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Everything posted by garylaverick
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I've been through the fine mesh models and this is when each of the models believe the Border streamer will shift it's attention to us snow starved people. IMF 1am Wednesday ICON-EU 2am Wednesday WRF 0.05 3am Wednesday Aperge 4am Wednesday GFS 0.25 4am Wednesday WRF 2km 6am Wednesday Euro 4 6am Wednesday
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I've just been looking over the FAX chart archive for the BFTE. Look at the troughs we had, 24 hours worth, that's what we've been missing this time around. Notice the easterly in 2018 originated from an arctic airmass, where as this time we've been pulling in from eastern Europe as there's just been too much activity in the baltic sea. BFTE This year
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I'm keeping the faith as I still feel we're early in to this spell (earlier than we thought we'd be at this point I guess due to that pesky German low). In my experience shower activity generally increases in an evening through the night so I'm interested to see what happens later on. Wednesday does look like our best shot at the moment, which I appreciate is not what people want to hear, but there's not a lot that can be done about that! I agree that i thought we'd be in a better place by this point but it is what it is.