doctor32
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Posts posted by doctor32
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27 minutes ago, Dahonis said:
Any thoughts for Tuesday evening/night
Cold
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My thoughts:
But first, today is getting very windy and it certainly feels cold in the wind. As the low in N Sea moves south the winds are veering more NNE which is pushing the band of showers inland more and this will give sleet/snow in places this afternoon.
Keep getting little flurries here in aycliffe at only 90m asl.
Tuesday night has greatest risk of snow to the south of our region with a couple of hours of snow from an occluded front associated with low to the south.
Thursday is our best chance of widespread and lying snow, but this may turn to rain if low pushes milder air further north.
Inbetween these some wintry showers could pop up with cold nights.
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Just had a sleety shower here, seen a few flakes blowing in the wind.
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Awaiting to see what falls out the sky lower down here today.
A very much nowcast situation with probably Thursday our best chance as it stands
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One word... THURSDAY
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A very mild day today with 11-13.c widely and certainly feels it after recent cold spell... Wont last long as you all know.
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2 hours ago, NorthEastSnow said:
Is there any chance some of the knowledgeable people in this region can give us any hope?
All the other threads seem to be southern based.
I hope we can see some of the white stuff next week.
I will do an update over the weekend for next week, very topsy turvy the out-put at the moment.
And to be fair, pinpointing the low pressures for next week will be very hard, making snow predictions impossible a couple of days out with very fine margins between rain/snow etc
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Hopefully Feb will deliver.
Time will tell
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Analyzing every det model run is hard work... Stick to ensembles and take all models at set time frame in to account for a bigger picture
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1 minute ago, NorthEastSnow said:
Has it all gone Pete tong then with the cold? Mod thread seems to think so. It’s dire in there this morning. One min blasting cold charts never seen before to people saying the chances have gone.
confused
You really need to spend less time in there mate, i rarely go in as emotions and imby-ism to high.
Great uncertainty regarding next week, huge spread in ensembles around 24th onwards. A trend to a more westerly as high collapses is plausable but still a smaller cluster compared to other options ie cold.
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Air still cold enough for snow this morning, just had a little snow flurry
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14 minutes ago, geordiekev said:
Some light snow grains like glitter blowing in. Day 3 of falling snow, can I beat last season's record of 40.
same here, tough ask i think... see how next week pans out me thinks.
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19 minutes ago, NickR said:
Happy Winter, doc!
I haven't followed it that much - looking good for here or mainly EA/Kent? I know that E'lies tend to be better for there, whereas we ideally want a NE'ly.
Thanks,
Snow detail very uncertain to be honest, we could get a SE, E or NE depending on placement of high etc. Main thing is for the trend to colder conditions... let the ride begin.
Still light snow flurries here
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Models are really ramping up on the potential Easterly and snow risk to end next week... few more runs needed.
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very light snow flakes falling here Aycliffe the past 10 minutes... you have to really strain to see them though lol
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Just a quick update...
Tonight rain/sleet/snow showers in the early hours followed by much colder air which leads us into a cold thursday with sleet/snow showers becoming more evident towards the east. Slight coverings for hilly areas esp NY Moors.
Friday night into saturday will see a weakening band of sleet/snow stall across the region.
Next week, esp Tuesday could have a real snow risk (one to watch)
After that i am leaning towards what models are showing this evening and met still firm on things turning much colder into Feb
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Yes finally some colder weather on the way this week but may have to wait till next week for any meaningful snow.
Some Wintry showers midweek to get your juices going
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They are indeed, not long now. Not expecting a BFTE just yet.
Some wintry weather later next week and esp W/C 21st.
Tick Tock....
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Just rain for me too.
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Anyone getting snow from these showers, especially inland on higher ground?
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3 minutes ago, Boro Snow said:
Yep hopefully next week we may see something wintry, I thought we would of got frosts this week but this bloody cloud
A few wintry showers if we lucky. Yes this cloud been rather disappointing.
Looking back end of W/C 14th for a few snow chances behind low pressure systems most likely which will hopefully give way to a more blocked pattern that is favourable for some proper cold
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I really think this has been the quietest this thread has been over a winter period since i joined, just shows how slow and boring the weather has been on the ground so far this season.
Are all the usual suspects from the NE still around???
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3.3c and 30mm
Will try and do a full 12 months this year, always forget a few lol
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Another very mild day but once again rather bright with hazy sunshine all day here.
Much colder mid next week.
Not long to wait to see where we go with the SSW.
As long as the high pressure sits around for the next week or so i can see it shifting favourably to allow the cold to dig in.
Far north and northeast of England - regional chat
in Regional
Posted · Edited by doctor32
Tuesdays front that develops around irish sea will push across the region and tonight models suggest we may see a more notable spell of snow across the region (still very uncertain mind)
Thursday into friday may see a front stall and weaken across the NE, so this is our biggest chance of significant snowfall.
Some very cold nights too.