AdamStorm7891

Evening folks just thought I'd drop in, well the purple dinosaur storm has arrived lol The rain here earlier was torrential for awhile particularly between about 12.30 - 1pm, winds began picking up between 3 and 4pm now quite strong and gusty in the 35-40mph region I'd say at a guess. Not quite sure what to expect later on here but I wouldn't be surprised to see a few gusts into the 50's at least, I'd be very surprised if we get anything over 60mph though!

Well if there was a so called intense squall I slept through most of it so it can't have been as bad as was being hyped up. 23/12/13 was alot worse here!

Not much to get excited about here, occasional 40mph gusts nothing much more then that.

Since when? Most forecasts I've seen have stated this will be a widespread event.

Just heard the first noticeable gust against my bedroom window not much more then 30mph though, all rather tame so far!

BBC London forecast just now downplaying gusts to 50mph when most other forecasts are suggesting 60+ there seems to be confusion galore. It would hardly seem worthit doing a news article about potential disruption if the gusts struggled to get above 50mph!

She used the term "powerful" you don't hear weather presenters say stuff like that too often!

There's going to be an article about the approaching storm on BBC London News in a minute with a news reporter at Dartford bridge, I'm guessing they're thinking its going to get quite bad if its making the news and it hasn't even got going yet.

Well the BBC London lunchtime forecast was still forecasting 60mph inland gusts so very confused now considering the Met Office gust predictor is going for 45-50mph at best!

I've noticed whenever significant storms are approaching that the Met Office gust predictions tend to downgrade in the 12 hours or so leading up to it, only yesterday evening it was predicting 55-65mph gusts as far inland as the London suburbs now it's only saying around 45mph, I'm not sure whether these latest readings can be entirely trusted. I remember 12 hours before St' Jude hit it said gusts for my location would struggle to reach 40mph we ended up getting a short spell of 60 to 70mph as the Sting Jet passed over!

Most forecasts still indicating 60mph+ gusts inland and 70-80mph on coasts, winds look like peaking between midnight and 4am before slowly moderating towards dawn.

Met Office have downgraded the gusts by about 10mph where I am in the last 12 hours from 58 to 48mph but this happened before St Jude hit when originally they proposed 60mph and dropped them to only 40mph about 12 hours before it hit so I've learnt to take their forecasts with a pinch of salt, I personally find the GFS-P charts more or less spot on same for MetCheck who're going for widespread 60mph inland with 75-80mph on some exposed Western coasts.

Sorry yes you're right its Rachel lol. Don't know where I got Emily from!

London and South-East Weather page on Facebook forecasting 55-65mph inland with 70-80mph on coasts perhaps 90mph for a short time!

In a word NO, any settling snow will only be over high ground in The Chilterns etc...

Usually gusts end up being about 5 to 10mph stronger then the Met predictions so if it's indicating 75mph where you are expect something nearer 80+ it's saying 58mph for where I am so I wouldn't be surprised to see something in the mid 60's.

WOW a tornado in London?...what will mother nature throw at us next? With warnings for; wind, rain, snow and ice all in force at once the only thing missing I guess is flying meatballs lol Regarding the approaching storm apparently they've given it a name Emily, you kind of know it's going to be a noteworthy storm when they start giving it a title!

I was rather hoping the worst of it would have passed by the time I set off for work at about 6am.

Yes BBC London so that effectively means South-East and East Anglia and the surrounding Home Counties.

BBC London forecast just a few minutes ago stated 65-70mph gusts likely!

Wendy Hurrell on BBC London forecast hinted at the possibility of 65-70mph gusts (inland) surely that would warrant Amber warnings in due course?

None of the official forecasts have said that, if anything they upgraded their Warnings today. The whole country is under threat from 60-70mph gusts with exposed coasts potentially seeing 80-90mph+

Ignore Met Office gust predictions, they're not always reliable and tend to underestimate approaching storms. For example the evening before the St Jude storm it predicted we'd struggle to get gusts over 40mph we ended up getting more like 60+

A worrying thought that, are you suggesting that even London and the surrounding Counties could see 70mph gusts?

Yes I just saw it, it looked menacing enough as it is with the isobars really squeezing up across the south of England on Wednesday night.