Tim Bland

GEM scenario at day 10 could give a dumping to some ️

Let’s hope the GEM is leading the way here!

Not far off a snow event in the south East ..

Boxing Day slider back on the menu??

No white Christmas from ECM away from Scottish hills & Mountains

Boxing Day snow for some …

Looks promising…is that Greenland appearing

Kasim is ok in (almost) the highest point of England .

Just to set expectations ; I can’t see any models showing widespread snow and ice days over Christmas for the majority away from Scottish / welsh mountains. I’ve seen these “PV sinking south over the uk brining snowy conditions” many times on the models over the years, and usually it’s watered down and snow is limited away from usual high ground. What we are seeing is a mainly north westerly flow (occasionally north) with a mix of rain and sleet showers for most and snow for high ground. Temps around 4-6c during the day for most. IF we are lucky enough to get a low slipping further south and dragging in a northerly there’s a chance of some snow on the northern edge …

Scotland and anywhere with elevation seeing some snow by Xmas eve …

A white Christmas for some !?

“Colder” is what all models show that go that far…it has been 12-14c in some spots today…doesn’t necessarily mean cold enough for frost and snow though

Just need to persuade Mrs B that Norwich has the best Christmas shopping in the world

If Carlsburg did Northerlies …

Good to see the PV shunted away North East

Worth noting that the majority of the population haven’t seen any snow this past week or so...Note “population” not land mass… So something more than recent Synoptics are required for most areas

Even ‘worst case” scenario GFS ends like this ..

GEM looks good at day 10…

Wouldn’t say Greenland high will definitely collapse … if the low sinks into Europe and props it up

That’ll Do

Can’t help but feel a bit disappointed After the promise of so much the reality is a few frosty days and most won’t see snow. Even tomorrow & Monday is light rain foR the majority of the population Below is the latest UKV

Icon says even London area could see some snow Sunday morning

No

Compare precip 6pm Sunday 00z VS 12z….big shift south!

I think many would be happy with this to wake up to on Sunday!