AdamStorm7891
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Everything posted by AdamStorm7891
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Judging by most forecasts the strongest of the winds should have passed out into the North-Sea by the evening, but it depends where you're flying to. Just don't fly east unless you want to chase Imogen, I know she sounds attractive but I can assure you she won't be lol
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Thanks for your input Daniel, yes I'll be surprised if the Amber zone isn't made larger sometime this afternoon as confidence increases in the storms tracking, as for the potential of snow on Tuesday yes I know lots of precipitation has been mentioned but the air temps would need to plunge a good 2 or 3 degrees I'd have thought for there to be a significant snow risk, there might be some wet sleet or pellet like hail if the upper atmosphere is colder then the ground temps! Tonight into tomorrow is sure to be interesting though with regards to the wind and rain, the winds yesterday where pretty rough probably gusting over 40mph regularly in my neck of the woods but I expect tomorrow morning into early afternoon to be significantly worse, possibly 60-70mph for a short period. Considering I work outside things could get pretty hairy!
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Looks like I'm just inside the zone of the strongest winds.
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I don't think this one should be underestimated by any stretch of the imagination considering it is going to effect some of the highly populated areas of the south unlike most of the storms the UK has experienced recently which have mostly only effected Scotland, Northern Ireland and North-West England, on the flip side of the coin I don't think it should be over-egged like the St' Jude storm was a couple of years or so back. The wind speeds look to be quite similar to that storm so 70-80mph possibly 90 on exposed coasts with inland areas seeing more like 60mph however with the trees bare at this time of year I expect lesser impacts on that side of things, still could be disruption to power supplies structural damage to poorly constructed buildings and/or man made structures and disruption to travel etc... I guess we all just have to sit tight and wait and see!
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Dare I say going by the pressure charts just about anywhere could see 70-80mph gusts tomorrow, especially around the lunchtime period for our region, easily 50-60mph minimum in and around the London area exposed coasts and headlines and with a tunnelling effect of the Thames Estuary 70-80mph south facing channel coastal locations maybe 90. Then we have the double edged sword effect of some of the squally showers which could be thundery with hail etc... and then this supposed snow event on Tuesday, what is the situation with this? None of the TV forecasts are predicting any snow but some of the models are, all very confusing!
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Monday looks worrying, latest forecasts going for 70-80mph gusts along south coast facing counties so could easily see something around the 60mph region across London and the Home Counties.
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Phillip Avery on the BBC lunchtime forecast hinted at potentially 70-80mph gusts across Southern counties of England and Wales on Monday if that materialises it would probably be the most significant storm across the southern half of the country since the St' Jude storm!
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Well folks certainly very windy here in Essex today, gusts into the 40's mph I'd say. Looking further ahead, Christmas Eve's low seems to be more across the North-West so hopefully we'll avoid the worst, looks like we could have a Christmas Eve Storm Eva though lol. As for the 29th/30th that does look quite concerning I must say but the Northerners are more used to big storms, I certainly wouldn't want a storm of that intensity tracking over our neck of the woods, otherwise it'll certainly be a Burn's Day Storm type scenario. Still plenty of time in the GFS model runs for the track and intensity to change significantly between now and then!
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From flood waters not the wind I assume?...
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Been windy here all day, gusting into the 40's I'd say but absolutely no rain whatsoever so far, the sky is very dark grey though, a gloomy day to say the least so perhaps we'll get a little rain later but I hope to stay dry for my trip into London later.
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It's definitely well over 30-40mph with the strongest gusts, more like 45-50mph. Usually with strong winds being rarer around the London area then other parts of the country and because they can potentially cause more impacts because of the dense population they issue warnings for lower wind speeds then elsewhere usually 40-50mph upwards from previous experience so considering it's already about that out there and might get a little bit worse later on this is why I'm a tad surprised.
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Urm.... you might want to rethink that, we've just had a gust nudging 50 I swear by it. Our house shook!
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Morning, well I reckon I've just had a 50mph gust the wind is seriously going some here now and I'm very surprised that the Met Office haven't issued an official warning for the south yet, especially considering it isn't supposed to peak until later on this afternoon when I'm supposed to be heading into London. I'm becoming increasingly apprehensive! If it's this bad here I dread to think what it's like further north, just imagine what it's like near Iceland where the centre of this storm is. Gives you an idea of how much of a beast Desmond is, I reckon gusts must be well over 100mph around the storm centre.
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Wind starting to pick up here in Essex, doesn't anyone think that the Met Office have been a little bit casual with not issuing warnings for southern parts?.. considering most of the forecast suggest gusts of at least the 40-50mph range seem probable! Usually when winds of that strength have been forecast before they've put Yellow Warnings out. At least a small crumb of comfort is that it appears like it'll stay relatively dry here compared to up north where they're getting all that rain.
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It would have to be Armageddon for me to get out of it! Lol
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Well it looks like as per norm that London and the South-East will miss the strongest of the winds, usually I'd be disappointed by this but considering I'm supposed to be venturing into town on Saturday for my girlfriends birthday I'm actually quite relieved.
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I wouldn't be surprised if that upgrades in the next 36 hours or so, the pressure gradient for Saturday looks very tight, having said that I imagine somewhere like Sheffield can more often then not be quite sheltered from the worst of strong winds.
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Just saw the 6:30 BBC forecast, the pressure chart for Saturday looked disturbing to say the least, but before that tomorrow's wind and rain looks fairly nasty in itself with gales/severe gales possible in the south-west with a lot of rainfall, flooding and disruption could be possible. The rain and at least some of that wind looks to spread east across Southern England throughout tomorrow night!
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Well I'm supposed to be heading into London on Saturday evening when the strongest winds from the secondary system are due for my girlfriend's birthday and most models are in agreement for gusts in the 45-55mph range so could get pretty wild with the possibility of disruption to public transport due to flying debris and fallen trees/branches etc.. especially if there are any upgrades as we get nearer the time, I really hope not as I wasn't banking on this and I don't want the weather to spoil the party!
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Strange how you can see them on your mobile but I can't see them on my Laptop
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Forum upgrade - info, bugs, support
AdamStorm7891 replied to Paul's topic in Help, support and feedback
Like I pointed out on the Winter Storms thread the only issue I have so far is seeing some attachments/links other then that I think this new forum looks really plush! -
Ok thanks for that :-)
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For some reason I can't see some of the attachments that people are posting, I don't know if it has anything to do with the new look forum?... Don't get me wrong I like the new look of it, but as the old saying goes if it isn't broke then why fix it? Is it something to do with Windows 10?
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#NameOurStorms: is it a good idea?
AdamStorm7891 replied to Thunderbolt_'s topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Well when we finally get a proper storm and not just Gales then it'll definitely make the most of it's purpose. Something comparable to the October storms in 2000 and 2002 and of course 1987 we could almost warrant the title Super Storm ........ << followed by the name! -
Atlantic Storms Autumn 2015
AdamStorm7891 replied to Allseasons-Si's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
To be honest I think the criteria for naming a storm shouldn't come into effect until there's a likely probability of widespread disruption with inland gusts over 70-80mph, locally moderate disruption inland 50mph gusts and the odd 80mph gust nearer exposed coasts is hardly uncommon particularly at this time of year. People on the coasts are used to strong winds so unless we're talking near-hurricane conditions across a large area of the country then in my opinion storm naming is just an excuse for media sensationalism.
