garylaverick

Accumulations over the last 6 hours. The wind is due to swing around to NE by end of Wednesday which should hopefully give a distribution over the region.

@Boro Snow @Gizzy surely this is about to hammer you guys!

Just the 4 hours sleep for me, hoping this comes in for a direct hit.

I think I'll extend my radar watch for another hour, I'll be paying for it at work tomorrow!

Lower thicknesses spreading north, they'll reach us too shortly.

Yes it can be quite dramatic when the inversion clears suddenly over a large area, like throwing a match in to a pool of petrol. I'm going to catchup on a few YouTube videos then check back in to see how we're getting on.

It's not moving, it's just that the atmospheric conditions are becoming much more conducive to convection right up the coast, the snow machine is revving up.

Stratocumulus suddenly breaking up in the last frame of the satellite.

And Wednesday it swings around to NE I think which has always been my favourite wind direction

Watching these with interest, could be on for the Tyne valley and intensity looks better.

Thicknesses are lower due to their proximity to the low. We're literally stuck in the "not close enough but also not far enough away" zone at the minute. 2nd image shows the thickness dropping off our coast about 2am.

I download the GIF from Meteociel then I can edit on my phone to add the pen.

Keep an eye on this zone on the IR sat loop, the clearing skies indicates the low is loosing it's influence over atmospheric conditions here. This is what we need to expand.

Oh yes I'm not going to disagree with that, the important thing is all of the pieces are moving to the locations forecast, just over a longer time frame.

It's because the sea off the North East is still under the influence of the German low which is capping convection. The sea off Scotland is not under this influence. The low is slowly moving away...

It's not that they're meant to sink south, it's that the conditions off the North East Coast will become similar to those currently off Scotland allowing the same level of convection.

I think for me the synoptics we need are slowly but surely developing which is why I remain hopeful, granted it is taking longer than I anticipated to get there. However, there's still a good 72 hours before the pattern is due to change which is still plenty of time to deliver the goods.

I'm thinking I'll give it to about 1am before retiring to bed and saying a few prayers!

I'm just down the road next to High Felling Post office and similar scenes. Just been to take the recycling out and it's all very crunchy now. Who's in for a long shift tonight?

Countryfile forecast looked like it would be pretty difficult for any of us to miss out by end of Wednesday, but there could be periods of frustration if you don't end up under a streamer.

Look at the southward movement in just the last 3 hours, we've just got to endure this snizzle for a bit longer.

The flow will straighten to a straight easterly or ENE'ly as the low sinks through Germany.

Some icicle formation on the edges of roof tiles here and the graupel is becoming larger and more intense. Keep the faith guys, look at the progress over just the last 3 hours, it's just a waiting game now.

I'm expecting the stratocumulus to clear allowing for development of cumulus/ cumulonimbus but this is likely something that will develop into the evening and overnight in to tomorrow.

Updated MetO warning highlighting the lottery nature of shower setups. Updated: 10:22 (UTC) on Sun 7 Feb 2021 Further details Snow showers will feed off the North Sea into many northern and eastern areas of the UK. Whilst some areas in the warning area will remain largely dry, some persistent bands of showers are likely to develop in places. Daily accumulations of 2-5 cm are probable for some, with 10-15 cm plausible in areas where showers merge into more organised and prolonged spells of snow. Some icy stretches are possible overnight, mainly where melting snow during the afternoon has not a chance to dry out before freezing overnight, although snow is likely to be more prevalent.