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heath

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Everything posted by heath

  1. Radar keeps predicting a halt to the snow, but it has now got heavier. Could be fun taking a relative for a covid jab this morning.
  2. Recall being delayed at Barajas in Feb around 10 years ago. Wet snow and limited de-icing kit. Good snow cover on surrounding hills then, but nothing like yesterday.
  3. Perfect winter's day. Hard, rime frost, bright sunny morning, heavy snow shower to give a covering. Sun and cloud over the snow giving a dramatic landscape over the Dales and Lakes.
  4. Goodness me. It is snowing here. White Christmas! Happy Christmas everyone.
  5. Snow over the fells of the Lakes and Howgills. Snow showers visible eastwards around Pen y Ghent. Sitting in between here.
  6. Just noticed the deep cold pool on ECM over western Kazakhstan. Where might that go? If anywhere. Any thoughts from those more expert than me? Not on GFS.
  7. Thinking of an analogue to the GFS06z op today I wondered about December 1978 from memory.
  8. The invisible line isn't straight on ECMF op day 10, with UK on the western side. Another UK trough to follow in the week before Christmas? And then wait and see. Still not a flat profile.
  9. Compare and contrast as ideas at day 10. GFS And GEM No idea which will be nearest.
  10. GFS 06z operational may be flat in its early stages and may be unreliable, but a pre Christmas high would be dry and chilly. Until 2010 good cold spells came after Christmas and often after high pressure, if my ageing memory is correct.
  11. T384 offering hope to those in despair. One option, but of many.
  12. Much wetter than expected overnight. A lot of water on the fell and becks very lively. Looking across to Ingleborough snow level looks around 400m. Snowy on the Dale's passes.
  13. All the recent varieties in later GFS operational runs at least share the presence of amplification somewhere. Let's hope that continues.
  14. Recent GFS runs in their outer reaches have shown Scandy high, Iceland wedge and Greenland high. And now nice south westerlies from an Iberian high. Plenty of choice, and uncertainty.
  15. My wife is sure that there were a few flakes of snow around when she was up in the night. Moon was bright but some cloud about. Can any local experts tell me if that was possible?
  16. Looks like it will be my first ever autumn without a frost. Just missed out 2 nights ago. Ironic when we had 2 frosts in mid May to destroy the prospects of an apple or plum harvest. Gloom gloom currently
  17. Given the unusual similarity between ECM and GFS ar t240 the GFS beyond t240 is more interesting than normal, and that low would head southeast.
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