icbinb

You can never see enough! Spent most of the day in Cambridgeshire yesterday. Mother nature is sticking two fingers up :lol:

Its great watching a potent cell miss you by a few miles..... knowing that is the closest they will get.

Well i've found two other idiots prepared to chase with me. Now, Monday or Tuesday? mmmmm

Thanks to everyone on tour 1 for making the most of what was a dreadful run of luck, meaning I enjoyed the tour even more than I did last year. The weather gods seemed to be toying with us, and Paul's luck was out(The run of lost coin tosses had to be seen to be believed!). Despite all this, we still had some memorable days. Is two o'clock the earliest ever leaving time for a chase? The first and last chases were spectacular, as was departure day. Seven states in total, although one has since been removed from all conversations! Also thanks to tours 2, 3 and 4, for putting up with us virtual chasers and our requests on the live stream! I think the fact that everyone will bust a gut to get back out there again next year shows that you must be doing a great job.

Finally got round to sorting pics of this memorable day.

Fantastic stuff!

Back to Weatherford for me today. Good luck.

Stuttgart to Memphis in a high risk. Where have I heard that before? Been really good viewing tonight, stream held up pretty well.

Pine Bluff for me today. Follow that corridor of good chase territory north east. Plus it brings back good memories!

Passengers have been taken to the tornado shelters at DFW International.

Confirmed tornado near Haslet just north of Fort Worth.

Also another storm just to the north of Fort Worth that looks suspicious, with two new cells also heading in the general direction of DFW.

This is looking like an ominous day ahead.

You gave in to your stomachs! Shocking. Initiation in the next hour! First MD of many: MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0925 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1218 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011 AREAS AFFECTED...NW TX...WRN AND CNTRL OK CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY VALID 241718Z - 241845Z STORM INITIATION IS EXPECTED ACROSS WRN OK AND NW TX OVER THE NEXT HOUR. SUPERCELLS SHOULD RAPIDLY DEVELOP WITH A THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL AND TORNADOES. A TORNADO WATCH WILL LIKELY NEED TO BE ISSUED BY 18Z. SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A 997 MB LOW IN THE NRN TX PANHANDLE WITH A DRYLINE EXTENDING SWD FROM THE LOW ACROSS FAR WRN OK INTO WEST TX. THE DRYLINE IS STARTING TO ADVANCE EWD WITH VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWING AN EXPANDING FIELD OF CUMULUS FROM I-40 IN WRN OK SWD TO NEAR SAN ANGELO IN WCNTRL TX. AS FURTHER DESTABILIZATION OCCURS THIS AFTERNOON AND THE CAP WEAKENS...RAPID CELL INITIATION IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR ALONG THIS CORRIDOR. AS THIS OCCURS...A 50 TO 65 KT MID-LEVEL JET EJECTING NEWD TOWARD THE SRN PLAINS WILL CREATE STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR PROFILES VERY FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS. AS STORMS INTENSIFY...VERY LARGE HAIL GREATER THAN 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER WILL BECOME LIKELY. IN ADDITION...A 30 TO 40 KT LOW-LEVEL JET IS IN PLACE ACROSS NW TX AND WRN OK. AS THIS FEATURE STRENGTHENS...LOW-LEVEL SHEAR WILL BECOME VERY FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES. WITH 0-3 KM STORM RELATIVE HELICITIES INCREASING INTO THE 450 TO 600 M2/S2 RANGE...LONG-TRACK STRONG TORNADOES ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS EVENING.

High risk zone has been expanded in the latest update. The risk extends a bit further southwards into Northern Texas. 45% risk of tornadoes within 25 miles of any point in that zone.

Well, based on my last two days of awful targets, the area for the team to avoid like the plague is Wellington, Kansas. Have fun and stay safe. Edit- Purely based on the cloud cover I would get myself down into Western Oklahoma where it is clear at the moment, maybe somewhere like Weatherford.

Horrible to see. Shows you what a mean storm it was if even with 20 minutes there were so many casualties.

Ardmore for me

Updated MD MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0876 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0810 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011 AREAS AFFECTED...SRN OK...NRN TX CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 326... VALID 230110Z - 230215Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 326 CONTINUES. WW 326 MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED IN TIME...OR REPLACED BY A NEW WW DURING THE NEXT HR. AT 01Z...CLUSTERS OF STORMS AND ISOLATED RIGHT AND LEFT MOVING SUPERCELLS WERE ONGOING ACROSS PORTIONS OF NRN TX AND SRN OK. THOUGH CONVECTIVE INHIBITION WILL STEADILY INCREASE INTO THE NIGHT...COMBINATION OF STRENGTHENING SLY LLJ AND RESERVOIR OF INSTABILITY COINCIDENT WITH ONGOING STORMS /MUCAPE VALUES AOA 2500 J PER KG/ WILL LIKELY AID STORM PERSISTENCE THROUGH THE EVENING AND EARLY NIGHT. UPSCALE GROWTH INTO A QLCS REMAINS POSSIBLE OVER NRN/NERN TX AND SRN/SERN OK...POSING A CONTINUED THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS AND PERHAPS A FEW TORNADOES

Thats some big hail in there! You shouldn't have encouraged them. Look what you've started :lol:

New MD MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0869 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0634 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011 AREAS AFFECTED...SRN/SERN OK...NRN TX CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 326... VALID 222334Z - 230030Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 326 CONTINUES. AXIS OF UPPER 60S DEWPOINTS RESIDES AHEAD OF A LARGE CLUSTER OF STORMS...SOME SUPERCELLS...OVER NRN TX. THIS MOISTURE COMBINED WITH STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES IS CONTRIBUTING TOWARD MLCAPE VALUES FROM 3000-4000 J/KG...WHILE OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS INDICATES EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR VALUES FROM 40-50 KT. THIS ENVIRONMENT FAVORS SUPERCELLS POSING A THREAT FOR LARGE/VERY LARGE HAIL. THOUGH AREA VWP/S AND RUC SOUNDINGS INDICATE WEAKNESS IN THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW...A TORNADO THREAT STILL EXISTS...PARTICULARLY FOR STRONGLY DEVIANT RIGHT MOVERS. AS EVENING APPROACHES...LATEST HRRR INDICATES THAT STORMS OVER N TX MAY EVOLVE UPSCALE INTO A QLCS...WHICH APPEARS REASONABLE GIVEN THE CLOSE SPACING OF ONGOING ACTIVITY...AS WELL AS EXPECTED INTENSIFICATION OF THE NOCTURNAL LLJ. OTHERWISE IN THE SHORT TERM...ADDITIONAL COUNTIES MAY NEED TO BE ADDED S OF WW 326 AS RIGHT MOVING STORM EXITS BROWN COUNTY TX AND MOVES ACROSS COMANCHE COUNTY AND LOCATIONS FARTHER DOWNSTREAM. FARTHER N OVER PORTIONS OF SRN OK...LEFT MOVING SUPERCELL WILL CONTINUE TO POSE A THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL. OTHER STORMS MAY DEVELOP OFF OF THE WWD RETREATING DRYLINE...THOUGH IT IS UNCERTAIN IF SVR STORM POTENTIAL WILL BE MITIGATED BY OUTFLOW FROM THE LEFT MOVER AND N TX ACTIVITY.

New MD MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0861 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0347 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011 AREAS AFFECTED...N-CNTRL TX...S-CNTRL OK CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 326... VALID 222047Z - 222145Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 326 CONTINUES. INITIAL TSTM DEVELOPMENT HAS RECENTLY OCCURRED ACROSS JACK COUNTY TX WITH NUMEROUS CB/TCU DEEPENING GENERALLY S OF THE RED RIVER THROUGH W-CNTRL TX. FARTHER N IN S-CNTRL OK...CU FIELD IS NOT QUITE AS DEVELOPED. HOWEVER...SURFACE THERMAL AXIS CHARACTERIZED BY TEMPERATURES IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 90S IS OVERLAPPING THE DRYLINE HERE...WITH SUBTLE BACKING OF SURFACE WINDS IN THE MOIST SECTOR ENHANCING CONVERGENCE. AS SUCH...AT LEAST ISOLATED TSTM DEVELOPMENT APPEARS PROBABLE BETWEEN 22-23Z. AIR MASS WITHIN MUCH OF WW 326 REMAINS EXTREMELY UNSTABLE WITH SURFACE DEW POINTS IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 70S CONTRIBUTING TO MLCAPE OF 4500 TO 6000 J/KG PER OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS AND MODIFIED 18Z FWD RAOB. MEANWHILE...VAD WIND PROFILE AT FWS CONTINUES TO SAMPLE AROUND 25 KT LOW-LEVEL FLOW WHICH HAS NOW BACKED FROM THE SW TO THE S/SW AT 1 KM AGL. LATEST RUC SUGGESTS LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL STRENGTHEN SLIGHTLY AFTER 00Z. WITH EFFECTIVE SHEAR ALREADY AROUND 40 KT...ENVIRONMENT WILL BE QUITE SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS PRODUCING TORNADOES AND VERY LARGE HAIL.

Another tornado watch! URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 326 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 150 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL OKLAHOMA NORTH-CENTRAL TEXAS EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 150 PM UNTIL 900 PM CDT. TORNADOES...HAIL TO 4 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS. THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF MCALESTER OKLAHOMA TO 40 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF MINERAL WELLS TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6). REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 321...WW 322...WW 323...WW 324...WW 325... DISCUSSION...ISOLATED STORM DEVELOPMENT IS ANTICIPATED ALONG THE DRYLINE BY LATE AFTERNOON AS CONTINUED DAYTIME HEATING ERODES REMAINING CONVECTIVE INHIBITION. 18Z FWD SOUNDING SHOWED THAT THE WARM SECTOR IS ALREADY EXTREMELY UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPE VALUES APPROACHING 5000 J/KG. THIS DEGREE OF INSTABILITY COUPLED WITH 35-40 KT OF DEEP-LAYER SHEAR WILL SUPPORT INTENSE SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF DESTRUCTIVE HAIL. THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING AS LOW-LEVEL SHEAR INTENSIFIES IN RESPONSE TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SLY LLJ. AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 4 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27020. ...MEAD

Tornado watch issued north and east of the team. URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 325 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 130 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST ARKANSAS SOUTHEAST KANSAS SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL MISSOURI EASTERN OKLAHOMA EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 130 PM UNTIL 900 PM CDT. TORNADOES...HAIL TO 4 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS. THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF JEFFERSON CITY MISSOURI TO 30 MILES SOUTH OF MUSKOGEE OKLAHOMA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 321...WW 322...WW 323...WW 324... DISCUSSION...EXPLOSIVE TSTM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT ONE TO TWO HOURS ALONG COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH SERN KS AND NERN OK. WARM SECTOR AIR MASS IS QUITE MOIST WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER 70S. WHEN COUPLED WITH STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES...ENVIRONMENT HAS BECOME STRONGLY TO EXTREMELY UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPE OF 3000-5000 J/KG. THE PRESENCE OF 35-40 KT WLY DEEP-LAYER SHEAR WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF DESTRUCTIVE HAIL. MOREOVER...SWRN EXTENSION OF A 30-35 KT SWLY LLJ WILL BE MAINTAINED ACROSS THE REGION...RESULTING IN EFFECTIVE SRH VALUES OF 150-250 M2/S2 AND AN ASSOCIATED TORNADO THREAT. A STRONG TORNADO OR TWO IS POSSIBLE. AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 4 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27025. ...MEAD

SPC having a fun day today! MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0853 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0106 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011 AREAS AFFECTED...ERN KS...NERN OK...MUCH OF SRN AND SWRN MO...NRN AR CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY VALID 221806Z - 222000Z A TORNADO WATCH WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY. AN EXTREMELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS HAS DEVELOPED E OF THE DRYLINE WITH DEWPOINTS NEAR 70 F BENEATH STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES. NEARLY ALL CONVECTIVE INHIBITION HAS BEEN ERODED...THUS EXPECTED CU ALONG THE DRYLINE TO ERUPT INTO INTENSE SUPERCELLS. EXTREMELY LARGE HAIL IS LIKELY...AND ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL SHEAR IS A BIT MARGINAL...IT WILL BE MORE THAN SUFFICIENT FOR TORNADOES GIVEN EXTREME INSTABILITY. ..JEWELL.. 05/22/2011