Jump to content
Will it snow? 7 day forecast Weather Radar Will it be cold?
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?

Johnp

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    1,094

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Johnp

  1. Johnp
    Can't say I agree with any of that,unless I still have sleep in my eyes? GFS is a terrible run, not that it means anything.
  2. Johnp
    To be honest, all that shows is the GFS doesn't have a Scooby.
  3. Johnp
    Steve, I agree,although surely you mean the low moving SW, not SE?
  4. Johnp
    Good for you, see you on the 3rd.
  5. Johnp
    It's certainly there again on the 00z! Doesn't deliver for us on this run,but certainly interesting.
  6. Johnp
    UKMO nearly splitting the vortex again at 144hrs. I think we could get 'back in the game' a lot quicker then some were expecting.
  7. Johnp
    Snowy breakdown possible on this one http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2015013018/gfs-0-198.png?18 with cold air following on. In fact, wouldn't take much to head in to slider territory.
  8. Johnp
    Based on the definition of an outlier that people have been using on weather forums for over ten years (i.e standing out from the majority of the ensemble set)
  9. Johnp
    Cracking GME to start the 12 z's http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gmee_cartes.php?&ech=132&mode=0&map=0&archive=0
  10. Johnp
    First with the bad news as ever IDO! Luckily history shows a SSW isn't always required for a cold spell.
  11. Johnp
    New year.....same old dross from the models! Looks like a stormy couple of weeks. Happy new year, one and all!
  12. Johnp
    I'm getting a bit bored with the constant sarcastic comments aimed at the ECM model to be honest. If you have such little faith in it, why not leave it out of your roundups?
  13. Johnp
    My problem with those that follow stratospheric going's on, is every time I see a chart posted, it seems to be 384hrs out. Are these warmings actually ever 'happening'?
  14. Johnp
    That's an odd post, because my eyes have been drawn to the Arctic high coming into view on both the GFS and UKMO this morning. In fact I'd say they're the most promising runs I'd seen fit several days now. * typically the GEM has gone belly up though!
  15. Johnp
    I know that is a 144hr chart. So were the two charts you posted?
  16. Johnp
    I think you'll find this chart does existhttp://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rukm1441.gif.My point is quite obvious, I disagree with your post about the Atlantic rolling in and am stating that if you look at all the model output instead of cherry picking charts you will see it isn't so cut and dried.
  17. Johnp
    You forgot to show UKMO and GEM?
  18. Johnp
    Some very odd charts, now appearing in the output http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1861.png Hardly an angry Atlantic is it? I get the feeling the models are sniffing around a different cold pattern then we all perhaps were expecting, changes may take longer but could well be worth the wait.
  19. Johnp
    This run is absolute cobblers, I can't see the low just sitting out west like that and declining in situ. I'm not giving up yet!
  20. Johnp
    Is there any chance of using some grammar? Take your time!
  21. Johnp
    No it hasn't. The ECM is in no way zonal.
  22. Johnp
    Also proven you make knee jerk reactions to early stages of runs.
  23. Johnp
    I disagree - it has been by far the best model all winter. However, it is now spring so hpoefully it has a down-turn in fortunes!
  24. Johnp
    Is it? I only have up to T60?
  25. Johnp
    A pint of whatever your drinking please! There are no two ways about it. GFS has been dire this winter (for our part of the world) and I am considering not even looking at it when I check the models and sticking with UKMO and ECM. UKMO has had a particularly good season.
×
×
  • Create New...