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vladthemert

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Everything posted by vladthemert

  1. thanks Nick small heavy shower scheduled her 4ish, 30mm rain forecast by met. Time employ paddle boatsas fear this could cause flooding due to lack rain we had 17mm all winter ground might be dry after the hot weather we been having of late.
  2. Thanks polar Maritime comes off winter here with a bang. I convinced surely its an error seen this before crazy long forecasts. Looks like would be cold here outside the worst.
  3. OK people can anybody explain what black pressure means for the risks to uk. Although 2nd april long way off this predicted above scotland
  4. Summer Sun hope he batons down hatches. Lightening wizzard has darlington at 75-80kts winds. Could we say this possible category 1 hurricane if it confirms these winds. Pretty stupid that high storms cant have category.
  5. windy here was strong too my guess would be 7 on beaufort scale, sadly cant give accurate reading my poor weather system got 120 foot block for anything northerly though could get accurate NNE. Did record 25.9mph gusts Also got two SSE and SSW from my location.
  6. nature never ceases to amaze maybe has sense humour. Welcome sad face of UK On serious not that looks problem next saturday
  7. maybe we should rename our two counties Shire desert. Good point cheese the penines is natural inhibiter. The other notice lots rain walls splits in wales both separate drift further. Net result we miss alot rainfall, I am sure that snowdonia is the culprit of the split. If winds NE bring rain our area gets it bad sure linc wolds is the culprit to this. Could be the first landfall net result bad weather, still think wolds having effect. Problem is its not very often we see NE winds which drags scandinavia weather towards us.
  8. what range does confidence in storms become to strength. This track predicted winds over the midlands and north 22nd. Hopefully a false blip or most likely change track but if it maintains tensity could be worry for where it hits.
  9. very quiet here, light winds. Random Convective blasts maybe, as lightening wizard dont suggest barnsley be getting convective winds yet? Not got tornado your way this web showing area's likely convective winds http://www.lightningwizard.com/maps/Europe/ani.html?0,gfs_gusts_eur,.png,0,3,6,9,12,15,18,21,24,27,30,33,36,39,42,45,48,51,54,57,60,63,66,69,72
  10. Thats what I seeing in models too just at the point neap tides. You wonder what coastal errosion could bring if all varables join. Some models say small block 24th might happen this long way off. Do you think it may continue into April like last run
  11. Does someone hate cornwall apparantly low going cause another 30 foot sea swell slam into lands end thursday according magic seaweed website. Good news for our front is sea swell for north sea lessened its threat to storm surge. We really apart from december 5th not been in the game this winter. Are we going get final string lows swansong from 20th again. Then the cold push back into artic 29th very warm from then on. interesting rain accumulation
  12. thanks for the reply yep been watching this couple days thats whats scares jeepers out me that neap tides might clash.. Very close to flooding in december 5th by inches by all accounts.
  13. please peeps asked this question nobody replied. Turns out while high over irish sea now 2 storms going into north sea first been downgraded slightly thankfully. However week wedsneday & sat looks bad with sea swell in north sea. This was december 5th storm data wednesday has similar track not forgetting we currently in spring tides is the potential repeat dercember 5th. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/interesting/2013-decwind now wednesday sea swell prediction this before storm the saturday Above is the predicted location of the storm before the week on saturday bottom one is again this week on saturday track I worried this could have hallmarks being december 5th repeat. With defenses already in disrepair temp removed to south has the eye been taken off. Spurn head been damaged now gaping gap for sea to break through this cleethorpes only protection from north sea fury.
  14. lovely clear blue skies here very warm in sun but very cold air in shadows, if that makes sense. That pressure made ear crack last night.
  15. noticed on magicseaweed that swell going into north sea saturday is this got posibilty for repeating of december 5th storm surge?
  16. Mysterious compounds undermining recovery of giant ozone hole over Antarctica, scientists warn. http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2014/mar/09/ozone-hole-antarctica-chemicals#start-of-comments despite banning CFC's,in 2010 worry is CFC113a still rising could this be Methane escaping from ocean ? What potential affects this been to our weather this winter and crazy jet stream. It raises questions many questions. Have we took eye off the ball believing CO2 is cause but more issues was the fault. What are the mystery chemicals causing terrible damage to antartica, thank fully he believes it can repair but not till 2050. Would this meen crazy weather wont settle till then. Could the whole thing be man made or natural ocuring events, volcano's, earthquakes, methane escaping from ocean etc. Do we know the effects of trying to control weather scientists employing. Such as seeding clouds and NASA rainmaker project. What happens if they get out of control.
  17. looks like extremes either very warm or very cold. Very windy or dead calm and then very high highs then bad lows. Just no average winter or spring just full extremes from one end to the other which seemingly continuing . If tim right we could be going from mini heat wave into plunged cold system. I hope not -12 then windchill factor god hope not and hope the big nasty -30 stays well away. Someone don't like UK. By way this storm still on track to miss us. Got little wind here nothing special F4 level on beaufort scale. I think tracked further north as we not getting winds forecast. Just seen this on another forum shows different possible weather patterns likely by models. Seems alot in agreement the high going last till around 18th then mixed with possible some lows and rain though not too much rain.
  18. Noticed some models prediction 1035 hpa might sound daft question but can flood water if widespread effect temperature abnomilty. I understand water causes solar reflection.
  19. forecast to get 47mph gust this neck woods friday 9am according to this. Something to do with the storm passing glad we got high pressure which blocking and jet stream just shifts to north take it away from UK. Sadly this big storm going slam into poor faroe isles sunday morning with Huge sea swirl. http://www.xcweather.co.uk/
  20. just seen GFS weekend wind estimates from passing storm coastal north west scotland in for some strong winds if they right Surely GFS over estimated winds http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=ukuk&MODELL=gfs&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=boen&HH=61&PANEL=2&ZOOM=1&ARCHIV=0&RES=0&WMO=
  21. GEM still not 100% longterm stability now thinks lows desend in from 13th. Think we in yoyo state few days warm could be long term or short stay. http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/cmc_cartes.php?code=15&ech=192&carte=1
  22. worst winter in years yet apart from storm surge dec 5th the odd heavy showers and strong gusts my area been missed. What fellow yellowbellies think. Worry the lack rain had 7.4mm yesterday but we not had nowhere enough to cover us for a dry summer.
  23. yep nice shot high rise in distance just show how clarity it is. There is like time delay drops that might be just normal operation of setup. If so perfect Arnie
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