mickpips
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Posts posted by mickpips
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I think we're going to do well out of this: each shower is laying down more snow and this is the overture as far as we're concerned - our best time is over the weekend. Snowing again here at the moment. The model discussion thread is interesting for us northerners
Roundhay, Leeds
Hi Skywatcher , I'm just down the road , so i take it you'll have about 2cm's of lying snow at the mo ?
) its all good , bring on them showers as i dont see much , if any melt tomorrow ... even in the sunshine ! -
Showers not moving south yet sadly.
Lewis
Evening Lewis , long time no speak.
Hope you have seen plenty of the white stuff today .... showers few and far between here during daylight hours but currently have about 2cms lying and temp at minus 2.6 ... not bad considering its only 9pm ... the local prediction of minus 3 overnight lows will be surpassed im pretty sure !
As for further snow , i am looking at Sunday into monday for anything significant
May I also add ... a white xmas ?? For our part of the world ... I am 70% sure we'll see more than a flake or two on the big day !!
Mike
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3.3 and just had a light rain/drizzle shower in North Leeds ... clear now and expecting a slow decrease in temp before any more showers move in .... I dont really expect to see any flakes until mid afternoon tomorrow though !
3.3 and just had a light rain/drizzle shower in North Leeds ... clear now and expecting a slow decrease in temp before any more showers move in .... I dont really expect to see any flakes until mid afternoon tomorrow though !
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I think the same can be said about the GFS, thats another scenario its throwing up which i've not seen yet. So much inconsistency at the moment we're looking blindly at the future at the moment
SK
Hey Kris , hope your well.
A few days ago it was Monday / Tuesday and -6 to -8 850's pushing into the SE with bitter cold easterlies following on into eastern England , then it was pushed back to later in the week , now we are keeping our fingers crossed we get anything at all , by the end of the week !! yet again , all in what can be classed as FI .... there should be an ACFI group on here ... always chasing Fanntasy Island !!
All the potential is always beyond the reliable timeframe and thats clearly shown by the divergence in model outputs
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Given is the 12th of december and we have a virtually dead atlantic and major blocking towards greenland then i think some comments and despair are a bit ott.
Not ott , but realistic ... as you kindly pointed out , with those sypnoptics , no matter if its December , Jan or Feb .... its the ideal and rare setup that should be throwing cold our way , which we have seen all week on plenty of model outputs. Its dissapointment rather than dispair that people on here are feeling !
Tomorrow however is a whole new day of model output ... I would have been happy with some middle ground given this weeks output but its looking increasingly likely we'll experience a 'cool' spell , nothing potent or in the 'cold enough for snow' category this coming week for England at least
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Dont post often but after all this weeks hype and unbeleivable charts , i somewhat feel disheartened by some of the output over the last 24-48 hours .... The GFS was giving us some outstanding runs and more impressive was how consistent they were , even bringing onboard the UKMO and others , then little backtracks turned into bigger ones etc ..... Which TBH is usually the case anyway having been here year after year and seeing huge petential only to be kept at arms length run after run
( Great but not within the reliable ... ALL the time !!I still beleive we'll see a major cold spell setting up from wednesday , but dissapointing to see the Met Office site showing nothing but rain showers on and off on their site for my location right through to thursday !!
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The Precipitation Type chart for 0600 Sunday morning shows a shade darker pink for Southwest England and the West Country, which means the snow could well be heavier than predicted on the charts this morning.
Vizzy2004 - the North York Moors could get a spell of moderate snow judging by this chart.
I think anything up to 4mm/hr for the North York Moors and 2mm/hr for SW England.
Sorry, i dont think we should be plotting/guessing the estimated snowfall at the moment mate. We should be plotting/guessing where it will snow. the 18z for me is marginal when the bands of precip hit. one second its ok for one area, then the other second its the other way around. in setups like this you have heavy snow 15 miles up north of you, and rain and sleet/snow when it hits you. The 850's do not convince me at all. With surface temps and also this time of the year your going to get a lot of warming.
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Hi folks, latest information regarding the 18z. I think 18z is an outlier the reason why is the difference (so sudden) with the projection to the cut off and the high pressure. Although i dont want to put the flames out on your fire for peeps down south, looks as if tuesday may not even come...
As it stands in all honesty, Scotland and the far NE england will do well from this. Other than scattered wintery showers, with snow in between and back edge at lower levels, its only higher ground that will benefit during the day from the showers.
Lower levels in eastern and north eastern areas (Including the Midlands) may see something overnight sunday, but even this is looking marginal now.
In all honesty folks, not good at all, Will update on the 06Z tomorrow
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Many seem to be reporting temps above freezing , been below freezing for well over an hour here now and can see considerable ice formation on vehicles outside in the dark. Still a clear and starry sky aloft.
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North Leeds , W. Yorks
CURRENT CONDITIONS :
Temp : 0.3oC
Humidity : 66 %
Cloud : nil
Wind : WNW 6 mph
Gizmo Prediction + 12hrs :
Dry
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Hi Steve and All ,
Generally I sit on the fence and 'try' to take it all in. From my view there are always the ones that will argue black is white etc etc. But I am glad you responded to SF's last post as I found it extremely strange he would post such thoughts , I am but an amateur but fully understand the influence the Cryosphere can have not only on our weather but that generally across the northern hemisphere. How anybody can deny such is beyond me. Its like saying putting two cubes of ice into a glass of Jack Daniels instead of one makes no apparent difference.
The cryosphere and ice extent has a major bearing on many of the hemispheres weather conditions , from radiation absorbtion to localised temperatures right through to pressure anomalies.
As I think you posted Steve , localised SST's will have little bearing on Artic plumes southwards and no effect dependant on the height.
Regards
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Extremely freaky weather today , first our work warehouse was hit by lightning !! , me and a work mate sh*t ourselves. Instantanous flash and loud bang rain and winds like i have never seen before. Then on my drive home I had to drive through the tornado damage , genuinely looked like something from TV news when you see the aftermath of a US hurricane. Hundreds of trees and branches strewn everywhere ... roof tiles and other debris all over the place ... even a friends house has half its roof tiles missing.
30 minutes of mayhem !!
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Ice Day here today .. max daytime temp -1.1oC
Became foggy around 7pm but breezy now and part cloudy.
Looking forward to waking to blizzards
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awoke to 2cm lying snow this morning , a further 2cm accumalation between 6 -7 pm this evening 27/12/05
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Cheeky monkey Mickpips. This is much better than Eastenders. They are just cockerney's anyway.
Albert Square does not have Weather!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Depends on the Altitude , up the apple and pears and chas n dave could be sat in a blizzard
*EDIT* If we get much more viewing it is gonna take up my full screen with users reading !!
) its all good , bring on them showers as i dont see much , if any melt tomorrow ... even in the sunshine !
( Great but not within the reliable ... ALL the time !!
Yorkshire, Lincolnshire And The Pennines Cold Spell Discussion
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted · Edited by mickpips
1.4 !!! Geepers .... where are you ?? its minus 2.8 here now !
Not looking forward to 6am and trying to scrape the snow and ice from the car
(