Skullzrulerz
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Posts posted by Skullzrulerz
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So it seems the ECM is the best case scenario for cold fans so far however I don't like these changes of it happing I would expect a half way house of some kind ? Like it mostly happens right ?
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4 minutes ago, Bartlett High said:
Isn't this all happening a little too early in the season/
Well in a way yes and no at least it's happening now
Something interesting to watch
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3 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:
Just look how far we have come with the ridge extension in 48 hours
12z today V 12z 2 days ago
Through great news it's still a fair bit of way to go through i will admit it has done the northerly well its just what happeneds after is what we need to know hopefully...Fingers crossed we may get lucky and pull through
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53 minutes ago, Ross90 said:
That looks like quite a big change from previous runs with the low further west instead of right over or just to the east for the first weekend in Nov.
Can you explain this please as what will the outcome be ?
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Both AO And NAO go very negative the end of October through possible recovery to netural
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Although this may seen like a done case personally I wouldn't get too excited for two reasons...
One being that this is still a week away even though the models argee with a cold shot from the north of some kind hence in some kind the question bring it doesn't get wekaned during the time to if it happens.
Two even if the models argee with this spell there is however of how cold ? If it evens happens.
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Just going to say this out of the blue...Yes it's mostly our favourite time of the year but please let's be realistic with what the models and showing...
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Thanks goodness it's only got a hours left till landfall....
Landfall is estimated to be 2hrs 30 mins
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13 minutes ago, ChezWeather said:
Anyone know landfall ETA?
A Matter Of Hours maybe 3-4 Hours till landfall.
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A true Monster of a hurricane is upon America how come the forecast was wrong for a cat 2/1? And can it strengthen to cat 5 before landfall?
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Just about its first advisory landfall is expected to hit Korea or Japan through the track is several days as of yet through its under quite warm waters so should be tracked.
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Looks like this monster of a storm is about to make landfall in the Philippines...
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5 minutes ago, Quicksilver1989 said:
Its still a strong hurricane, especially for its latitude. However from what I've read the eyewall replacement cycle yesterday took longer then forecast allowing more dry air into the hurricane which weakened it a bit. Someone may stand to correct me.
Can it still strengthen if possible ? Or it's just getting weaken by landfall ?
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How come this hurricane is a lot weaker then forecasted ?
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21 minutes ago, EllyTech said:
There's a circulation there. Not too heavy precip just now but we've a plume I believe. Convection will commence soon... keeping an eye on it.
Ah I see you mean this? looks like I'm sightly too south for the storms from the south east
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22 minutes ago, EllyTech said:
.. bit of cloud moving in here now. Storms have fired in Nantes, France, and near Brest and the rain is making its way into Cornwall on forecast radar. ...
You sure ? Don't know if it's me or the worst of is missing Cornwall ?
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1 hour ago, Faronstream said:
I have to agree with the rest in here the charts are ******* fantastic and there is no real cold air getting even close to the most northern parts of europe
At least you can see the -20c has returned outside of western Greenland besides the point not too sure on this but it's seems quite warm (for most of Greenland) is this due to the SSW?
On our British Soil and most of western europe we seem to have our first go at summer
for you guys that like the warmth enjoy
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27 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:
Good to see ECM has dropped that really cold air from the 00z
12z
00z
Depending on who's view you're referring to then yes good news for people who want warmer conditions which besides will happen since spring is upon us but for the cold fans well better luck next time I hope
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It just goes to that anything can change at any time ? maybe the hardcore cold fan return or this could be a ruse and it's sudden a hot flush
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I wonder where everyone went ? Anyone seen the model updates yet ?
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4 hours ago, Man With Beard said:
ECM clusters for mid-month - high pressure slightly to our north still favoured. Dry and average temperatures is the best guess, though could suck in colder air if the NE track is long enough, and western parts at risk of rain at times on cluster 1.
Good news for cold fans ? Mild fans not so much
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Seems options cold and warm are on the table this afternoon maybe one last blast of winter or will it be a warmer spell? Its on the table ?
Something interesting to watch 
Hurricane Willa
in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide
Posted
Looks like it's a Category 5 now