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William Grimsley

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Everything posted by William Grimsley

  1. William Grimsley
    @Greenday, what do you think for us? I know you got it right last time (2014). XD
  2. William Grimsley
    You gotta be kiding, right?
  3. William Grimsley
    Where? I can't see it anywhere. Re your other post, there is no Altocumulus Castellanus cloud in the area at the moment.
  4. William Grimsley
    That's good enough for me!
  5. William Grimsley
    Not sure how you're not seeing that? There's quite a bit of mid-level instability moving in right now overhead! It's unlikely to be just rain, most likely thundery showers at least!
  6. William Grimsley
    To be honest, I think there's more chance that you'll see a thunderstorm in SW England over the coming days than anywhere else, especially as the convection will be mid-level and we have more shear to go with down here. The thunderstorms in SW England will be more organised and widespread though not as severe. However, on the other hand, even though most thunderstorms that do occur further north and east will be severe, they will be very few and far between. I know which option I'd take.
  7. William Grimsley
    Most likely the best for elevated thunderstorms will be across Devon and Cornwall with most surface based thunderstorm more towards the Midlands, N England and N Wales.# On another note, a few signs of instability starting to appear in the skies now with lots of Cirrus cloud in the sky. Looking at Sat24, you can see lots of instability showing (Altocumulus Castellanus cloud) moving NE from the Bay of Biscay up towards SW England and C S England, something to watch.
  8. William Grimsley
    Yeah, not for me AJ! I've only had a bit of alcohol at Christmas and New Year!
  9. William Grimsley
    Looks at this setup from the GFS at t384! Yes, I know it's at that "fantasy island" stage, but this looks like a very nice plume waiting to happen:
  10. William Grimsley
    Don't forget, feel free to watch the thunderstorms that (hopefully) will move across our area on my Nest cam live stream here: https://video.nest.com/live/OIJL3I
  11. William Grimsley
    AJ, I could be sweltering this time tomorrow if our microclimate stays in place! Anyway, just so everyone knows, I managed to receive a replacement Nest cam the other day because my other one kept turning off all the time! Here's the new Nest cam live stream URL: https://video.nest.com/live/OIJL3I
  12. William Grimsley
    As I stated in my previous post on this thread, temperatures are widely above forecast so far today, allowing it to be a pleasantly warm and slightly humid start to the day here.
  13. William Grimsley
    @Summer Sun, those convective outlooks look great for the south west, however as forecast, it seems that the most intense convection will sit across Wales and NW England as highlighted.
  14. William Grimsley
    Alright, maybe the flow of air was coming from Scandinavia yesterday, but today that won't be the case as we see temperatures already 4°C above forecast even this early in the day!
  15. William Grimsley
    Like I said, check my website and you will see!
  16. William Grimsley
    @Nick L, mostly during the daylight hours, if you check my website you'll see.
  17. William Grimsley
    AJ, I find it interesting! Why say something like that? Ok, this is really off topic now! In fact, if you look at my website, you'll see that the humidity was higher here! I'm sorry, but what do you mean? The upper level is coming from the SE!
  18. William Grimsley
    That's interesting you say that, the humidity has been around double that here, hence the more muggier feel.
  19. William Grimsley
    Hello! I can hear you moving around in there!
  20. William Grimsley
    I'll probably be chasing with @Evening thunder, if things develop more inland rather than on the coast and/or here.
  21. William Grimsley
    Is that for our area?
  22. William Grimsley
    Sorry, but I'm quite offended.
  23. William Grimsley
    A lovely warm, humid and sunny day today, this continental warmth is definitely here!
  24. William Grimsley
    Correct, Chris.R. I've just had a look at both the GFS and the NMM charts, both show widespread heavy thundery showers/thunderstorms across my area through this weekend, not sure why some (very knowledgeable) aren't seeing this?
  25. William Grimsley
    stodge, I think as the winds NE'ly, western areas will still be quite warm.
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