unwell relatives this period of weather cannot end too soon for me.
  4. Isabellesnanny
    Anyone have any idea what the outlook is for Croydon area overnight and into tomorrow?
  5. Isabellesnanny
    I am about 6 miles from Croydon and nothing here .
  6. Isabellesnanny
    All looks pretty dramatic according to posters on here but BBC weather didn't really seem to forecast anything very severe - do the professionals have more information to look at than is available to the general public. There have been an awful lot of times when very severe conditons seem to be forecast on here but the forecasters haven't gone along with these and have been proven correct so wondered what additional information they might have available?
  7. Isabellesnanny
    What is the forecast on NW based on? - according to that I wil most likely not be able to leave the house for 3 days as it has my postcode under 95% risk of snow from tommorow afternoon all the way through till Tuesday evening - NOT the impression I got from the forecast on the BBC News a few minutes ago. Do any of you go by NW forecast - never seems very acurate to me - one day last week I had a 95% chance of snow late afternoon when there was no snow forecast anywhere and nor did it arrive - seems to me to be a bit of a white elephant.
  8. Isabellesnanny
    What are the chances of getting home from work in London on Monday evening if these charts verify - are we talking about disruption to the railways?
  9. Isabellesnanny
    Must admit I can't understand the obsession with the cold and snowy conditions - I am ready for the warm weather- to be able to get out and about and enjoy doing things - beats sitting indoors with the heating blasting not being able to get anywhere.
  10. Isabellesnanny
    The one thing that strikes me as a complete novice is that whatever model shows the desired outcome (generally cold) this seems to be the best . All I have seen recently is how dreadful GFS is but now it is showing cold the other models are rubbish or should be bined - very confusing for us learners.
  11. Isabellesnanny
    Are we still in for the milder/less cold spell next week or is this no longer forecast?
  12. Isabellesnanny
    What are the NW 10 day forecasts based on? - looking at those tonight my area is set t have almost continual snow from Friday till the following Thursday - not quite what the forecast on the BBC advised or anything like the Met Office forecast - how can it be so different?
  13. Isabellesnanny
    The more I look at these forums the more confused I become - particular if I had looked at the MODS threads first. Can anybody give me more of an idea whether we are predicted snow here ( I am in the Croydon area) we have a family member currently undergoing Chemotherapy and being stuck and unable to get to where you need to go because of the weather in those circumstances is pretty worrying. Sorry meant to post this in the Regional thread - not sure how I move it
  14. Isabellesnanny
    Just showing my complete lack of knowledge here but are the models showing cold rather than snow - Met Office update for Day 6-15 which was updated at 16.00 hrs is as follows; 'Predominantly dry weather is likely to prevail over the UK through to the end of the month. Cloud cover will vary from day to day, but most areas should see at least some sunny periods. Western and southwestern parts have the greatest chance of seeing any rain as weather systems try to push in from the west at times. There may also be some wintry showers in eastern counties too. It now seems increasingly likely that there will be little change in this pattern through to the end of the month. Temperatures in most places will be close to normal at first, with no more than patchy frost by night, but a downward trend is likely later in February, with frost becoming more widespread and daytimes feeling rather cold' Do the models show much snow or is it just the lower temperatures and frosts ? Met Office does not seem to give any indication of snow other than some wintry showers. Apologies for the questions.
  15. Isabellesnanny
    Forgive my ignorance as I am pretty poor (well very poor in fact) at translating the maps. Can you tell me when temperatures will start to get colder - looking at forecasts for the week through to next Weds/Thurs temperatures are showing double figures - is this not going to be the case and if not when will we see temperatures start to fall again after mild blip we are now due to get? Thanks
  16. Isabellesnanny
    I have to agree - as a newbie it is very difficult to actually follow the models and peoples perceptions of them because dependant on people's bias they will find cold or mild whichever is their preference in that model - in fact as soon as you see the name of a poster you can pretty much work out what their post will say It would be a lot easier for those of us who are new on the boards to get a handle on the whole thing if the emotion was taken out of some of the posts and an unbiased opinion given.
  17. Isabellesnanny
    Sorry if this is off topic - not sure where else to post. As a real amateur just wondered what the Netweather forecasts ( 7 day/10 day) are based on - they seem to change so dramatically with each 6 hour whereas with the Metoffice forecast you can generally think that the next 24 hours is pretty much correct - for example hardly any snow for my region on the 4am run whereas by 10.00am snow everyday for almost the next 10 days. I am still struggling with the models so rely on the forecast to know what is going on but I am just confused as to why such drastic changes occur on this particular forecast which are not showing on others. Again sorry if off topic but would be grateful for your thoughts.
  18. Isabellesnanny
    Does anybody use the 10 day forecast on the NW homepage as a guide to how the weather is going to be? I check this regularly but have to say it seems only to be believed on the day - for example snow risk this morning for my area was Tuesday only about 30% - 2 hours late Tues/Weds 80%, Thurs 60% - seems to be pretty useless as a tool other than a now-cast at which stage I can just look out of the window.
  19. Isabellesnanny
    What are the chances for snow in this region for next week ( Croydon area)?
  20. Isabellesnanny
    Think I am spending to much time on theses forums - especially model discussion which is up and down so much it is giving me a headache. Seems from looking on there that a cold spell with snow is pretty much on the cards for nest week however I am in the Croydon area and the 10 day forecast which all day had said 80% snow next Tuesday and Wednesday is now showing 0% Tuesday and 30% Wednesday - what do you believe. Is it just that the model discusson is ongoing and changing literally all of the time and the actual forecasts take a wider view? Very confused
  21. Isabellesnanny
    Hopefully this is not too of topic - apologies if this is the case as I am very new to this. It amazes me how charts and models that seemed to show that a cold/wintery interlude was not forthcoming this morning seemed to do a complete u-turn and now show something that everyone is getting excited about . Bearing this in mind, how likely is it that this scenario could also change at this stage?
  22. Isabellesnanny
    I have looked at the Met office and the symbol for Friday is sleet as somebody has pointed out- but, there is no mention of any sleety precipitation on any of the forecasts tonight or indeed on the Netweather or Metcheck forecasts - where have they picked up the sleety signal?
  23. Isabellesnanny
    I agree - I am a newbie and a bit of a lurker here but I too feel a bit nervous about posting unless enthusing about a major cold event being on the horizon. Again I am learning a lot but there does seem to be a lot of negativity against posts that aren't ramping up a certain type of weather.
  24. Isabellesnanny
    My daughter is a teacher at a Croydon School and they are still planning on opening.
  25. Isabellesnanny
    I have to make a trip to parents in Gloucestershire from here in Croydon in the next week - when does it look like this could even be a possibilty?
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