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daveinSB

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Posts posted by daveinSB

  1. It’s been beautiful here in Acton for the best part of the day, I’ve been watching convection reach it’s limit and drop away. But there’s the odd cloud that looks to be reaching higher now, very pretty, maybe there might be a shower over London at some point this evening.

    Looking SSW towards the Richmond - Twickenham - Feltham region, there’s the odd bit of convection that looks good

  2. Now living in Twickenham (need to update location) = first pulse of heavy rain looks set to miss, but it doesn't appear to be all that thundery, oh well.

     

    Later however with the cells north of Caen, by the Channel Islands and the beast over east brittany/west of Orléans look promising , if not potent (french replqcement keyboard (French Wife), can't  find the exclaimation point, but :bomb: (and I'm a conservative storm type)

    • Like 1
  3. post-19491-0-12397800-1435319512_thumb.p

     

    These are fun to look at, but for the sake of the casual observer, these are not to be taken seriously. I don't think any credible chart suggests 40C could be reached. GFS temps, though far from infallible, are a much better guide.

     

    I have a wedding in Central Paris on July the 4th and I'm becoming increasingly concerned that no-one is taking these high temps seriously. Obviously they won't be 45/46, more like 35/36 but my family have very pale, typical English ruddy skin, and they do not seem to be taking heed of my concerns :/

    • Like 1
  4. Hard to say but the low seems to have parked itself NW of Ireland ? looks a bit further south then forecast ? Temp still going up here 11.0c. Squall should be arriving 5-10 min. 

     

    Squall arrived, heavy rain, wind no more than 30 mph so far. 

     

    Tomorrow's wind further south than predicted maybe? I'm staying up for the squall line, but if it's only rain and isn't wind-or-other-interesting-weather-feature-based, then I may just call it a night

  5. Don't quote me, but I think that squall line will develop further as it moves south and east.

    More so on the bottom of the line- going by NMM guidance. Some of the lower resolution models didn't really show a line at all..

     

    Sorry to quote you...  :D

     

    but it's certainly lost its lack of breadth (whether that translates to any permutation of more/less intensity over more time?), and the radar at 00:30 from swansea north looks nasty.

     

    Also, the hinge on my ill-advised semi-open window just broke in a gust, but I think that's just the poor build quality of my flat...

    • Like 1
  6. You can already see some LEWP structure on radar.

    I know, I'm hoping for the former for some excitement, just hope it maintains structure/develops. From a purely meteorological geek perspective of course, hopefully everyone stays safe.

     

    It's turned up a notch in the last 30 minutes here

    • Like 2
  7. xcweather wind map/forecast states 63mph gusts at its east midlands location at midnight - 1mph short of beaufort 11 (Violent storm force) - still baffled by the bbc's lack of mention of any inland wind risk?

     

    Granted, the wind speed most likely won't be that high, but still?

     

    Also, the storm looks beautiful:

     

    post-19491-0-33864300-1421260451_thumb.p

     

     

    • Like 3
  8. Just watched the BBC forecast and they still aren't making much of any wind risk inland, making more of the rain risk than the wind, and then mentioning wind that might bring down debris from trees in the west, and then skipping 6 hours to mention the wind risk in the South East. Now I fully appreciate that wind speeds inland will be significantly lower, but I'm finding this omission quite odd given the charts!

    • Like 1
  9. It's most likely power lines shorting due to being weighed/brought down by the snow sticking to them, as no lightning is showing on the detectors.

     

    We have had it here this evening but due to a different reason - wind.

    Bright blueish green flashes just a few houses away.

     

    Also it was over 10c when many of you were reporting snow lol, now down to a chilly 7.5c

    Can't believe the.temperature differential on opposing sides of the low

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