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Everything posted by nicknacknoo
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I just don't believe this to be true. Here on the south coast I would say our winter is Jan, Feb, March. The sea is far too warm in December for us so we do well out of continental easterlies (if they appear). The holy Grail for us has always been a Scandinavian high and channel runners and these tend to be more prevalent in the latter winter months. The sun doesn't make that much difference when reflecting off dry powder snow
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Storms and Convective discussion - September 2023
nicknacknoo replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
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Absolutely nothing here in Drayton since last Autumn. On the south coast September and October tend to be better for imports though...... So here's hoping!!
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Storms and Convective discussion - July 2023
nicknacknoo replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
You're doing better than Drayton nr Portsmouth then!! -
Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023
nicknacknoo replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Meanwhile, along the south coast Yawn. Snzzzzzzz -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
nicknacknoo replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Disappointing though this chase has been, I think it was Mr. Murr who said that for proper Greenie highs you need to see those red heights in that region. We've never had that modelled so no surprise t hat it appears to have been easily eroded on nwp output. -
Storms and convective discussion - 18th June 2020 onwards
nicknacknoo replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Meanwhile, how long before those of us along the south coasts of Dorset and Hampshire are struck from the forum for having nothing to contribute. Now the TOD and COS have fallen, what about us as the new reigning champions of storm nothingness, perhaps the Coastal Region of Absolute Patheticness? -
Storms and Convective discussion - 1st June 2020onwards
nicknacknoo replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Meanwhile, in a spectacular development in Portsmouth...... The sun's gone in -
Storms and Convective discussion - 1st June 2020onwards
nicknacknoo replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Along with me, firmly in the TOD -
How hot will it be? Temperature Competition
nicknacknoo replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
33.7 -
Model output discussion - mid January
nicknacknoo replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Indeed! Well put sir. The problem is everyone has their own weather "god". It could be the PV, northern jet arm, AH, phasing systems, MJO, AO, Teleconnections etc. Either way, as a community, if we were all to work together the discussions and leaning (and probably resultant forecasts) from this site would be much enhanced. The use of provocative language (such as tepid, toothless, blink and you'll miss it etc) is also pretty tiresome as is the relentless imbyism. Are we not, as scientists, supposed to be objective, not subjective? Nick- 2,804 replies
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Model output discussion - into 2018
nicknacknoo replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
fully agree with this. Winter on the South Coast is Jan, Feb, march. In December warm channel waters are too moderating. Good news, we're only 1 week into winter. -
Model output discussion pm 13/01/2016
nicknacknoo replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Just like teaching maths. It's quite possible to achieve the correct result through the wrong reasoning. I still wouldn't give my students (or the GFS) any credit. -
Storm & Convective Discussion - 16/07/15 onwards
nicknacknoo replied to Thunderbolt_'s topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Thunder in Havant but no visible lightning. -
Hi John, not aimed at you by any means as you are one of the more seasoned posters and I enjoy your year round input. However, for us 'newbies' it can be a little daunting when I do see good posters who have a sound take on the models being shot down on occasions. Anyway, I admire the bravery and the willingness to stake reputations on longer term model forecasting. Keep up the good work.
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Southeast England & East Anglia - Weather Chat >> 1st Feb Onwards
nicknacknoo replied to Paul Sherman's topic in Regional
Not quite true. A good thundery outbreak will bring out the crowd from its summer slumbers. -
SACRA ?