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Everything posted by Blake
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SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 26/03/2018 onwards
Blake replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Regional
Landed in Latvia yesterday to frozen rivers and lakes... some broken ice sheets floating in the sea to the north of Riga. Pockets of snow on ground as we headed east. But barely 5% of the ground was covered in snow. This morning at 7am it began to snow lightly then moderately for 7 hours giving us 3 to 4 inches. Little more due shortly so we can cross country skii for a little in the morning before it melts... rain due Sunday turning to snow Monday... we shall see. Flying back Wednesday -
SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 03/03/2018 onwards
Blake replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Regional
So long as my flight can take off to Latvia on Thurs morning and get back the following Weds that'll do me fine. Had a white Christmas there and hoping for a white Easter there too! -
SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 03/03/2018 onwards
Blake replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Regional
Snow all but gone in Hastings now apart from some patches in colder areas where no sunlight had reached. Off to Latvia to visit partner's family over Easter. We had 8 to 10 inches from 19th to 26th December when we went. Often the case that there is snow around end of March into April so I shall be looking at models for eastern Europe in a couple of weeks to know to pack my thermals or not -
Moderate light snow here in Hastings. Another heavier shower showing for in about another 45 mins to hour on radar.
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Although very light snow at present I fear it won't amount to much. Does seem to fizzle out as it hits the coast. Who knows overnight it may surprise me.
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Too many worrying that the current band over the south is it for today... Look west of Bordeaux/Nantes (Bay of Biscay)... Here is where the snow later today will arrive from. It looks showery for now but as it pushes up from the south and hits the block, it will begin to squash together and form a more organised band perhaps more intense than what we are seeing now. If nothing is showing at lunchtime... maybe then you can worry Meanwhile light snow settling on Hastings seafront.
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Was a light dusting on Hastings seafront at 6am then an inch or so come 7.30am. Nearly 3 inches by 11am then the sun came out. Some snow showers passing through the channel an hour ago and more to come this evening it seems!
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If you look at the actual radar as opposed to 3+ hours, these showers are more E to W then NE to SW. I expect these will reach no lower than Essex/Herts areas. Shame as I am in Hastings!
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Model output discussion - 5th December 2016 - Into Winter we go
Blake replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
There are many in here attempting to use reverse psychology on the weather. "Oh winter is over..." "Not if I have anything to do with it... here, have some blizzard conditions"... Run through day by day from 1st Dec 2011 through to Feb 8th - the latter I recall had minus double digit nights, some snow on the ground for a week when I was in Surrey and the river Wey frozen in parts. http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=gfs;sess= Dec 2011 on the whole was similar to now. HP to the south, LP to the north, few windy days, mostly PM, RPM and TM airflow... it took more or less until the end of Jan 2012 for this to change. I'd happily wait 6 more weeks for the chance of a few snow days than a couple of dustings and a few frosty nights. I'm just hoping for something from the NE for a possible Kent snow streamer. I may have to venture slightly inland as may be too warm here... especially with me being on the seafront itself. @Tamara can empathise with me on that one, although, I think she isn't as close to the sea as I am. -
Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 11/06/16 onwards
Blake replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 11/06/16 onwards
Blake replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Hastings cam pointing E/SE towards Boulonge-sur-Mer. I am 200yds from the pier cam. Can hear rumble after rumble here already, with the cell still 30+ miles away. Looks like I will be in a sweet spot here on the seafront in Hastings for this first round heading my way from the South of Brighton! -
Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 11/06/16 onwards
Blake replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 11/06/16 onwards
Blake replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Anyone from Hastings/St Leonards area, I shall be under Bottle Alley (nearest west end rather than near the pier) from 7.30pm (lightning due 8-8.30pm) - yellow shoes, grey shorts and grey cap. Starting to darken outside now. Cumulonimbus around. Good sign i believe. -
Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 11/06/16 onwards
Blake replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Haven't been on here since relocating to Hastings 3 months ago. I shall spend tomorrow evening from around 4pn under Bottle Alley on the seafront as the storms roll in. Unobstructed views out to sea. One of the reasons I moved here was because this area often gets decent convection. -
Model output discussion - 20th Feb onwards
Blake replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Just to indicate that dry charts don't mean dry... Precipitation can just crop up. Quite slow moving so perhaps a dusting almost anywhere as temps fall ahead of the front in clear skies. -
Model output discussion - 20th Feb onwards
Blake replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - 20th Feb onwards
Blake replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussions 18z 31/01/2016
Blake replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Models still unsure about when precipitation will clear the SE just 24 hours out. One has it lingering until the evening...one has it clear early afternoon. -
Model Output Discussions 18z 31/01/2016
Blake replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Because it is probably within a degree or two away from being wet or white, some places will get a dumping and others will miss out. Could be white at 500m asl but wet at 400m asl. It's that close a call that it will only be clearer within 12 hours prior to the event. Interesting outlook for end of next week... almost repeating tomorrow/Thurs as what was forecast 5 days ago. -
Model Output Discussions 18z 31/01/2016
Blake replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Somewhere between -15 to -20 generally. Household freezer temperatures. -
Model output discussion - 21st Jan Onwards
Blake replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
D10 GFS, GEM and CMA... fairly similar indeed. All indicating LP over us with high to our east slowing it down with every chance of this sinking south and heights building to NE.