Skullzrulerz
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Posts posted by Skullzrulerz
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Just now, sheikhy said:
Cant complain bout the ecm!!brilliant all the way till 240 hours and on and off snow chances almost anywhere!!!
Personally I prefer the GFS it seems to be a bit more stable in terms of cold air and as well as Greenland blocking
ECM to me looks poised to fail
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13 minutes ago, Mike Poole said:
UKMO and GFS T96:
Prefer the UKMO as it has the centre of the low that bit further east.
Good start to the 12s.
Is the GFS 12z Better then the 6z?
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1 hour ago, That ECM said:
This is an incredible run. it’s a long way out so JFF but what fun
Is there a link to view these charts unfortunately I lost it
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3 minutes ago, That ECM said:
Eh? Are you viewing the output whilst performing a headstand?
It looks okay but I'm definitely not a fan of the low pressure just bypassing the Greenland/Iceland high!
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3 minutes ago, Daniel* said:
I’m baffled by that as well greater signal for high pressure to remain towards our W/NW. My advice ignore it, there’s nowt suggesting low pressure to south of Greenland it’s just wrong and totally out of sync with EPS I’m seeing.
I don't think we can just ignore what the met is showing us
We started seeing this last night when the high pressure starting to fall apart to around Iceland
What a shame and quite a disappointing update but it goes on
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14 minutes ago, sheikhy said:
Thanks for this sobering post met4castjust dont understand how the mean can look so fantastic at 240 hours with eps like that!!think we can forget about the west based nao now and think of how far east everything will be pushed?
Let's not count it out just yet
Could easily move to something else on the next update
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2 minutes ago, Met4Cast said:
Well.. there's the Met Offices' high pressure on the EPS for the start of January.
Goes to show you shouldn't count out the met office
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2 minutes ago, That ECM said:
This will be of interest to some.
Noticed the warm air heading into Greenland
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So with the next set of runs from the ICON and GFS hopefully they can get back on track after last night's somewhat unnerving trends
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4 minutes ago, seabreeze86 said:
This is the GFS saying. Right people I haven’t got a scooby
It could very well be or it could be the start of a new trend emerging
It's probably me worrying too much but we have come so far and this close to things to start to unravel...
I don't think it's a great sign if we start to see a collapse of the Greenland/Atlantic as sooner or later the Atlantic will come back
It looks like I'm seeing a side of a face
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12 minutes ago, CreweCold said:
Big change at D10 on this run. Much flatter upstream...lost the amplification. Could possibly end with Atlantic HP pushed SE with the jet over the top.
It just had to be my luck when I decided to jump board typical
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1 minute ago, kold weather said:
Yes definately looking better out to 192hrs, also a slightly better looking tilt as well to the upper high that exerts more SE pressure upon the LP that is heading towards us.
Weaker, but better placed.
So really we don't want to have this further east then already it is then?
We are still some time away so I fear that may be the case but hopefully I'm wrong
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1 minute ago, chionomaniac said:
Lol block slightly further east. How often would that be a good thing
Is this because of the risk of a west based -nao?
More positive news is that we have some colder uppers at last
I might start coming on board if this keeps up
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9 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:
Interesting uodated ICON 120
Maybe some snowfall with that polar low just west of Scotland?
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So with getting a bit colder in the coming days I decided to have a look on the met office
It seems that for the meantime it's temperatures of around 6-7c daytime and 3-4c in the nighttime
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- Popular Post
Could be a nice Christmas treat for a few folk looks a sight upgrade on AROME
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6 minutes ago, iowpompeylee said:
Regarding Xmas eve and Xmas day, the temps must be cold enough to give a few wintery showers? Anything showing shorterm on outputs?
They may be a few snow showers around the coasts of eastern England possibly East Anglia
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1 minute ago, Weathizard said:
Second day in a row the ECM has been reluctant to clear this LP south and left us under a stagnant pattern for 3/4 days
So what would this mean ? Cold air coming from the north ? What I do noticed there's not as much high pressure around Greenland?
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Just now, Updated_Weather said:
Aidan from MetO responded to my tweet regarding where they see High pressure more likely.
Where would the high pressure be too?
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14 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:
models firming up on this low for Monday now. ECM and UKMO have a similar path right through the UK. Sowhere Is going to get a dumping from this. ...
I'm sure a couple of mountain tops around Scotland will have a blast with all that snowfall !!
Meanwhile it will cold rain for the rest
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2 minutes ago, Anthony Burden said:
GFS still trending some serious wintery weather over the U.K. for a sustained period.
Although we know not to
What timeframe was this for?
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7 minutes ago, Winterdarkness said:
We want it far south! Nooooo
We want it in the far south west !
Time to play the game?
Where is the UK in this chart?
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Just now, username home said:
they can't be right - m4 area is getting snow....
It's moved to the southwest to Cornwall as you can it's built a huge wall across the Tamar bridge
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Just now, Winterdarkness said:
Wow wow wow beast from east??
It looks more of a northerly part more then everything
Also that low doesn't seem as deep and east as well to yesterday icons
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Model Output Discussion - Christmas and New Year
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
It's going... Even further beyond