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icbinb

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Everything posted by icbinb

  1. Me and Ashley Nelis went with the Days Inn as it's only 60 quid at the moment. Pretty much next door to the Holiday Inn so we won't have much hassle on the 12th.
  2. Trying not to be biased towards the storms I have seen... 1st Broken Bow 2nd Scottsbluff 3rd Ballinger
  3. Not had time to look at any charts, so I will just go with my golden 'storms always seem to fire in Abilene' rule! I will start my day there for a bit of fun.
  4. I think you may need to clear your cache, as there is an enhanced for central Texas with a 10% tornado area.
  5. First one of the season. I would be sitting somewhere just west of Tonkawa today.
  6. Not far east of Norwich here, and we did indeed get hammered. At least ten CG's, and an intense squall. For a while I thought the fence was going to come down. Norwich airport reported a gust of 58 mph.
  7. Great Bend, looking east at the supercell moving away from us. April 7th 2013. Not that I remember or anything...
  8. Although I am by no means an expert, I do have a little knowledge of polar lows as they are part of my dissertation. There have been quite a few comments about the 500 mb temperatures not being cold enough, with -40 being quoted several times. This is a good guide temperature, but polar lows strengthen mainly due to temperature contrast between the surface and aloft. With 'warm' seas, it is not a requirement to have a 500 mb temperature of -40. In regards wind speeds, there is no strict definition, although 15 m/s is commonly used.
  9. I think this could well be a polar low. The 500 hPa temperatures are around -37/-38, which combined with the 'warm' seas around there leads to plenty of convective instability. Recent research has used a temperature difference of 43 degrees as one of the criteria in detecting potential systems. Synoptically it is in the right environment, and it doesn't look like a frontal feature to me.
  10. As we seem to say every year, the Texas Panhandle could really do with some rain. https://forum.netweather.tv/gallery/image/19414-img-0870/
  11. icbinb

    IMG 0870

    Texas Panhandle 14th December 2013
  12. With you but its down again!
  13. Give us a chance to fire up the radar, i've only just had my dinner!
  14. Ouch. Sounds nasty. Hope you have a swift recovery.
  15. It was good for a lot of the evening, even though the status said offline.
  16. Incredible pictures! Not jealous at all....
  17. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0191.html And there it is! URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 191 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 110 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2013 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST ARKANSAS CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA NORTHWEST TEXAS * EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 110 PM UNTIL 1000 PM CDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... SEVERAL TORNADOES POSSIBLE NUMEROUS LARGE HAIL EVENTS LIKELY WITH A FEW VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 4 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE NUMEROUS DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 115 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTHWEST OF GROVE OKLAHOMA TO 40 MILES EAST OF WICHITA FALLS TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 189...WW 190... DISCUSSION...RAPID INTENSE STORM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS...BOTH NEAR A STALLED SURFACE FRONT ROUGHLY WEST OF THE I-35 CORRIDOR...AND NEAR THE PRE-FRONTAL DRYLINE NOSING NORTHEASTWARD INTO SOUTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA BY LATE AFTERNOON. ISOLATED SUPERCELLS ARE LIKELY ALONG THE DRYLINE...WITH THE MOST PROMINENT TORNADO THREAT...WHICH PROBABLY WILL INCREASE BY EARLY EVENING AS THE SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL JET STRENGTHENS AND ENLARGES LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS. ONE OR TWO STRONG TORNADOES MAY NOT BE OUT OF THE QUESTION. OTHERWISE...LARGE HAIL IS LIKELY...SOME VERY LARGE... WITH INCREASING DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AS CONVECTION CONSOLIDATES AND EVOLVES INTO AN ORGANIZED CLUSTER. AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 4 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035. ...KERR
  18. According to GPS they are halfway between the 377 and the 56 junctions on the interstate.
  19. Not sure if the team are aware, but part of the interstate may be closed, so probably best to try another route.
  20. Nick has left his halls in Norman already! I think he was on the same storm as Paul and the gang.
  21. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0182.html
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