ptow
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Everything posted by ptow
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We had a Red warning in Reading on 5th Jan 2010. Got 36cm of lying snow out of it.
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It will always melt in the sun. This time of year theres quite a bit of sun when it comes out
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Yes, I tried to suggest in the MOD thread many times that the time of year would significantly modify the impact on the ground but got shot down and on some occasions even had my posts deleted for daring to suggest that snow would be melted and the sun feel warm out of the wind
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It may fall but rarely settles for more than an hour
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It’s been the case right across the south all day.
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I was told time and time again that it will be so cold the higher sun won’t melt the snow. Dew points being so low and all. Well the sun melted all the snow today and even with these uppers some places recorded 3/4 degrees unless it is a major blizzard with sub zero temps and cloud cover forget it after mid feb. It’s pointless
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Highs were -4 in feb 1991
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If uppers are likely to be as 91 how come we are not going to be getting the snow that we did in 91. If the cold pool is of similar depth. Perhaps low pressure was closer by in 91. I am not saying we wont get snow, just that in 91 there was a strong signal of heavy persistent snow from the start
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Most apps seem to be showing these sort of temps. Maybe they are just from raw data.
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Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
ptow replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Indeed, we have seen the trends reversed before and we don't have access to the tools that the Meto do. -
Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
ptow replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes, today it is cold to very cold, yesterday it was holy grail and being compared with 1991/87/96 by many experienced members. Now it is not. Hence the dissappointment. It not rocket science -
Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
ptow replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
If a 2 degrees diff in uppers equates to 2 degs on the ground then that's the difference between blowing dry powdery snow and drip, drip -
Model output discussion - Post SSW - Will it turn cold?
ptow replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
and yet the apps are still showing 2-4 degrees next week -
Model output discussion - Post SSW - Will it turn cold?
ptow replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Initially the real cold started showing on the models as the 18th it is now the 28th -
Model output discussion - Post SSW - Will it turn cold?
ptow replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yesterday those deep blues were over us on the 27. Today its the 28 -
Model output discussion - Post SSW - Will it turn cold?
ptow replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes but it’s still 10 days till the real stuff hits us. As has been the case for the last 2 weeks -
Model output discussion - Post SSW - Will it turn cold?
ptow replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Just as many going for +5 as -10. A few towards-15 but not many -
Maybe the many claiming benefits and pretending to not be able to work therefore not adding to the pot that would have helped pay for that Social Care budget have some blame as well
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Model output discussion - proper cold spell inbound?
ptow replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Agreed, but we are discussing the actual output at the moment, which is showing just plain old bulk standard cold, albeit good synoptics. Nothing exceptional. I just think some not so knowledgeable members will get the wrong end of the stick. Some comparing to 1991, this (at the moment on present evidence) isn't even fit to lace the boots of 1991 -
Model output discussion - proper cold spell inbound?
ptow replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Which is not very cold, bitterly cold, amazingly cold, epic cold or any other superlative to add to the word cold. In fact it barely registers as cold for Feb -
Model output discussion - proper cold spell inbound?
ptow replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes, I remember it well, I was in Brum myself at the time. There were plenty of snow showers but didn't really settle and as you say pleasant in the sun -
Model output discussion - proper cold spell inbound?
ptow replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
No, I was purely going by the 0-3 day maxes. Not sure if that was from the 0z or the 6z tbh. Stunning for me would be something yielding sub zero maxes and I am talking lower than -1. I haven't seen any data to suggest deep cold being likely -
Model output discussion - proper cold spell inbound?
ptow replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes, its a long way off but to clarify, and in the interest of balance, for anyone that is confused at present based on the evidence we are more likely to be looking toward a standard cold spell rather than anything any of us would call spectacular.