captaincroc
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Posts posted by captaincroc
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Just like to say Thank you to GIbby for ALL the time and effort he puts in consistently with his reports of models. If I am in a rush and want a catch up then they are the perfect read. Cheers buddy.
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Ok so theres 3 ways to go it would seem....
Cheers Steve, a brilliant post that helps us learn from the current charts.
Thanks for posting.
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Some people may wake up with a nice covering his morning anywhere from the Wirral down to Crewe and into the Midlands.
Just missed us, CC was be able to to confirm more but woke up just to nothing. Maybe it did snow but it didn't stick if so.
This spell just sums up just how tricky it is to get any decent falls locally. We always say, "It only it were January..." well it is and it still wasn't enough. A lot of the time the stuff has been marginal at best, sleet then snow then sleet etc, even at night. Most nights weren't even cold enough for the snow to stick or when it was very little fell and had melted by the morning anyway. As Crewe Cold said I have never seen more than 10cm here, even in the 2010 etc hayday. It is easy to look back with tinted spectacles but the same was true a lot back then. I remember a slider low coming in and everything was bob on conditions wise...ended up that frozen rain/sleet variety.
It's not I am on a particular downer this morning but just accepting the fact that once again so much potential just unfortunately (for us) didn't work out.
*Edit* Some flurries just started. lol
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Well after pointing out there MAY be SOME snow showers making their way throught the region later & tonight, my thought has gone away from this now and it looks fairly dry to me tonight apart from the odd rogue snow shower. The Met O still go for sleet & snow showers later (maybe they see something we don't, they normally update their forecast between 2pm to 4pm, any warning changes will be this morning normally) but I'm not so sure now. Anyway here is the latest predicted radar for tonight, not good viewing for us coldies.
PS it will remain very cold though, but too early to be predicting snow for next week with any certainty. Have a good day all!
Hi Polar.
Where do you get those charts from? I can't find them anywhere?
Cheers mate
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Just checked the cars and still frozen with the snow/hail on top, like I said, bodes well for the band moving down the Irish Sea
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Something more substantial coming down the Irish Sea perhaps?
P.S up for joining me and Jord (Backtrack) on a storm chase if the situation should arise in the summer?
Definitely, It I wasn't busy all weekend I would love a snow treck over to our east. lol.
Yes, well I reckon we are in for a good chance of a dusting tonight with the Cheshire Gap showers and the stuff moving down the Irish Sea... another night for the radars!
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It feels a lot colder tonight Ben, more than it has done during this spell.
That's exactly what I thought. When I got back about 40 mins ago i checked the top of my neighbours car and it was frozen, even my car said 1 degree. Bodes well for later.
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Been in Crewe all evening, heavy sleety snow showers on and off. Drove back to Nantwich and was a lot dryer and had started to freeze over (something that hasn't happened on other nights) and we have just had a nice snow/hail shower and has left a covering on the frozen cars etc.
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These are for 9pm tonight....yes marginal but look ok for snow. Dew points at or below 0 and -5 850's.
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Looking at the models it looks like the conditions are favourable for snow from later this evening and overnight, but the MO seem to think from Saturday day onwards. I hope they are wrong even though I feel they will be correct! lol
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Why is it all the potential snow events are always at stupid o'clock....I'm falling asleep at my computer but just want to wait another 30 mins or so to see what happens!
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I reckon CreweCold will do well out of the second band moving SE
It does look like a direct hit *if* it stays on the same track.....but could still be rain. lol
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I kinda want these sleety showers to move away now so we can get some cooling time before the PL moves in.
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Very wet snow/sleet in Nantwich. Such a flippin' shame it wasn't a tad cooler...
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This chart gives me a bit of hope for this evening.... dropping temps and some Cheshire Gap showers that hit my region before that more organised band hits around midnight...
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As the snow started...pretty much instantly covered..
My students went mental when it started, eventually let them leave a bit early as it was pointless trying to get them to work. Was really suprised how easily and quick it stuck.
Looking at the wind direction I am quite optimistic in regards to more showers this afternoon and more importantly the evening (colder temps). Plus we may just catch the edge of that low pressure zipping down.
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What makes a class of young adults squeal and stop doing work....
SNOW!!!!!
Going lighter now but snowed heavily for 30 mins or so. May get some more afternoon/tonight?
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Though I agree there isn't meant to be any warm sector, It is funny that in the past two hours the temps have gone up here a degree and now its sleety rain instead? Weird.
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The Met Office warning has now been updated to cover almost ALL of NW England.
....not us! hahah. To be honest you lot above us are in for a lot of fun. I do still expect to get some snow though, though not much.
Good luck all!
P.s Really shocked to have snow in our last shower, wouldn't have even noticed it if one of my students hadn't pointed it out. Wasn't expecting it so soon.
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Nothing has ever made me want to punch my laptop screen through more than watching the radar THAT night. Oh and then it repeated about 2 weeks later and then again the next winter.
LOL!!! I remember that night too. My friend lived with me in Nantwich but worked in Manchester, her school was shut for a week.
CC Fancy a beer one night? I need some more weather friends to vent my frustrations out at
Not as due as here! I've never even seen more than 10cm accumulated...ever.
Here Here!!!!
Heres the live coverage of Winter storm Juno hitting NY:
At least you don't have to wait until Wed to watch snow falling.
I love watching these. I remember watching a snow storm last year too, or was it earlier this season?
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Any potential 'streamer' looks like it may align too far N for us anyway Ben. Wind vectors aren't progged to be NW enough, more WNW which will send most of the showers into S Manchester, N Cheshire etc etc. Seen it many times before unfortunately. We really do need a straight NW'ly here...as rare as hens teeth in recent years.
You're right, that was my concern, but at least north Cheshire should be in the firing line, it won't take much shift to deliver for us too.
Though some computer forecasts have showers down the Cheshire Gap (in the MO thread), so fingers crossed.
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This is going to be unusual should it occur.
I am so used to looking for snow showers from the NE/E but never coming from the cheshire gap.
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rmgfs813.gif
Derbyshire tend to do well in these situations as does Wales.
This is why I am suprised the MO haven't included Cheshire etc in their Warnings? It's a bit IMBY but was wondering why in a northwesterly we have been missed off?
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Ahhhh. Here comes the Snow.... seems for most it starts off as rain/sleet and then turns to snow on the back edge!
*Edit* and it stops! hahahaha.
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Sleeting here in Nantwich, not rain, not snow but proper sleet! Come at the flippin' warmest part of the day too!!!
People talk about 2010 etc being perfect but this happened SO many times back then, brilliant uppers and dew points (and below freezing temps) yet still sleet! You really have to laugh!
Model Banter, Moans and Ramps Spring/Summer 2015.
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
Same here....there is too much Doom and gloom on here! haha. I would not be complaining about cool nights after what we have had to put up with previous June's.