Daniel*

These are quite cool my prediction we fall within 0.5C of 1991-2020 normal. I can’t see this month finishing remotely exceptional rather ordinary overall.

If you could read correctly I was not making comment for UK… in Central Europe highs will collapse from 30C to 10C in a matter of a few days. The change is considerable but of course it begins from a very elevated position.

It’s still chilly the EPS is resolute on a spell of below average temperatures which centres on Central Europe the strongest and most persistent since January. After a record warm first half in continental Europe this is a spectacular change.

nonsense this benign/cooler spell is confirmed beginning shortly. Not unusual for April.

Are they? Majority develop La Niña over summer. CFS particularly strong with it. More wishcasting from yourself. also new

It’s quite normal to break daily records in an individual year they’re not particularly noteworthy well nothing compared to monthly record or all-time. We can’t forget we are seeing influence of strong El Niño, this increased global heating accelerates the number of warm records. 2025 is expected to be cooler than 2023 and 2024, so whilst UK might not see less records on balance it should evidently around Earth there will be less but of course still well outweighing cold.

Yes but some months increase is significant for example February… 30.2% increase on 1961-1990! Really significant it used to be our driest month up to 1981-2010 now it’s third driest. I produced this graph 1948-2023… 2024 was another very wet February with 85mm.

Are you looking at map? Your location has not been drier than average. You live in a dry part of world.

very wrong

Record warm air mass and we haven’t even scraped 20C in London

Where do you see that? Met Office has a 19C high in London but feel like temperature of 15C. The gusty breeze will make it feel cooler, I can’t see it feeling warmer.

Remarkable coldest night in almost 70 years in Sweden.

Well it’s not that’s not meteorological autumn, it was first summer since 2008 where either July or August failed to reach 30c in London.

I must have missed that last summer

8.8c and 89mm thanks, El Niño April’s tend to feature some colder N winds let’s see..

No, there’s not.

Not sure about that March 1995 was sunniest on record at Heathrow a sign of things to come.

EPS is very unsettled into April potentially wettest weather at this time of year since 2012. London Plymouth Unbelievably rainy the past 18 months and for now it continues on and on…

Your choice being in Canada

It’s not coincidence

Perhaps more mixed further north at Heathrow with 1991-2020 normals in brackets. 1998 the cloudiest summer of 1990s still above 600 sunshine hours! 1993: June 224.2 (208) July 174.6 (218) August 219.4 (202) Total: 618.2 hours 1998: June 158.4 (208) July 184.6 (218) August 262.6 (202) Total: 605 hours

I was speaking more for summer. Maybe for your own, and well your location is not particularly representative. 1990s were sunniest decade in London.

Quite sure we will see a decline in sunshine hours with 2001-2030 averages… we’ll lose the sunny 90s summers.

Signal for below average temperatures next weekend. Arctic air.

No, I categorically do not think this is possible on current climate might that change by 2100? Possibly. The main challenge is latitude and surrounding by relatively much cooler water. Realistically it would only happen in SE or EA. I feel example of Lytton, BC is given as reinventing what’s possible but there’s not a single site with similar geography to that in UK. There is not an exceptional foehn site in southern UK. The most notable foehn sites are seen in Scotland but of course it’s never going to be be as hot up there.