booferking

Metoffice hinting at a change in the east maybe in there last long rang forecast. The first week of New Year is likely to be unsettled, with spells of wet weather, and some snow possible over the higher ground of the north. This may be accompanied by strong or gale force winds, with a low risk of severe gales. The wet conditions are likely to be mixed with some brighter, showery interludes and also some brief drier spells. As we move into the second week of January there are signs of an east to west split developing, with mild, wet weather in the west and colder drier weather in the east. Temperatures are generally expected to remain around or just above normal for most, but slightly below at times with some night frosts possible in the settled, drier spells

Were still on track i think these lows will dig deeper as time goes on.

GEFS Ensembles just don,t want to come out

Strange posts in here this Morning nothing has changed in my eyes ECM & UKMO the same @144 so both go for the undercut and as this gets closer i think this could go further under as that is one strong Russian block with a jet digging deep south. Alot of people taking the GFS as the gospel in here strange.

Would the fax charts be a good tool to use @120 as it is human input.

More going under in this run hopefully....

Thanks for that..

Thanks for that..

Anybody know if there is site were i could view free precipitation charts for the ECM please.

The low on ECM @96hrs seems to be further south this could be good.

Nice battle here will be nice to be on the cold side of the battle some big snow totals. Jet well under i might add.

Looks like a better run this is going to be so hard to model even up to 4 days out.

If there was a bank open tonight i would bank the 240 ECM chart haha.

My eyes are watering don,t know if its the ECM charts are to much Red Wine.

Not bad agreement between UKMO & ECM @144

Cheers thanks for your input we are making small steps . .

Whats the odds now of this happening GFS has went the other way in the short term, has the UKMO got a better verification rate than the GFS to any of you experienced posters.

Thats a site for sore eyes.

One thing is for sure we are in for a change of sorts. Vortex just got distroyed

And the trend continues.

I agree heres to the GEM

Happy Christmas everyone and may the good runs keep showing.

Missing data you might be right, but just because its showing an bitter easterly lets just wait and see in the morning and Merry Christmas to you all.

Very little difference between ECM & GFS @ 72hrs.

Yes but the numbers are growing as far as i can see hopefully it continues.