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phil nw.

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Everything posted by phil nw.

  1. An earlier entry than i would like for me as i am away for a few days.My punt for Nov. is 6.9C
  2. Hi Hollisk, Welcome aboard. The odds quoted are the usual for this far out.It`s certainly too soon to even hazard a forecasted sypnotic pattern for Christmas yet. I guess as we approach December speculation will increase and members will post regarding chances of a white Christmas. Anyway enjoy your time here. Kind regards,Phil.
  3. Looks like an above ave. first 10 days then trending down.At a guess not far from average by month end so i`ll plump for 10.7C.
  4. The Nuneaton event occurred just up the road from my house approx half a mile away as the crow flies.I was awoken at around 5 to 5.30 am to the sound of high winds and torrential rain but of course didn`t realise at the time how close i was to having my house hit by these damaging winds. Of course we have had the Emergency services and media helicopters,plus our M.P. all around the area through the day. As far i can ascertain there were no injuries to people and the main damage is to roofs and fences etc. Too close for comfort for me and my family though so i say There but for the grace of god go i.
  5. I agree re. your comments about lack of Snow in a Northerly,Mr.Data as i know only too well living where i do.However i was referring really to the subject of the thread ie.Best time of year for cold(not necesserily Snowy)sypnotics. Certainly for my location my best chance of lying Snow is from a polar Low or unusually active Cold front in a Northerly and from a Southerly tracking Low in an Easterly. This is what i was thinking of from past Winters and what i meant when i said that those sypnotics appear less these days compared to the Winters of my younger days. Kind regards,Phil.
  6. Over the years i have seen lying Snow anytime from November to April,however,these days with warmer seas around us a Northerly rarely brings a prolonged snowy spell.Therefore i would have to say late January to end of February would be be best for an Arctic blast for the UK when the sea is almost at its coldest and the sun still not too high. As for Easterly`s then i guess the window of cold is larger say from from December to early March as the landmass to our East can cool much quicker earlier in the season and ,with right sypnotics, can still be quite cold as late as early March. Unfortunately in recent years the right sypnotics are less common,certainly compared to my younger days of the 60,s and 70,s.
  7. Hi Gavin, I recorded a min. of 5c last night,i am sure there must have been some lower ones as i am not in a frost hollow. It still looking warm enough by day at present so i don`t think C.E.T. will suffer much, at least untill we get the cooler air predicted by Monday.
  8. I think you have started an interesting thread Richard as i myself was wondering the same thing. I think there`s a fair chance that by the end of September we could have a year where we get more 25c`s outside the 3 Summer Months. The sypnotics are certainly more Summerlike for a while yet i reckon as i don`t think this Atlantic High is going anywhere fast.
  9. Would be interested to know if the 3 Months sunshine levels were below average. From a purely subjective view i will remember this Summer for so many days with low light levels,even in the odd dryer periods.
  10. I guess CET temp.will have taken a nudge further down by tommorow. Damn chilly here last 2 days with temps by day around 13-14c for much of the time under this rain. Cetainly keeps my July punt well off target.
  11. Yes at the start of a new decade the previous 30years stats. are used,so the example you give is correct.
  12. Indeed there are more. My punt of 14.7c is on page 6 and there are others too. Hopefully the full list will appear soon to include all entries.
  13. Thanks for that Kold and also to Jackone for putting the results together so quickly.I certainly don`t claim to have any crystal ball. I guess, like most posters its just a case of looking at the latest models,noting any usefull information on trends supplied by the knowlegable posters and then taking a stab at it. At the end of the day its a bit of fun and adds some further interest to this excellent forum. Good luck to everyone who enters during the rest of the year.
  14. I wouldn`t bet on a 40c +max. in UK but i would think that all the Summer Monthly CET`s will be above average based on recent month`s.
  15. I think a settled month mainly and quite warm,especially later.i will plump for 9.4C
  16. I am going for an above average month and say 7.2c.
  17. A bit hard to judge ST.,but looking at radar there is a Southern edge to it in a line across Severn Estury and Eastwards but its moving slowly. http://www.meteox.com/h.aspx?r=holiday&amp...9&bliksem=0 Should get 2 or 3 hrs yet i guess.
  18. Heavy snow.Probably 2cms since lunchtime and still coming down.0c.settling everywhere.
  19. Hi TEITS, I reckon this is turning into a far bigger event than any model or forecaster envisaged. looking at the radar its a signifant feature now. http://www.meteox.com/h.aspx?r=holiday&amp...op3uur&c=uk A lot of places are getting significant snow out of this.
  20. Hi ST, i have a little bit of elevation,as you can see from my avitar,nr Hartshill side of Nuneaton. Still Snowing well and indeed starting to lay on cars and paths etc.where it had recently melted.
  21. Heavy snow and settling now. Radar shows the heaviest area of ppn over Wales and West midlands at the moment. http://www.meteox.com/h.aspx?r=holiday&amp...op3uur&c=uk Quite an extensive feature now overall.
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